Monday, October 9, 2017

2017 NCAA Tournament Bracket Simulation 10.9.2017

Here is my NCAA Tournament bracket simulation based on actual games played through October 8, 2017 and simulated results of games not yet played, including conference tournament games.  In the NCAA Seed or Selection column, the numbers have the following meanings:

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded automatic qualifier
6 = unseeded at large selection
7 = Top 60 team that does not get an at large selection
8 = Top 60 team that is disqualified from at large selection due to record under 0.500
9 = teams outside the Top 60, but within range of it, that would be possible automatic qualifiers if within the Top 60.

At the bottom of the table, I'll list some other potential #1, 2, 3, and 4 seeds.

NCAA Seed or Selection Automatic Qualifier ARPI Rank for Formation Team for Formation
1 AQ 1 SouthCarolinaU
1 AQ 2 Stanford
1 AQ 3 NorthCarolinaU
1 0 4 Duke
2 AQ 5 WestVirginiaU
2 AQ 6 UCF
2 AQ 9 PennState
2 0 10 UCLA
3 0 7 TexasU
3 0 11 TennesseeU
3 0 13 FloridaU
3 0 14 TexasA&M
4 AQ 8 Princeton
4 0 12 FloridaState
4 0 15 OhioState
4 0 23 VirginiaU
5 AQ 18 MurrayState
5 AQ 20 FloridaGulfCoast
5 AQ 22 Pepperdine
5 AQ 27 Hofstra
5 AQ 28 Rice
5 AQ 32 Monmouth
5 AQ 35 StLouis
5 AQ 36 Butler
5 AQ 41 UNLV
5 AQ 45 LongBeachState
5 AQ 50 Drake
5 AQ 52 Navy
5 AQ 58 KentState
5 AQ 59 Lamar
5 AQ 60 SouthAlabama
5 AQ 70 NewHampshireU
5 AQ 74 Furman
5 AQ 75 NorthernKentucky
5 AQ 80 Bryant
5 AQ 83 EasternWashington
5 AQ 88 Liberty
5 AQ 126 TexasRGV
5 AQ 155 SouthDakotaState
5 AQ 188 AlabamaState
6 0 16 Cincinnati
6 0 17 NotreDame
6 0 19 CaliforniaU
6 0 21 MississippiU
6 0 24 AlabamaU
6 0 25 ArizonaU
6 0 26 Rutgers
6 0 29 WisconsinU
6 0 30 SouthFlorida
6 0 31 Georgetown
6 0 33 LSU
6 0 34 SantaClara
6 0 37 WashingtonU
6 0 38 OklahomaState
6 0 39 Northeastern
6 0 40 LoyolaMarymount
6 0 42 WakeForest
6 0 43 Memphis
6 0 44 Purdue
6 0 46 MichiganU
6 0 47 SouthernCalifornia
6 0 48 UCIrvine
6 0 49 MinnesotaU
6 0 56 TCU
7 0 51 UAB
7 0 54 Drexel
7 0 55 NCState
7 0 57 Marquette
8 0 53 Auburn
9 0 61 Yale
9 0 62 MississippiState
9 0 63 BostonCollege
9 0 64 Baylor
9 0 65 UtahU
9 0 66 ColoradoU
9 0 69 NorthwesternU
9 0 73 Xavier

Other potential seeds:

#1:  Penn State, UCF, UCLA
#2:  Tennessee, Florida, Texas, Texas A&M
#3:  Ohio State, Cincinnati, Florida State, Princeton, Virginia
#4:  Cincinnati, Rutgers, Pepperdine, Wisconsin, Mississippi, Florida Gulf Coast, California, Arizona

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