2017 NCAA Tournament Bracket Simulation 10.16.2017

Below are simulated seeds, unseeded automatic qualifiers, and at large selections for the NCAA Tournament.  The simulation is based on this week's simulated full season, including conference tournaments.  The simulation has Columbia and Princeton ending up tied at the top of the Ivy League.  Given that, I've selected Columbia as getting the Ivy League automatic qualifier position because (1) it has a head to head win over Princeton and (2) the simulation has Columbia with a better goal differential than Princeton against Ivy League opponents.  The other two conferences that don't have conference tournaments (Pac 12 and West Coast) have clear simulation champions.

EDIT:  There's one error in what you'll see below, due to a mistake I made in the Atlantic Sun's conference tournament.  (Setting up the conference tournaments requires a fair number of manual entries, which increases the opportunity for errors.)  The error has Lipscomb as the Atlantic Sun tournament champion, whereas it should be Florida Gulf Coast.  So, Lipscomb really should be out of the picture and FGCU should be the champion.  This, in turn, opens up a space for another at large selection.  It's a close call, but the right call looks like TCU.  So, add TCU to the at large selection list.

In the NCAA Seed or Selection column, the number code is:

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded automatic qualifier
6 = unseeded at large selection
7 = top 60 team, but not getting an at large selection
8 = top 60 teams, but disqualified from at large selection due to below 0.500 winning percentage
9 = outside the top 60, but competitive for at large selection if within the top 60

At the bottom of the table, I've indicated other potential seeds.  The table covers the top 150 teams in the Adjusted RPI rankings.

NCAA Seed or Selection	Automatic Qualifier	ARPI Rank for Formation	Team for Formation
1	AQ	1	SouthCarolinaU
1	AQ	2	Stanford
1	AQ	3	NorthCarolinaU
1	0	5	Duke
2	AQ	4	UCF
2	AQ	6	WestVirginiaU
2	0	7	TennesseeU
2	AQ	9	PennState
3	0	8	UCLA
3	0	11	Princeton
3	0	13	TexasA&M
3	0	16	OhioState
4	0	10	TexasU
4	0	12	FloridaState
4	0	20	Cincinnati
4	0	25	WakeForest
5	AQ	15	Pepperdine
5	AQ	18	MurrayState
5	AQ	21	Hofstra
5	AQ	23	Rice
5	AQ	34	StLouis
5	AQ	36	Monmouth
5	AQ	44	Drake
5	AQ	45	Butler
5	AQ	49	UCIrvine
5	AQ	52	UNLV
5	0	63	Columbia
5	AQ	64	KentState
5	AQ	69	SouthAlabama
5	AQ	72	NewHampshireU
5	AQ	73	NorthernKentucky
5	AQ	74	Lamar
5	AQ	75	Furman
5	AQ	76	EasternWashington
5	AQ	91	Liberty
5	AQ	97	Bryant
5	AQ	120	Lipscomb
5	AQ	145	SouthDakotaState
6	0	14	Rutgers
6	0	17	MississippiU
6	0	19	CaliforniaU
6	0	22	ArizonaU
6	0	24	FloridaGulfCoast
6	0	26	NotreDame
6	0	27	FloridaU
6	0	28	SouthFlorida
6	0	29	AlabamaU
6	0	30	VirginiaU
6	0	31	Auburn
6	0	32	WisconsinU
6	0	33	SantaClara
6	0	35	Georgetown
6	0	37	OklahomaState
6	0	38	Memphis
6	0	39	WashingtonU
6	0	40	SouthernCalifornia
6	0	41	VirginiaTech
6	0	42	LSU
6	0	43	NorthwesternU
6	0	46	Northeastern
6	0	47	NCState
6	0	55	Yale
7	0	48	Drexel
7	0	50	LoyolaMarymount
7	0	51	TCU
7	0	53	UAB
7	0	54	Marquette
7	0	56	LaSalle
7	0	57	SanJoseState
7	0	58	MichiganU
7	0	59	BostonCollege
7	0	60	MississippiState
9	0	61	ColoradoU
9	0	62	UtahU
9	0	71	Purdue
9	0	77	Xavier
	0	65	Navy
	0	66	MinnesotaU
	0	67	Baylor
	0	68	Clemson
	0	70	Belmont
	0	78	Milwaukee
	0	79	NebraskaU
	0	80	NorthTexas
	0	81	Gonzaga
	0	82	Stetson
	0	83	Providence
	0	84	LongBeachState
	0	85	MarylandU
	0	86	Duquesne
	0	87	Vanderbilt
	0	88	WashingtonState
	0	89	StJosephs
	0	90	MontanaU
	0	92	LouisianaTech
	0	93	BostonU
	0	94	ArkansasU
	0	95	Brown
	0	96	TexasTech
	0	98	UNI
	0	99	SMU
	0	100	KentuckyU
	0	101	TennesseeTech
	0	102	Louisville
	0	103	Samford
	0	104	KansasU
	0	105	StephenFAustin
	0	106	NewMexicoU
	0	107	BYU
	0	108	CalStateFullerton
	0	109	Valparaiso
	0	110	EasternKentucky
	0	111	Charlotte
	0	112	IowaU
	0	113	BallState
	0	114	IUPUI
	0	115	StonyBrook
	0	116	Pittsburgh
	0	117	ArkansasState
	0	118	HighPoint
	0	119	NorthernColorado
	0	121	Colgate
	0	122	Syracuse
	0	123	DelawareU
	0	124	ArizonaState
	0	125	IndianaU
	0	126	LoyolaChicago
	0	127	SanDiegoState
	0	128	TexasState
	0	129	GeorgeWashington
	0	130	Houston
	0	131	Bucknell
	0	132	UCSantaBarbara
	0	133	NorthernIllinois
	0	134	OregonU
	0	135	ConnecticutU
	0	136	McNeeseState
	0	137	MichiganState
	0	138	CollegeofCharleston
	0	139	Dayton
	0	140	Harvard
	0	141	Villanova
	0	142	GeorgiaU
	0	143	SanFrancisco
	0	144	William&Mary
	0	146	AirForce
	0	147	VCU
	0	148	FresnoState
	0	149	Binghamton
	0	150	Quinnipiac

Other potential seeds:

#1:  UCF, Tennessee, Penn State, UCLA, West Virginia

#2:  UCLA, Texas A&M

#3:  Texas, Florida State, Rutgers, Wake Forest, Cincinnati

#4:  Pepperdine, Rutgers, Florida, Mississippi, California