Monday, October 28, 2019

2019 SIMULATED NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET 10.28 2019

Here is this week's simulated NCAA tournament bracket, based on the actual results of games played through Sunday, October 27, and simulated results of games not yet played including conference tournament games.  Simulated results are based on teams' RPI ratings as adjusted for home field advantage.  The RPI ratings are the teams current ratings based on games played through Sunday.

Where teams are tied for the last at large selections, I select the teams that have the best scores for good results (wins and ties) against Top 50 teams, with the scoring system heavily weighted towards good results against very highly ranked teams.  This week, Tennessee is the last team "in," beating out Harvard and Mississippi based on this tiebreaker.

Here is the code for the NCAA Seed or Selection column:

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded automatic qualifier
6 = unseeded at large selection
6.5 = team tied for the last at large selection(s) but not selected based on insufficient Top 50 results
7 = Top 60 team not getting an at large selection
8 = Top 60 team disqualified from at large selection due to below 0.500 record

NCAA Seed or Selection Automatic Qualifier ARPI Rank for Formation Team for Formation
1 AQ 1 Stanford
1 AQ 2 NorthCarolinaU
1 0 3 FloridaState
1 0 5 VirginiaU
2 AQ 4 ArkansasU
2 0 6 SouthernCalifornia
2 0 10 UCLA
2 0 12 OklahomaState
3 0 7 WisconsinU
3 0 9 WashingtonU
3 AQ 14 TexasTech
3 0 16 SouthCarolinaU
4 AQ 8 Rutgers
4 AQ 11 Brown
4 0 15 Duke
4 AQ 18 BYU
5 AQ 17 Hofstra
5 AQ 21 Memphis
5 AQ 24 FloridaAtlantic
5 AQ 30 Georgetown
5 AQ 39 StLouis
5 AQ 40 Monmouth
5 AQ 44 BallState
5 AQ 46 Milwaukee
5 AQ 54 FloridaGulfCoast
5 AQ 61 SouthAlabama
5 AQ 62 BoiseState
5 AQ 63 Furman
5 AQ 66 LoyolaChicago
5 AQ 72 Navy
5 AQ 89 Lamar
5 AQ 95 StonyBrook
5 AQ 97 Campbell
5 AQ 107 UMKC
5 AQ 111 SoutheastMissouriState
5 AQ 117 CalStateFullerton
5 AQ 124 SouthDakotaState
5 AQ 139 FairleighDickinson
5 AQ 145 SacramentoState
5 AQ 166 Howard
6 0 13 TexasA&M
6 0 19 KansasU
6 0 20 VirginiaTech
6 0 22 Louisville
6 0 23 FloridaU
6 0 25 SouthFlorida
6 0 26 WestVirginiaU
6 0 27 SantaClara
6 0 28 WashingtonState
6 0 29 MichiganU
6 0 31 ArizonaU
6 0 32 CaliforniaU
6 0 33 IowaU
6 0 34 AlabamaU
6 0 35 NotreDame
6 0 37 NCState
6 0 38 PennState
6 0 41 Clemson
6 0 42 ColoradoU
6 0 45 PortlandU
6 0 47 Pepperdine
6 0 49 Vanderbilt
6 0 50 TexasU
6 0 55 TennesseeU
6.5 0 36 Harvard
6.5 0 53 MississippiU
7 0 43 Yale
7 0 48 NorthTexas
7 0 51 Xavier
7 0 52 OregonState
7 0 56 DePaul
7 0 57 Mercer
7 0 58 Baylor
7 0 59 Butler
8 0 60 WakeForest

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