Wednesday, August 22, 2018

2018 SIMULATED RPI RANKS 8.20.2018

Here are my simulated end-of-season ARPI ratings, ranks, and other data after replacing the simulated results with actual results for all games played through Sunday, August 19.

Here's a little information about how the simulated and actual results compared:

For 62.6% of the games, the simulation correctly predicted a win; and for another 2.2% it correctly predicted a tie; which together says that for 64.8 % of the games the simulation was correct.  For another 23.7%, the simulation was within a "half" of being correct, meaning either that a predicted win/loss was a tie or a predicted tie was a win/loss.  For 11.5%, the simulation's winning team lost.

To give some perspective on these prediction rates:  The NCAA's current version of the RPI, when applied retrospectively to a just completed season, matches with game results roughly 73% of the time, gets the game "half" off 11% of the time, and completely misses the result 16% of the time.

This isn't exactly an "apples to apples" comparison, but it says to me that the simulation is reasonable, taking into consideration that it is predicting future results whereas the RPI is simply measuring the actual results that already have occurred.

Here are the simulation's current numbers:

Team Conference Total Wins Total Losses Total Ties RPI Element 1 RPI Element 2 RPI Element 3 Adjusted RPI 2015 BPs NC ARPI Rank 2015 BPs NC
Princeton Ivy 15 0 1 0.9688 0.6779 0.5585 0.7312 1
Stanford PacTwelve 19 0 0 1.0000 0.6256 0.5855 0.7204 2
UCLA PacTwelve 13 1 4 0.8333 0.6829 0.5966 0.7085 3
Rutgers BigTen 19 0 2 0.9524 0.6348 0.5646 0.7060 4
SouthCarolinaU SEC 21 0 0 1.0000 0.5898 0.5966 0.6975 5
WestVirginiaU BigTwelve 19 1 1 0.9286 0.6198 0.5832 0.6955 6
NorthCarolinaU ACC 17 1 3 0.8810 0.6057 0.6115 0.6875 7
FloridaU SEC 14 2 5 0.7857 0.6594 0.6020 0.6853 8
FloridaState ACC 12 1 7 0.7750 0.6727 0.5864 0.6836 9
Auburn SEC 16 1 3 0.8750 0.6080 0.5893 0.6790 10
PennState BigTen 17 0 4 0.9048 0.6020 0.5845 0.6786 11
SouthernCalifornia PacTwelve 14 1 4 0.8421 0.6110 0.5933 0.6711 12
NotreDame ACC 13 2 6 0.7619 0.6420 0.5867 0.6671 13
TexasA&M SEC 16 2 3 0.8333 0.6137 0.5834 0.6669 14
Georgetown BigEast 16 1 3 0.8750 0.5959 0.5604 0.6612 15
Duke ACC 15 1 4 0.8500 0.5775 0.5904 0.6561 16
VirginiaU ACC 12 3 3 0.7500 0.6220 0.5960 0.6541 17
CaliforniaU PacTwelve 13 2 4 0.7895 0.6086 0.5762 0.6520 18
UCF American 13 1 5 0.8158 0.6051 0.5680 0.6520 19
ArkansasU SEC 13 1 5 0.8158 0.5859 0.5961 0.6507 20
TexasU BigTwelve 12 4 5 0.6905 0.6532 0.5694 0.6479 21
StJosephs AtlanticTen 18 2 2 0.8636 0.5731 0.5372 0.6391 22
SouthFlorida American 13 1 4 0.8333 0.5749 0.5506 0.6349 23
ArizonaU PacTwelve 14 4 1 0.7632 0.5939 0.5685 0.6314 24
Hofstra Colonial 14 3 3 0.7750 0.5909 0.5501 0.6313 25
KansasU BigTwelve 12 2 7 0.7381 0.5890 0.5849 0.6310 26
MurrayState OhioValley 18 0 1 0.9737 0.5185 0.5049 0.6296 27
ConnecticutU American 12 3 5 0.7250 0.6108 0.5614 0.6294 28
Northeastern Colonial 15 1 5 0.8333 0.5471 0.5632 0.6269 29
SouthAlabama SunBelt 19 1 0 0.9500 0.4911 0.5481 0.6251 30
Rice ConferenceUSA 15 1 4 0.8500 0.5446 0.5230 0.6185 31
MinnesotaU BigTen 12 4 4 0.7000 0.6006 0.5604 0.6184 32
Cincinnati American 10 6 4 0.6000 0.6505 0.5548 0.6164 33
SantaClara WestCoast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.5961 0.5366 0.6138 34
LongBeachState BigWest 12 5 3 0.6750 0.6107 0.5474 0.6133 35
Bucknell Patriot 15 3 2 0.8000 0.5689 0.5010 0.6117 36
TCU BigTwelve 9 3 8 0.6500 0.5976 0.5804 0.6109 37
Marquette BigEast 10 4 6 0.6500 0.6138 0.5389 0.6074 38
NorthwesternU BigTen 13 3 4 0.7500 0.5507 0.5767 0.6070 39
Pepperdine WestCoast 14 4 1 0.7632 0.5629 0.5249 0.6070 40
OhioState BigTen 10 6 3 0.6053 0.6218 0.5687 0.6059 41
FloridaGulfCoast AtlanticSun 16 1 2 0.8947 0.4988 0.5143 0.6052 42
Harvard Ivy 10 3 3 0.7188 0.5653 0.5606 0.6034 43
TexasTech BigTwelve 9 1 9 0.7105 0.5552 0.5701 0.6006 44
NCState ACC 10 7 3 0.5750 0.6271 0.5705 0.6003 45
MississippiU SEC 7 5 9 0.5476 0.6256 0.5784 0.5978 46
Monmouth MetroAtlantic 18 1 2 0.9048 0.4956 0.4867 0.5973 47
TennesseeU SEC 13 4 2 0.7368 0.5368 0.5755 0.5965 48
KentState MidAmerican 19 1 2 0.9091 0.4901 0.4952 0.5961 49
Samford Southern 16 2 4 0.8182 0.5232 0.5026 0.5929 50
Clemson ACC 11 3 5 0.7105 0.5354 0.5853 0.5917 51
EasternWashington BigSky 19 0 1 0.9750 0.4625 0.4602 0.5901 52
WashingtonState PacTwelve 10 6 3 0.6053 0.5961 0.5608 0.5895 53
Drexel Colonial 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5764 0.5630 0.5874 54
UNLV MountainWest 17 0 4 0.9048 0.4791 0.4818 0.5862 55
Lipscomb AtlanticSun 16 3 1 0.8250 0.4993 0.5134 0.5842 56
BostonCollege ACC 9 6 5 0.5750 0.5857 0.5706 0.5835 57
SanDiegoState MountainWest 12 4 5 0.6905 0.5654 0.5105 0.5831 58
NorthTexas ConferenceUSA 17 1 3 0.8810 0.4619 0.5266 0.5830 59
SanJoseState MountainWest 16 1 3 0.8750 0.4726 0.5114 0.5829 60
MississippiState SEC 5 10 2 0.3529 0.7109 0.5466 0.5824 61
WisconsinU BigTen 10 4 5 0.6579 0.5448 0.5678 0.5801 62
VirginiaTech ACC 8 6 4 0.5556 0.5895 0.5727 0.5799 63
Baylor BigTwelve 7 7 6 0.5000 0.6188 0.5725 0.5794 64
HighPoint BigSouth 17 2 2 0.8571 0.4956 0.4669 0.5788 65
NebraskaU BigTen 11 5 4 0.6500 0.5354 0.5772 0.5776 66
LaSalle AtlanticTen 11 3 5 0.7105 0.5357 0.5275 0.5776 67
OklahomaState BigTwelve 9 5 5 0.6053 0.5660 0.5718 0.5773 68
BYU WestCoast 10 3 5 0.6944 0.5327 0.5324 0.5773 69
Butler BigEast 11 6 3 0.6250 0.5605 0.5442 0.5752 70
MichiganU BigTen 8 5 6 0.5789 0.5802 0.5534 0.5741 71
StephenFAustin Southland 13 3 3 0.7632 0.5219 0.4861 0.5733 72
StLouis AtlanticTen 17 4 1 0.7955 0.4945 0.5072 0.5729 73
AlabamaU SEC 4 7 9 0.4250 0.6423 0.5739 0.5729 74
Brown Ivy 12 2 3 0.7941 0.4840 0.5277 0.5725 75
BallState MidAmerican 18 2 1 0.8810 0.4677 0.4732 0.5724 76
Drake MissouriValley 16 2 1 0.8684 0.4713 0.4785 0.5724 77
Memphis American 10 5 4 0.6316 0.5400 0.5623 0.5707 78
ColoradoU PacTwelve 12 5 3 0.6750 0.5125 0.5692 0.5686 79
UtahU PacTwelve 9 7 3 0.5526 0.5709 0.5715 0.5680 80
UNCWilmington Colonial 9 5 5 0.6053 0.5628 0.5324 0.5675 81
Columbia Ivy 8 6 2 0.5625 0.5878 0.5301 0.5670 82
UALR SunBelt 13 4 4 0.7143 0.5278 0.4941 0.5660 83
Furman Southern 14 2 2 0.8333 0.4681 0.4904 0.5650 84
LoyolaMarymount WestCoast 9 5 6 0.6000 0.5580 0.5270 0.5631 85
DePaul BigEast 12 5 3 0.6750 0.5120 0.5490 0.5622 86
Vanderbilt SEC 11 6 3 0.6250 0.5186 0.5802 0.5621 87
NewHampshireU AmericaEast 12 4 3 0.7105 0.5188 0.4958 0.5610 88
Providence BigEast 7 7 5 0.5000 0.6015 0.5346 0.5600 89
CentralArkansas Southland 14 2 6 0.7727 0.4869 0.4906 0.5593 90
SMU American 9 8 1 0.5278 0.5787 0.5501 0.5588 91
NorthernKentucky Horizon 14 3 1 0.8056 0.4833 0.4621 0.5588 92
WashingtonU PacTwelve 9 10 0 0.4737 0.5926 0.5656 0.5561 93
WakeForest ACC 3 10 4 0.2941 0.6688 0.5822 0.5539 94
CoastalCarolina SunBelt 10 2 6 0.7222 0.4928 0.5102 0.5536 95
OklahomaU BigTwelve 6 9 4 0.4211 0.6133 0.5653 0.5533 96
OldDominion ConferenceUSA 10 3 7 0.6750 0.5170 0.5021 0.5528 97
TennesseeTech OhioValley 13 4 3 0.7250 0.5022 0.4789 0.5521 98
VCU AtlanticTen 9 3 7 0.6579 0.5191 0.5053 0.5505 99
Yale Ivy 8 4 5 0.6176 0.5418 0.4919 0.5483 100
GeorgeWashington AtlanticTen 14 5 1 0.7250 0.4666 0.5273 0.5464 101
Charlotte ConferenceUSA 13 3 4 0.7500 0.4580 0.5168 0.5457 102
CalStateFullerton BigWest 9 6 6 0.5714 0.5512 0.5076 0.5453 103
LSU SEC 3 9 6 0.3333 0.6329 0.5727 0.5432 104
MissouriU SEC 5 8 6 0.4211 0.5885 0.5644 0.5415 105
MontanaU BigSky 12 5 4 0.6667 0.5133 0.4684 0.5404 106
EasternKentucky OhioValley 9 4 7 0.6250 0.5183 0.4963 0.5397 107
Navy Patriot 15 4 2 0.7619 0.4472 0.4926 0.5372 108
FairleighDickinson Northeast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.4969 0.4524 0.5365 109
Buffalo MidAmerican 13 4 3 0.7250 0.4717 0.4772 0.5364 110
GeorgeMason AtlanticTen 7 8 4 0.4737 0.5727 0.5263 0.5363 111
HoustonBaptist Southland 10 5 6 0.6190 0.5243 0.4771 0.5362 112
OregonU PacTwelve 7 11 1 0.3947 0.5940 0.5559 0.5362 113
Rider MetroAtlantic 10 4 6 0.6500 0.5058 0.4789 0.5359 114
KentuckyU SEC 6 11 2 0.3684 0.6118 0.5504 0.5356 115
Colgate Patriot 11 4 4 0.6842 0.4744 0.5076 0.5353 116
Duquesne AtlanticTen 9 5 5 0.6053 0.5082 0.5167 0.5346 117
BostonU Patriot 7 9 5 0.4524 0.5846 0.5095 0.5330 118
FloridaAtlantic ConferenceUSA 9 8 3 0.5250 0.5386 0.5201 0.5306 119
UCSantaBarbara BigWest 8 5 7 0.5750 0.5129 0.5183 0.5300 120
AppalachianState SunBelt 9 5 6 0.6000 0.5149 0.4844 0.5286 121
ArizonaState PacTwelve 5 10 4 0.3684 0.5960 0.5532 0.5284 122
Seattle WAC 14 3 3 0.7750 0.4373 0.4605 0.5275 123
Liberty AtlanticSun 8 7 4 0.5263 0.5406 0.5008 0.5271 124
Cornell Ivy 2 6 6 0.3571 0.6140 0.5225 0.5269 125
Manhattan MetroAtlantic 8 3 7 0.6389 0.5037 0.4614 0.5269 126
Belmont OhioValley 9 5 4 0.6111 0.5049 0.4797 0.5251 127
Fordham AtlanticTen 8 8 3 0.5000 0.5409 0.5156 0.5244 128
Dartmouth Ivy 6 6 5 0.5000 0.5241 0.5422 0.5226 129
NorthernColorado BigSky 14 5 1 0.7250 0.4410 0.4826 0.5224 130
William&Mary Colonial 5 8 6 0.4211 0.5598 0.5485 0.5223 131
Troy SunBelt 10 6 4 0.6000 0.4851 0.5173 0.5219 132
StJohns BigEast 7 7 5 0.5000 0.5225 0.5417 0.5217 133
IllinoisState MissouriValley 12 4 5 0.6905 0.4541 0.4874 0.5215 134
Louisville ACC 7 7 3 0.5000 0.5029 0.5788 0.5211 135
SanFrancisco WestCoast 9 9 2 0.5000 0.5306 0.5108 0.5197 136
WesternKentucky ConferenceUSA 7 10 0 0.4118 0.5840 0.4986 0.5196 137
CalStateNorthridge BigWest 9 3 6 0.6667 0.4581 0.4936 0.5193 138
UNCGreensboro Southern 8 6 6 0.5500 0.5126 0.4904 0.5164 139
WesternMichigan MidAmerican 13 5 3 0.6905 0.4500 0.4717 0.5156 140
WesternCarolina Southern 8 6 7 0.5476 0.5136 0.4767 0.5129 141
AbileneChristian Southland 11 6 3 0.6250 0.4778 0.4699 0.5126 142
SouthDakotaState Summit 13 4 3 0.7250 0.4321 0.4596 0.5122 143
Siena MetroAtlantic 6 2 12 0.6000 0.4882 0.4726 0.5120 144
Longwood BigSouth 10 4 6 0.6500 0.4684 0.4543 0.5103 145
UMKC WAC 14 3 6 0.7391 0.4167 0.4625 0.5090 146
LouisianaTech ConferenceUSA 14 3 3 0.7750 0.3793 0.5077 0.5083 147
Purdue BigTen 3 9 6 0.3333 0.5721 0.5540 0.5079 148
GeorgiaU SEC 3 13 3 0.2368 0.6178 0.5588 0.5078 149
SanDiegoU WestCoast 7 7 4 0.5000 0.4973 0.5297 0.5070 150
Hartford AmericaEast 10 4 5 0.6579 0.4522 0.4634 0.5064 151
Campbell BigSouth 10 5 4 0.6316 0.4741 0.4438 0.5059 152
Quinnipiac MetroAtlantic 8 4 6 0.6111 0.4680 0.4754 0.5054 153
WyomingU MountainWest 9 7 5 0.5476 0.4922 0.4873 0.5048 154
Syracuse ACC 0 14 4 0.1111 0.6649 0.5692 0.5027 155
StonyBrook AmericaEast 12 7 2 0.6190 0.4479 0.4949 0.5024 156
AustinPeay OhioValley 9 4 6 0.6316 0.4409 0.4912 0.5011 157
Tulsa American 6 8 3 0.4412 0.5114 0.5362 0.5000 158
CentralConnecticut Northeast 12 3 4 0.7368 0.4009 0.4601 0.4997 159
IUPUI Horizon 10 6 3 0.6053 0.4701 0.4498 0.4988 160
Milwaukee Horizon 12 4 2 0.7222 0.4055 0.4599 0.4983 161
IowaU BigTen 4 8 7 0.3947 0.5265 0.5450 0.4982 162
UtahState MountainWest 8 6 6 0.5500 0.4763 0.4957 0.4981 163
IowaState BigTwelve 4 11 4 0.3158 0.5664 0.5424 0.4978 164
Stetson AtlanticSun 9 8 2 0.5263 0.4812 0.4986 0.4968 165
JamesMadison Colonial 4 9 6 0.3684 0.5325 0.5479 0.4955 166
VermontU AmericaEast 6 5 8 0.5263 0.5022 0.4550 0.4951 167
Mercer Southern 9 4 6 0.6316 0.4426 0.4627 0.4947 168
Toledo MidAmerican 6 5 9 0.5250 0.4939 0.4629 0.4939 169
Albany AmericaEast 5 7 8 0.4500 0.5116 0.4895 0.4933 170
Lamar Southland 10 5 5 0.6250 0.4295 0.4823 0.4916 171
AlabamaState Southwestern 11 4 4 0.6842 0.4308 0.4202 0.4915 172
BoiseState MountainWest 7 6 6 0.5263 0.4713 0.4946 0.4909 173
McNeeseState Southland 9 5 7 0.5952 0.4482 0.4734 0.4905 174
EastCarolina American 5 11 2 0.3333 0.5461 0.5360 0.4904 175
Elon Colonial 5 9 4 0.3889 0.5235 0.5256 0.4904 176
Pittsburgh ACC 3 13 2 0.2222 0.5878 0.5573 0.4888 177
SoutheastMissouriState OhioValley 6 6 5 0.5000 0.4848 0.4910 0.4882 178
IllinoisU BigTen 2 13 3 0.1944 0.6019 0.5427 0.4878 179
ArkansasState SunBelt 5 8 5 0.4167 0.5214 0.4907 0.4868 180
Howard Southwestern 13 4 4 0.7143 0.4082 0.4158 0.4866 181
Dayton AtlanticTen 6 9 3 0.4167 0.5097 0.5075 0.4859 182
UCIrvine BigWest 3 8 7 0.3611 0.5228 0.5346 0.4853 183
IndianaU BigTen 5 8 5 0.4167 0.4796 0.5655 0.4853 184
DelawareU Colonial 4 10 4 0.3333 0.5395 0.5253 0.4842 185
ColoradoCollege MountainWest 4 8 6 0.3889 0.5265 0.4921 0.4835 186
Xavier BigEast 5 9 4 0.3889 0.5086 0.5280 0.4835 187
OregonState PacTwelve 2 15 2 0.1579 0.6072 0.5609 0.4833 188
CalPoly BigWest 2 11 6 0.2632 0.5779 0.5111 0.4832 189
Binghamton AmericaEast 7 3 9 0.6053 0.4285 0.4705 0.4830 190
MissouriState MissouriValley 5 8 8 0.4286 0.5161 0.4709 0.4829 191
FresnoState MountainWest 5 8 6 0.4211 0.5106 0.4896 0.4828 192
MiamiFL ACC 4 11 3 0.3056 0.5309 0.5576 0.4813 193
EastTennesseeState Southern 7 9 3 0.4474 0.5021 0.4725 0.4810 194
Lehigh Patriot 6 7 5 0.4722 0.4824 0.4869 0.4810 195
Houston American 6 8 5 0.4474 0.4826 0.5098 0.4806 196
Radford BigSouth 9 5 5 0.6053 0.4333 0.4492 0.4803 197
CentralMichigan MidAmerican 8 8 4 0.5000 0.4645 0.4832 0.4780 198
NewMexicoU MountainWest 7 7 6 0.5000 0.4611 0.4866 0.4772 199
BowlingGreen MidAmerican 6 8 6 0.4500 0.4945 0.4690 0.4770 200
LoyolaChicago MissouriValley 4 8 5 0.3824 0.5168 0.4890 0.4762 201
UCRiverside BigWest 4 6 8 0.4444 0.4880 0.4802 0.4752 202
Marshall ConferenceUSA 5 9 3 0.3824 0.5144 0.4912 0.4747 203
UtahValley WAC 7 8 5 0.4750 0.4733 0.4762 0.4742 204
UTEP ConferenceUSA 10 6 3 0.6053 0.4024 0.4865 0.4742 205
GeorgiaSouthern SunBelt 4 7 7 0.4167 0.4918 0.4954 0.4739 206
TexasState SunBelt 5 9 5 0.3947 0.4987 0.5016 0.4735 207
UAB ConferenceUSA 1 13 3 0.1471 0.6252 0.4941 0.4727 208
StFrancis Northeast 6 7 6 0.4737 0.4890 0.4376 0.4716 209
KansasState BigTwelve 2 15 1 0.1389 0.5990 0.5424 0.4713 210
MichiganState BigTen 6 10 2 0.3889 0.4766 0.5403 0.4706 211
CollegeofCharleston Colonial 4 12 3 0.2895 0.5342 0.5227 0.4702 212
OralRoberts Summit 9 7 6 0.5455 0.4366 0.4601 0.4697 213
PennsylvaniaU Ivy 4 7 5 0.4063 0.4777 0.5131 0.4687 214
NorthernArizona BigSky 8 7 4 0.5263 0.4442 0.4643 0.4681 215
MiddleTennessee ConferenceUSA 4 9 4 0.3529 0.5126 0.4917 0.4674 216
KennesawState AtlanticSun 6 10 3 0.3947 0.4860 0.4972 0.4660 217
MarylandU BigTen 1 15 3 0.1316 0.5868 0.5507 0.4640 218
SouthernMississippi ConferenceUSA 8 7 3 0.5278 0.4190 0.4894 0.4638 219
EasternMichigan MidAmerican 6 9 6 0.4286 0.4729 0.4813 0.4637 220
Chattanooga Southern 5 12 3 0.3250 0.5309 0.4608 0.4612 221
WrightState Horizon 8 7 4 0.5263 0.4234 0.4698 0.4605 222
NorthDakotaState Summit 7 5 5 0.5588 0.4211 0.4415 0.4595 223
TexasSouthern Southwestern 9 6 3 0.5833 0.4201 0.4172 0.4585 224
IdahoU BigSky 7 8 4 0.4737 0.4478 0.4690 0.4574 225
SIUEdwardsville OhioValley 5 6 6 0.4706 0.4374 0.4836 0.4573 226
Towson Colonial 2 11 6 0.2632 0.5203 0.5148 0.4547 227
Valparaiso MissouriValley 7 5 7 0.5526 0.4046 0.4600 0.4546 228
GardnerWebb BigSouth 6 10 3 0.3947 0.4840 0.4520 0.4537 229
Creighton BigEast 3 9 5 0.3235 0.4850 0.5133 0.4517 230
Niagara MetroAtlantic 4 9 6 0.3684 0.4854 0.4683 0.4517 231
UMassLowell AmericaEast 4 8 6 0.3889 0.4684 0.4708 0.4487 232
Villanova BigEast 2 13 3 0.1944 0.5325 0.5343 0.4485 233
Temple American 4 11 3 0.3056 0.4826 0.5207 0.4479 234
Fairfield MetroAtlantic 6 9 5 0.4250 0.4555 0.4474 0.4467 235
AirForce MountainWest 2 8 7 0.3235 0.4888 0.4808 0.4448 236
NorthAlabama AtlanticSun 4 8 7 0.3947 0.4506 0.4810 0.4443 237
TexasCorpusChristi Southland 4 10 5 0.3421 0.4846 0.4650 0.4441 238
HawaiiU BigWest 5 9 4 0.3889 0.4403 0.5040 0.4431 239
ColoradoState MountainWest 1 11 7 0.2368 0.5227 0.4785 0.4393 240
UNI MissouriValley 2 6 10 0.3889 0.4517 0.4664 0.4390 241
Marist MetroAtlantic 6 10 4 0.4000 0.4401 0.4714 0.4375 242
RhodeIslandU AtlanticTen 2 12 4 0.2222 0.5205 0.4868 0.4373 243
UNCAsheville BigSouth 8 6 4 0.5556 0.3851 0.4265 0.4372 244
Canisius MetroAtlantic 6 7 5 0.4722 0.4122 0.4513 0.4368 245
UCDavis BigWest 3 10 6 0.3158 0.4727 0.4970 0.4366 246
TexasRGV WAC 5 10 6 0.3810 0.4519 0.4545 0.4348 247
MiamiOH MidAmerican 2 12 4 0.2222 0.5162 0.4839 0.4346 248
ClevelandState Horizon 4 7 7 0.4167 0.4392 0.4452 0.4344 249
Lafayette Patriot 7 9 2 0.4444 0.4050 0.4757 0.4325 250
NorthFlorida AtlanticSun 5 7 5 0.4412 0.4136 0.4645 0.4310 251
JacksonvilleState OhioValley 4 11 4 0.3158 0.4680 0.4707 0.4304 252
LouisianaLafayette SunBelt 2 12 4 0.2222 0.4964 0.5020 0.4286 253
LouisianaMonroe SunBelt 2 11 5 0.2500 0.4942 0.4706 0.4271 254
OhioU MidAmerican 2 13 4 0.2105 0.5101 0.4748 0.4264 255
Bryant Northeast 5 6 6 0.4706 0.3933 0.4471 0.4252 256
Denver Summit 5 11 3 0.3421 0.4382 0.4785 0.4240 257
MassachusettsU AtlanticTen 4 10 3 0.3235 0.4361 0.4933 0.4223 258
UNOmaha Summit 5 12 2 0.3158 0.4555 0.4565 0.4195 259
NorthwesternState Southland 6 10 3 0.3947 0.4181 0.4573 0.4192 260
Richmond AtlanticTen 3 13 2 0.2222 0.4756 0.5030 0.4191 261
Gonzaga WestCoast 5 11 3 0.3421 0.4030 0.5215 0.4174 262
PortlandU WestCoast 3 15 2 0.2000 0.4829 0.5015 0.4168 263
Morehead OhioValley 2 14 2 0.1667 0.5015 0.4974 0.4167 264
SacramentoState BigSky 4 11 4 0.3158 0.4431 0.4662 0.4155 265
HolyCross Patriot 3 12 2 0.2353 0.4766 0.4743 0.4150 266
NorthernIllinois MidAmerican 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4112 0.4658 0.4141 267
SetonHall BigEast 2 14 2 0.1667 0.4949 0.4989 0.4138 268
UTSA ConferenceUSA 1 14 2 0.1176 0.5370 0.4676 0.4132 269
SamHoustonState Southland 2 12 4 0.2222 0.4766 0.4737 0.4123 270
WeberState BigSky 3 12 3 0.2500 0.4632 0.4720 0.4121 271
CalStateBakersfield WAC 3 10 5 0.3056 0.4565 0.4343 0.4112 272
GrandCanyon WAC 4 10 7 0.3571 0.4202 0.4520 0.4107 273
Evansville MissouriValley 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4797 0.4764 0.4102 274
VMI Southern 7 12 1 0.3750 0.4078 0.4544 0.4097 275
StBonaventure AtlanticTen 1 15 3 0.1316 0.5097 0.4852 0.4090 276
IllinoisChicago Horizon 3 14 3 0.2250 0.4877 0.4405 0.4089 277
GeorgiaState SunBelt 0 11 7 0.1944 0.4647 0.5114 0.4088 278
UMBC AmericaEast 5 9 3 0.3824 0.3992 0.4619 0.4080 279
ArkansasPineBluff Southwestern 3 7 4 0.3571 0.4285 0.4135 0.4069 280
Presbyterian BigSouth 3 9 4 0.3125 0.4443 0.4226 0.4050 281
MississippiValley Southwestern 6 7 5 0.4722 0.3836 0.4025 0.4048 282
StMarys WestCoast 3 10 6 0.3158 0.4037 0.4938 0.4039 283
CharlestonSouthern BigSouth 4 9 5 0.3611 0.4076 0.4428 0.4034 284
FIU ConferenceUSA 0 16 2 0.0556 0.5342 0.4911 0.4029 285
JacksonvilleU AtlanticSun 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4585 0.4817 0.4009 286
NJIT AtlanticSun 1 12 5 0.1944 0.4733 0.4627 0.3982 287
TennesseeMartin OhioValley 2 12 2 0.1875 0.4577 0.4830 0.3957 288
SacredHeart Northeast 5 12 1 0.3056 0.4168 0.4542 0.3957 289
PortlandState BigSky 3 12 2 0.2353 0.4502 0.4568 0.3951 290
SouthDakotaU Summit 4 11 3 0.3056 0.4248 0.4285 0.3950 291
Detroit Horizon 3 11 2 0.2500 0.4393 0.4495 0.3945 292
MaineU AmericaEast 1 10 4 0.2000 0.4708 0.4441 0.3931 293
SouthernUtah BigSky 2 11 5 0.2500 0.4336 0.4592 0.3928 294
Winthrop BigSouth 3 10 5 0.3056 0.4118 0.4383 0.3904 295
Grambling Southwestern 4 12 3 0.2895 0.4411 0.4019 0.3893 296
Davidson AtlanticTen 1 17 1 0.0789 0.4908 0.4945 0.3888 297
IncarnateWord Southland 0 12 4 0.1250 0.4853 0.4571 0.3866 298
NichollsState Southland 4 10 5 0.3421 0.3951 0.4320 0.3857 299
IndianaState MissouriValley 2 9 6 0.2941 0.4025 0.4479 0.3848 300
SELouisiana Southland 2 11 4 0.2353 0.4263 0.4553 0.3843 301
NorthDakotaU Summit 6 8 1 0.4333 0.3365 0.4313 0.3824 302
Army Patriot 2 13 4 0.2105 0.4313 0.4601 0.3824 303
Oakland Horizon 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4252 0.4568 0.3783 304
RobertMorris Northeast 5 12 1 0.3056 0.3940 0.4257 0.3765 305
CaliforniaBaptist WAC 4 9 3 0.3438 0.3544 0.4357 0.3705 306
WesternIllinois Summit 1 16 1 0.0833 0.4912 0.4213 0.3702 307
IdahoState BigSky 0 16 0 0.0000 0.5094 0.4604 0.3698 308
PrairieViewA&M Southwestern 4 10 4 0.3333 0.3637 0.4246 0.3678 309
Akron MidAmerican 2 15 2 0.1579 0.4277 0.4622 0.3647 310
Iona MetroAtlantic 3 14 2 0.2105 0.4059 0.4504 0.3645 311
Wofford Southern 3 14 3 0.2250 0.4103 0.4382 0.3644 312
Citadel Southern 4 13 0 0.2353 0.3917 0.4503 0.3638 313
American Patriot 2 13 2 0.1765 0.4141 0.4559 0.3602 314
NevadaU MountainWest 2 17 0 0.1053 0.4404 0.4812 0.3601 315
EasternIllinois OhioValley 2 14 2 0.1667 0.4194 0.4437 0.3573 316
USCUpstate BigSouth 4 9 3 0.3438 0.3302 0.4292 0.3552 317
Pacific WestCoast 0 17 2 0.0526 0.4438 0.4782 0.3500 318
NewMexicoState WAC 1 15 2 0.1111 0.4234 0.4399 0.3454 319
LoyolaMD Patriot 2 14 2 0.1667 0.3685 0.4597 0.3351 320
LongIsland Northeast 1 14 3 0.1389 0.3710 0.4432 0.3262 321
Wagner Northeast 1 13 3 0.1471 0.3655 0.4371 0.3249 322
MountStMary Northeast 1 13 2 0.1250 0.3791 0.4209 0.3197 323
IPFW Summit 1 15 3 0.1316 0.3706 0.4298 0.3174 324
JacksonState Southwestern 1 14 4 0.1579 0.3654 0.4095 0.3168 325
DelawareState Independent 2 17 0 0.1053 0.3888 0.4244 0.3165 326
GreenBay Horizon 0 15 2 0.0588 0.3947 0.4337 0.3147 327
StPeters MetroAtlantic 1 16 0 0.0588 0.3722 0.4437 0.3038 328
SouthernU Southwestern 1 12 2 0.1333 0.3547 0.3970 0.3010 329
AlcornState Southwestern 0 11 3 0.1071 0.3653 0.3912 0.3002 330
YoungstownState Horizon 0 15 3 0.0833 0.3545 0.4306 0.2972 331
Hampton BigSouth 0 14 0 0.0000 0.3840 0.4229 0.2887 332
AlabamaA&M Southwestern 0 15 1 0.0313 0.3430 0.4085 0.2741 333
SouthCarolinaState Independent 0 13 0 0.0000 0.3436 0.4217 0.2621 334
ChicagoState WAC 0 17 1 0.0278 0.2936 0.4267 0.2454 335


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