2018 PRE-SEASON SIMULATED END-OF-SEASON STANDINGS

Here are teams' simulated end-of-season records, RPI elements, and ARPI ratings and ranks.  Element 1 is a team's winning percentage.  Elements 2 and 3 together are the team's strength of schedule, as measured by the RPI formula.  In slightly oversimplified language, Element 2 is the average of a team's opponents' winning percentages and Element 3 is the average of a team's opponents' opponents' winning percentages.  The effective weights of the three elements are roughly 50% Element 1, 40% Element 2, and 10% Element 3.

I've compared these with pre-season rankings of All White Kit's Chris Henderson and of the United Soccer Coaches.  They each have ranked between the top 40 and the top 50.  For those teams for which they both have rankings, the average difference between the simulation's end-of-season rankings and the AWK rankings is 17.7 positions, with a median of 15.5.  For the simulation to USC comparison, the average is 13.1 and the median 9.5.  For an AWK to USC comparison, the average is 9.3 and the median 8.0.  At the end of the season, I'll compare each ranking set to the actual ARPI rankings to see which comes closest to those rankings.

It's worth pointing out that the AWK and USC rankings are intended to be ranking teams by strength.  The simulation rankings are intended to simulate how the NCAA's rating system will rank teams at the end of the season, based strictly on their performance.  These are not necessarily the same thing.

It's also important to note that the simulation rankings will tend to overrate teams from weaker conferences and underrate teams from stronger conferences.  This is due to a structural problem of the RPI formula.  In real life, teams from stronger conferences, on average, perform better than their RPI ratings say they should; and teams from weaker conferences perform more poorly than their ratings say they should.  The simulation, however, assumes that teams will perform exactly in accord with their ratings.  Thus it incorporates this RPI problem.  Given that the simulation strictly follows the RPI, there's no way to avoid this.

Team	Conference	Total Wins	Total Losses	Total Ties	RPI Element 1	RPI Element 2	RPI Element 3	Adjusted RPI 2015 BPs NC	ARPI Rank 2015 BPs NC
Princeton	Ivy	15	0	1	0.9688	0.6829	0.5601	0.7341	1
Stanford	PacTwelve	19	0	0	1.0000	0.6282	0.5885	0.7218	2
WestVirginiaU	BigTwelve	21	0	0	1.0000	0.6222	0.5860	0.7198	3
UCLA	PacTwelve	13	1	4	0.8333	0.6885	0.5990	0.7126	4
SouthCarolinaU	SEC	21	0	0	1.0000	0.5990	0.5994	0.7051	5
Rutgers	BigTen	19	0	2	0.9524	0.6206	0.5602	0.6978	6
FloridaU	SEC	14	2	5	0.7857	0.6644	0.6022	0.6871	7
FloridaState	ACC	12	1	7	0.7750	0.6691	0.5894	0.6826	8
Auburn	SEC	16	1	3	0.8750	0.6123	0.5923	0.6820	9
NorthCarolinaU	ACC	16	1	4	0.8571	0.6089	0.6063	0.6812	10
SouthernCalifornia	PacTwelve	14	1	4	0.8421	0.6183	0.5967	0.6762	11
Georgetown	BigEast	17	1	2	0.9000	0.6013	0.5613	0.6717	12
Duke	ACC	16	0	5	0.8810	0.5921	0.5910	0.6705	13
NotreDame	ACC	13	1	6	0.8000	0.6314	0.5883	0.6691	14
TexasA&M	SEC	16	2	3	0.8333	0.6123	0.5844	0.6665	15
VirginiaU	ACC	12	3	3	0.7500	0.6440	0.5960	0.6651	16
UCF	American	15	1	3	0.8684	0.5950	0.5761	0.6634	17
PennState	BigTen	16	1	4	0.8571	0.5966	0.5779	0.6602	18
CaliforniaU	PacTwelve	13	2	4	0.7895	0.6204	0.5771	0.6581	19
ArizonaU	PacTwelve	15	3	1	0.8158	0.5987	0.5717	0.6477	20
ArkansasU	SEC	13	2	4	0.7895	0.5894	0.5969	0.6450	21
TexasU	BigTwelve	11	4	6	0.6667	0.6579	0.5713	0.6434	22
Hofstra	Colonial	14	2	4	0.8000	0.5980	0.5549	0.6410	23
StJosephs	AtlanticTen	18	2	2	0.8636	0.5707	0.5349	0.6374	24
ConnecticutU	American	12	3	6	0.7143	0.6320	0.5634	0.6371	25
SouthFlorida	American	13	1	3	0.8529	0.5681	0.5518	0.6367	26
Rice	ConferenceUSA	15	0	5	0.8750	0.5637	0.5262	0.6353	27
Northeastern	Colonial	15	0	6	0.8571	0.5491	0.5699	0.6342	28
SouthAlabama	SunBelt	19	1	0	0.9500	0.5052	0.5545	0.6317	29
MurrayState	OhioValley	18	0	1	0.9737	0.5191	0.5037	0.6296	30
KansasU	BigTwelve	11	2	8	0.7143	0.5914	0.5842	0.6242	31
Cincinnati	American	10	6	4	0.6000	0.6620	0.5579	0.6229	32
Pepperdine	WestCoast	14	2	3	0.8158	0.5599	0.5244	0.6205	33
Bucknell	Patriot	15	2	3	0.8250	0.5594	0.5103	0.6164	34
Marquette	BigEast	11	4	5	0.6750	0.6161	0.5382	0.6147	35
SantaClara	WestCoast	12	4	4	0.7000	0.5942	0.5375	0.6131	36
TCU	BigTwelve	9	3	8	0.6500	0.6016	0.5800	0.6118	37
Clemson	ACC	12	2	5	0.7632	0.5455	0.5869	0.6102	38
LongBeachState	BigWest	11	5	4	0.6500	0.6127	0.5483	0.6083	39
MinnesotaU	BigTen	11	4	5	0.6750	0.5884	0.5554	0.6055	40
NorthwesternU	BigTen	13	3	4	0.7500	0.5465	0.5699	0.6032	41
Harvard	Ivy	10	3	3	0.7188	0.5606	0.5628	0.6016	42
KentState	MidAmerican	19	0	3	0.9318	0.4863	0.4952	0.5999	43
MississippiU	SEC	7	5	9	0.5476	0.6265	0.5821	0.5992	44
NCState	ACC	10	7	3	0.5750	0.6240	0.5697	0.5984	45
Drexel	Colonial	11	5	4	0.6500	0.5835	0.5671	0.5982	46
TennesseeU	SEC	13	4	2	0.7368	0.5391	0.5755	0.5976	47
OhioState	BigTen	10	6	3	0.6053	0.6077	0.5636	0.5976	48
FloridaGulfCoast	AtlanticSun	16	2	1	0.8684	0.4989	0.5151	0.5968	49
NorthTexas	ConferenceUSA	18	1	2	0.9048	0.4705	0.5362	0.5955	50
TexasTech	BigTwelve	8	1	10	0.6842	0.5613	0.5674	0.5952	51
WashingtonState	PacTwelve	10	6	3	0.6053	0.6028	0.5637	0.5937	52
EasternWashington	BigSky	19	0	1	0.9750	0.4670	0.4624	0.5928	53
Samford	Southern	16	2	4	0.8182	0.5214	0.5013	0.5917	54
UNLV	MountainWest	17	0	6	0.8696	0.5074	0.4773	0.5904	55
Monmouth	MetroAtlantic	18	1	2	0.9048	0.4834	0.4784	0.5891	56
MississippiState	SEC	5	10	2	0.3529	0.7126	0.5502	0.5841	57
HighPoint	BigSouth	17	1	3	0.8810	0.4887	0.4693	0.5819	58
SanJoseState	MountainWest	16	1	3	0.8750	0.4710	0.5060	0.5808	59
Lipscomb	AtlanticSun	15	3	2	0.8000	0.5011	0.5154	0.5794	60
Baylor	BigTwelve	7	7	6	0.5000	0.6179	0.5732	0.5787	61
BYU	WestCoast	10	3	5	0.6944	0.5348	0.5323	0.5783	62
ColoradoU	PacTwelve	13	5	2	0.7000	0.5177	0.5711	0.5779	63
StLouis	AtlanticTen	18	3	1	0.8409	0.4814	0.5057	0.5773	64
Memphis	American	10	5	4	0.6316	0.5495	0.5675	0.5767	65
VirginiaTech	ACC	9	7	2	0.5556	0.5844	0.5744	0.5762	66
Brown	Ivy	12	2	3	0.7941	0.4906	0.5283	0.5759	67
UALR	SunBelt	13	2	5	0.7750	0.5115	0.5053	0.5758	68
UtahU	PacTwelve	9	6	4	0.5789	0.5706	0.5753	0.5756	69
CoastalCarolina	SunBelt	11	3	5	0.7105	0.5376	0.5152	0.5752	70
OklahomaState	BigTwelve	10	5	5	0.6250	0.5518	0.5722	0.5752	71
WisconsinU	BigTen	11	4	5	0.6750	0.5307	0.5567	0.5746	72
SanDiegoState	MountainWest	11	4	5	0.6750	0.5521	0.5102	0.5725	73
BallState	MidAmerican	18	2	1	0.8810	0.4660	0.4727	0.5714	74
StephenFAustin	Southland	13	3	3	0.7632	0.5154	0.4872	0.5703	75
Drake	MissouriValley	16	1	2	0.8947	0.4527	0.4796	0.5699	76
LoyolaMarymount	WestCoast	10	5	5	0.6250	0.5573	0.5273	0.5691	77
LaSalle	AtlanticTen	10	3	6	0.6842	0.5327	0.5229	0.5683	78
MichiganU	BigTen	8	5	6	0.5789	0.5707	0.5476	0.5679	79
Columbia	Ivy	8	6	2	0.5625	0.5892	0.5301	0.5678	80
BostonCollege	ACC	8	7	5	0.5250	0.5817	0.5730	0.5670	81
OldDominion	ConferenceUSA	11	3	6	0.7000	0.5315	0.5047	0.5670	82
DePaul	BigEast	12	4	4	0.7000	0.5079	0.5504	0.5665	83
NebraskaU	BigTen	10	5	5	0.6250	0.5271	0.5731	0.5661	84
AlabamaU	SEC	4	8	8	0.4000	0.6409	0.5768	0.5660	85
MontanaU	BigSky	14	3	4	0.7619	0.5139	0.4736	0.5658	86
SMU	American	8	7	3	0.5278	0.5865	0.5548	0.5652	87
Butler	BigEast	10	6	4	0.6000	0.5547	0.5443	0.5648	88
NewHampshireU	AmericaEast	12	4	3	0.7105	0.5257	0.4968	0.5647	89
Liberty	AtlanticSun	9	4	6	0.6316	0.5601	0.5052	0.5642	90
UNCWilmington	Colonial	7	5	7	0.5526	0.5781	0.5370	0.5626	91
OklahomaU	BigTwelve	6	8	5	0.4474	0.6173	0.5655	0.5619	92
Vanderbilt	SEC	11	6	3	0.6250	0.5167	0.5808	0.5613	93
Providence	BigEast	7	7	5	0.5000	0.6031	0.5350	0.5609	94
LSU	SEC	4	8	6	0.3889	0.6378	0.5780	0.5608	95
CentralArkansas	Southland	14	2	6	0.7727	0.4882	0.4900	0.5600	96
WashingtonU	PacTwelve	9	10	0	0.4737	0.5979	0.5679	0.5593	97
Charlotte	ConferenceUSA	13	2	5	0.7750	0.4650	0.5273	0.5581	98
NorthernKentucky	Horizon	14	3	1	0.8056	0.4821	0.4601	0.5577	99
Furman	Southern	14	2	2	0.8333	0.4513	0.4868	0.5557	100
William&Mary	Colonial	7	6	6	0.5263	0.5625	0.5583	0.5526	101
WakeForest	ACC	3	10	5	0.3056	0.6585	0.5751	0.5498	102
Yale	Ivy	8	4	5	0.6176	0.5441	0.4914	0.5493	103
TennesseeTech	OhioValley	13	4	3	0.7250	0.4964	0.4791	0.5492	104
MissouriU	SEC	6	8	5	0.4474	0.5887	0.5664	0.5487	105
VCU	AtlanticTen	8	2	9	0.6579	0.5110	0.5036	0.5468	106
CalStateFullerton	BigWest	9	6	6	0.5714	0.5544	0.5061	0.5466	107
FloridaAtlantic	ConferenceUSA	10	7	3	0.5750	0.5420	0.5248	0.5460	108
GeorgeWashington	AtlanticTen	13	5	2	0.7000	0.4713	0.5259	0.5421	109
EasternKentucky	OhioValley	9	4	7	0.6250	0.5209	0.4960	0.5409	110
BostonU	Patriot	7	9	6	0.4545	0.5967	0.5099	0.5395	111
NorthernColorado	BigSky	15	4	1	0.7750	0.4457	0.4837	0.5375	112
Navy	Patriot	15	3	2	0.8000	0.4278	0.4904	0.5365	113
Buffalo	MidAmerican	13	4	3	0.7250	0.4715	0.4775	0.5364	114
GeorgeMason	AtlanticTen	7	8	4	0.4737	0.5732	0.5230	0.5360	115
AppalachianState	SunBelt	9	5	6	0.6000	0.5246	0.4926	0.5355	116
ArizonaState	PacTwelve	5	10	4	0.3684	0.6076	0.5549	0.5346	117
Colgate	Patriot	11	4	4	0.6842	0.4694	0.5067	0.5326	118
FairleighDickinson	Northeast	12	4	4	0.7000	0.4861	0.4581	0.5326	119
Belmont	OhioValley	9	4	5	0.6389	0.5034	0.4799	0.5314	120
HoustonBaptist	Southland	9	5	7	0.5952	0.5249	0.4784	0.5309	121
CalStateNorthridge	BigWest	10	2	6	0.7222	0.4518	0.4961	0.5307	122
UCSantaBarbara	BigWest	8	5	7	0.5750	0.5102	0.5196	0.5289	123
Duquesne	AtlanticTen	9	5	5	0.6053	0.4972	0.5147	0.5286	124
LouisianaTech	ConferenceUSA	15	2	3	0.8250	0.3861	0.5162	0.5283	125
KentuckyU	SEC	5	11	3	0.3421	0.6094	0.5474	0.5278	126
Seattle	WAC	14	3	3	0.7750	0.4350	0.4626	0.5269	127
Troy	SunBelt	10	6	4	0.6000	0.4894	0.5223	0.5253	128
OregonU	PacTwelve	6	12	1	0.3421	0.5991	0.5601	0.5251	129
WesternKentucky	ConferenceUSA	7	10	0	0.4118	0.5914	0.5053	0.5249	130
Cornell	Ivy	2	6	6	0.3571	0.6102	0.5219	0.5249	131
StJohns	BigEast	7	7	5	0.5000	0.5272	0.5419	0.5241	132
Rider	MetroAtlantic	10	5	5	0.6250	0.5006	0.4676	0.5235	133
IllinoisState	MissouriValley	12	4	5	0.6905	0.4597	0.4836	0.5234	134
Fordham	AtlanticTen	8	8	3	0.5000	0.5405	0.5123	0.5233	135
Dartmouth	Ivy	6	6	5	0.5000	0.5226	0.5429	0.5221	136
Manhattan	MetroAtlantic	8	3	7	0.6389	0.4913	0.4551	0.5192	137
Louisville	ACC	7	7	3	0.5000	0.4961	0.5787	0.5177	138
WesternMichigan	MidAmerican	13	5	3	0.6905	0.4539	0.4702	0.5171	139
WesternCarolina	Southern	8	5	8	0.5714	0.5049	0.4743	0.5139	140
Tulsa	American	7	8	3	0.4722	0.5194	0.5418	0.5132	141
Campbell	BigSouth	10	6	4	0.6000	0.5028	0.4415	0.5118	142
JamesMadison	Colonial	5	8	6	0.4211	0.5351	0.5539	0.5115	143
AlabamaState	Southwestern	11	2	6	0.7368	0.4404	0.4276	0.5113	144
Syracuse	ACC	0	13	5	0.1389	0.6646	0.5706	0.5101	145
UNCGreensboro	Southern	8	6	6	0.5500	0.5009	0.4850	0.5092	146
VermontU	AmericaEast	7	5	7	0.5526	0.5130	0.4557	0.5086	147
UMKC	WAC	14	3	6	0.7391	0.4141	0.4578	0.5065	148
Longwood	BigSouth	10	3	6	0.6842	0.4437	0.4542	0.5065	149
UtahState	MountainWest	9	6	6	0.5714	0.4814	0.4904	0.5061	150
AbileneChristian	Southland	10	6	4	0.6000	0.4741	0.4697	0.5045	151
SoutheastMissouriState	OhioValley	7	5	5	0.5588	0.4830	0.4912	0.5040	152
ArkansasState	SunBelt	6	8	4	0.4444	0.5364	0.4983	0.5039	153
Purdue	BigTen	3	9	6	0.3333	0.5666	0.5473	0.5035	154
SanDiegoU	WestCoast	7	7	4	0.5000	0.4919	0.5293	0.5035	155
Siena	MetroAtlantic	6	2	12	0.6000	0.4751	0.4643	0.5034	156
SanFrancisco	WestCoast	7	10	3	0.4250	0.5401	0.5064	0.5033	157
Hartford	AmericaEast	10	4	5	0.6579	0.4439	0.4609	0.5015	158
Stetson	AtlanticSun	9	8	2	0.5263	0.4891	0.5003	0.5012	159
SouthDakotaState	Summit	12	4	4	0.7000	0.4234	0.4557	0.5006	160
GeorgiaU	SEC	2	13	4	0.2105	0.6150	0.5589	0.4999	161
AustinPeay	OhioValley	9	4	6	0.6316	0.4369	0.4907	0.4990	162
Howard	Southwestern	13	3	5	0.7381	0.4188	0.4205	0.4988	163
OregonState	PacTwelve	3	14	2	0.2105	0.6092	0.5643	0.4983	164
IowaState	BigTwelve	4	11	4	0.3158	0.5673	0.5410	0.4978	165
Quinnipiac	MetroAtlantic	8	4	6	0.6111	0.4543	0.4675	0.4968	166
Milwaukee	Horizon	12	4	2	0.7222	0.4035	0.4577	0.4967	167
WyomingU	MountainWest	8	6	6	0.5500	0.4763	0.4812	0.4959	168
Toledo	MidAmerican	6	5	9	0.5250	0.4979	0.4623	0.4958	169
IUPUI	Horizon	10	6	3	0.6053	0.4636	0.4482	0.4952	170
DelawareU	Colonial	5	10	3	0.3611	0.5447	0.5283	0.4947	171
StFrancis	Northeast	7	6	7	0.5250	0.5097	0.4355	0.4943	172
CentralConnecticut	Northeast	11	2	5	0.7500	0.3831	0.4602	0.4941	173
Houston	American	6	6	7	0.5000	0.4785	0.5137	0.4926	174
McNeeseState	Southland	9	5	7	0.5952	0.4487	0.4749	0.4919	175
Mercer	Southern	9	4	6	0.6316	0.4376	0.4594	0.4913	176
GeorgiaSouthern	SunBelt	5	6	7	0.4722	0.4950	0.5028	0.4913	177
Marshall	ConferenceUSA	6	9	2	0.4118	0.5263	0.4958	0.4900	178
StonyBrook	AmericaEast	11	8	2	0.5714	0.4464	0.4937	0.4895	179
Binghamton	AmericaEast	8	3	8	0.6316	0.4264	0.4701	0.4886	180
Elon	Colonial	4	10	4	0.3333	0.5448	0.5289	0.4879	181
Pittsburgh	ACC	3	13	2	0.2222	0.5852	0.5570	0.4874	182
EastCarolina	American	5	12	1	0.3056	0.5512	0.5407	0.4871	183
UCIrvine	BigWest	3	8	7	0.3611	0.5248	0.5349	0.4864	184
IowaU	BigTen	4	9	6	0.3684	0.5186	0.5384	0.4860	185
BoiseState	MountainWest	7	6	6	0.5263	0.4608	0.4930	0.4852	186
UTEP	ConferenceUSA	10	5	4	0.6316	0.4076	0.4911	0.4845	187
TexasState	SunBelt	5	9	5	0.3947	0.5159	0.5083	0.4837	188
Xavier	BigEast	5	9	4	0.3889	0.5074	0.5284	0.4830	189
Lamar	Southland	9	5	6	0.6000	0.4243	0.4818	0.4826	190
UAB	ConferenceUSA	1	13	3	0.1471	0.6369	0.5017	0.4804	191
LoyolaChicago	MissouriValley	4	9	5	0.3611	0.5395	0.4812	0.4803	192
BowlingGreen	MidAmerican	6	8	6	0.4500	0.5013	0.4675	0.4800	193
CentralMichigan	MidAmerican	8	8	4	0.5000	0.4691	0.4812	0.4799	194
Lehigh	Patriot	6	7	5	0.4722	0.4797	0.4867	0.4796	195
TexasSouthern	Southwestern	9	4	5	0.6389	0.4269	0.4271	0.4796	196
UtahValley	WAC	7	7	6	0.5000	0.4705	0.4779	0.4795	197
Radford	BigSouth	9	5	5	0.6053	0.4298	0.4513	0.4790	198
CalPoly	BigWest	2	12	5	0.2368	0.5842	0.5109	0.4788	199
IdahoU	BigSky	8	8	4	0.5000	0.4714	0.4698	0.4782	200
Albany	AmericaEast	4	8	8	0.4000	0.5109	0.4873	0.4772	201
EastTennesseeState	Southern	7	9	3	0.4474	0.4939	0.4677	0.4757	202
IndianaU	BigTen	5	8	6	0.4211	0.4576	0.5662	0.4756	203
UCRiverside	BigWest	4	6	8	0.4444	0.4882	0.4810	0.4755	204
CollegeofCharleston	Colonial	4	12	3	0.2895	0.5413	0.5287	0.4752	205
PennsylvaniaU	Ivy	4	7	5	0.4063	0.4842	0.5134	0.4720	206
MissouriState	MissouriValley	4	8	8	0.4000	0.5057	0.4701	0.4704	207
MiamiFL	ACC	3	12	3	0.2500	0.5348	0.5572	0.4692	208
MiddleTennessee	ConferenceUSA	3	9	5	0.3235	0.5232	0.4963	0.4665	209
NewMexicoU	MountainWest	7	6	6	0.5263	0.4258	0.4868	0.4662	210
IllinoisU	BigTen	1	14	3	0.1389	0.5931	0.5371	0.4655	211
SouthernMississippi	ConferenceUSA	7	7	4	0.5000	0.4342	0.4938	0.4655	212
FresnoState	MountainWest	4	9	6	0.3684	0.5043	0.4847	0.4653	213
OralRoberts	Summit	8	6	8	0.5455	0.4277	0.4592	0.4650	214
Towson	Colonial	2	11	6	0.2632	0.5389	0.5182	0.4648	215
ColoradoCollege	MountainWest	3	9	6	0.3333	0.5171	0.4872	0.4637	216
EasternMichigan	MidAmerican	6	9	6	0.4286	0.4705	0.4818	0.4627	217
KennesawState	AtlanticSun	5	10	4	0.3684	0.4906	0.4976	0.4618	218
WrightState	Horizon	8	7	4	0.5263	0.4236	0.4683	0.4604	219
Valparaiso	MissouriValley	8	5	6	0.5789	0.4002	0.4598	0.4598	220
NorthernArizona	BigSky	7	6	5	0.5278	0.4204	0.4710	0.4595	221
Dayton	AtlanticTen	4	11	3	0.3056	0.5110	0.5035	0.4578	222
KansasState	BigTwelve	1	16	1	0.0833	0.6037	0.5392	0.4575	223
MichiganState	BigTen	5	10	3	0.3611	0.4662	0.5338	0.4568	224
SIUEdwardsville	OhioValley	5	6	6	0.4706	0.4379	0.4808	0.4568	225
NorthDakotaState	Summit	7	6	5	0.5278	0.4291	0.4401	0.4554	226
Temple	American	4	11	3	0.3056	0.4892	0.5205	0.4511	227
GardnerWebb	BigSouth	5	10	4	0.3684	0.4922	0.4499	0.4507	228
MarylandU	BigTen	0	16	3	0.0789	0.5890	0.5446	0.4504	229
UMassLowell	AmericaEast	4	8	6	0.3889	0.4713	0.4711	0.4503	230
UCDavis	BigWest	4	9	6	0.3684	0.4690	0.4959	0.4502	231
Creighton	BigEast	3	9	5	0.3235	0.4794	0.5104	0.4482	232
LouisianaMonroe	SunBelt	2	9	7	0.3056	0.5044	0.4785	0.4480	233
NorthFlorida	AtlanticSun	6	7	5	0.4722	0.4197	0.4705	0.4456	234
Villanova	BigEast	1	13	4	0.1667	0.5400	0.5339	0.4449	235
UNI	MissouriValley	3	6	9	0.4167	0.4471	0.4637	0.4436	236
TexasCorpusChristi	Southland	4	10	5	0.3421	0.4826	0.4663	0.4434	237
LouisianaLafayette	SunBelt	3	12	3	0.2500	0.5070	0.5091	0.4433	238
NorthAlabama	AtlanticSun	3	7	8	0.3889	0.4514	0.4799	0.4429	239
Niagara	MetroAtlantic	4	9	6	0.3684	0.4703	0.4615	0.4418	240
Chattanooga	Southern	4	13	3	0.2750	0.5172	0.4581	0.4411	241
UNCAsheville	BigSouth	9	6	3	0.5833	0.3779	0.4253	0.4411	242
AirForce	MountainWest	2	8	7	0.3235	0.4821	0.4761	0.4403	243
RhodeIslandU	AtlanticTen	2	12	4	0.2222	0.5163	0.4833	0.4346	244
HawaiiU	BigWest	4	9	5	0.3611	0.4352	0.5052	0.4340	245
MiamiOH	MidAmerican	2	12	4	0.2222	0.5145	0.4838	0.4337	246
TexasRGV	WAC	4	9	8	0.3810	0.4483	0.4533	0.4327	247
Marist	MetroAtlantic	6	10	4	0.4000	0.4314	0.4648	0.4315	248
MississippiValley	Southwestern	7	6	5	0.5278	0.3943	0.4096	0.4288	249
ColoradoState	MountainWest	1	12	6	0.2105	0.5169	0.4743	0.4280	250
JacksonvilleState	OhioValley	3	11	5	0.2895	0.4736	0.4712	0.4268	251
Bryant	Northeast	5	6	6	0.4706	0.3957	0.4450	0.4259	252
UMBC	AmericaEast	6	8	3	0.4412	0.3978	0.4663	0.4258	253
OhioU	MidAmerican	2	13	4	0.2105	0.5084	0.4757	0.4256	254
ClevelandState	Horizon	3	7	8	0.3889	0.4342	0.4417	0.4245	255
Fairfield	MetroAtlantic	5	10	5	0.3750	0.4424	0.4389	0.4237	256
Lafayette	Patriot	6	9	3	0.4167	0.4021	0.4732	0.4233	257
Gonzaga	WestCoast	6	11	3	0.3750	0.3954	0.5188	0.4211	258
MassachusettsU	AtlanticTen	4	10	3	0.3235	0.4295	0.4890	0.4179	259
NorthwesternState	Southland	5	10	4	0.3684	0.4234	0.4588	0.4178	260
Denver	Summit	5	11	3	0.3421	0.4268	0.4758	0.4177	261
WeberState	BigSky	3	12	3	0.2500	0.4727	0.4751	0.4176	262
SacramentoState	BigSky	4	11	4	0.3158	0.4453	0.4694	0.4174	263
ArkansasPineBluff	Southwestern	3	7	4	0.3571	0.4455	0.4204	0.4171	264
HolyCross	Patriot	3	12	2	0.2353	0.4754	0.4733	0.4149	265
NorthernIllinois	MidAmerican	5	10	4	0.3684	0.4123	0.4644	0.4143	266
Richmond	AtlanticTen	3	13	2	0.2222	0.4654	0.5008	0.4135	267
GeorgiaState	SunBelt	0	11	7	0.1944	0.4698	0.5173	0.4128	268
Canisius	MetroAtlantic	5	8	5	0.4167	0.3967	0.4444	0.4127	269
SacredHeart	Northeast	6	11	1	0.3611	0.4172	0.4551	0.4127	270
UTSA	ConferenceUSA	0	14	3	0.0882	0.5460	0.4743	0.4118	271
PortlandU	WestCoast	2	15	3	0.1750	0.4826	0.4989	0.4098	272
IllinoisChicago	Horizon	3	14	3	0.2250	0.4888	0.4401	0.4094	273
GrandCanyon	WAC	4	10	7	0.3571	0.4165	0.4519	0.4088	274
Morehead	OhioValley	1	14	3	0.1389	0.5016	0.4954	0.4085	275
UNOmaha	Summit	5	13	1	0.2895	0.4459	0.4529	0.4073	276
NichollsState	Southland	5	8	6	0.4211	0.3885	0.4360	0.4072	277
VMI	Southern	7	12	1	0.3750	0.4040	0.4498	0.4067	278
FIU	ConferenceUSA	0	16	2	0.0556	0.5363	0.4976	0.4055	279
SetonHall	BigEast	2	15	1	0.1389	0.4925	0.4965	0.4051	280
NJIT	AtlanticSun	2	12	4	0.2222	0.4698	0.4615	0.4036	281
CalStateBakersfield	WAC	3	11	5	0.2895	0.4504	0.4326	0.4022	282
Presbyterian	BigSouth	3	9	4	0.3125	0.4381	0.4195	0.4012	283
StMarys	WestCoast	3	10	6	0.3158	0.3976	0.4930	0.4006	284
StBonaventure	AtlanticTen	1	16	2	0.1053	0.5090	0.4799	0.4001	285
PortlandState	BigSky	2	12	3	0.2059	0.4699	0.4576	0.3978	286
TennesseeMartin	OhioValley	2	12	2	0.1875	0.4589	0.4845	0.3967	287
JacksonvilleU	AtlanticSun	2	12	3	0.2059	0.4491	0.4826	0.3965	288
Evansville	MissouriValley	1	13	3	0.1471	0.4831	0.4730	0.3964	289
SamHoustonState	Southland	1	14	3	0.1389	0.4849	0.4714	0.3950	290
CharlestonSouthern	BigSouth	3	9	6	0.3333	0.4082	0.4389	0.3949	291
Detroit	Horizon	3	11	2	0.2500	0.4388	0.4472	0.3937	292
MaineU	AmericaEast	1	10	4	0.2000	0.4708	0.4415	0.3926	293
SouthernUtah	BigSky	2	11	5	0.2500	0.4298	0.4613	0.3914	294
IndianaState	MissouriValley	3	9	5	0.3235	0.3972	0.4462	0.3899	295
SELouisiana	Southland	3	11	4	0.2778	0.4099	0.4544	0.3880	296
IncarnateWord	Southland	0	12	4	0.1250	0.4876	0.4579	0.3880	297
Grambling	Southwestern	3	13	3	0.2368	0.4567	0.4106	0.3861	298
Davidson	AtlanticTen	1	17	1	0.0789	0.4819	0.4950	0.3845	299
Winthrop	BigSouth	3	11	4	0.2778	0.4130	0.4383	0.3840	300
SouthDakotaU	Summit	4	12	2	0.2778	0.4194	0.4225	0.3839	301
PrairieViewA&M	Southwestern	4	10	4	0.3333	0.3811	0.4317	0.3790	302
CaliforniaBaptist	WAC	4	9	3	0.3438	0.3677	0.4347	0.3772	303
IdahoState	BigSky	0	16	0	0.0000	0.5222	0.4591	0.3759	304
Army	Patriot	2	14	3	0.1842	0.4334	0.4559	0.3758	305
Oakland	Horizon	2	12	3	0.2059	0.4200	0.4555	0.3753	306
NorthDakotaU	Summit	5	8	2	0.4000	0.3339	0.4320	0.3727	307
Akron	MidAmerican	2	14	3	0.1842	0.4243	0.4627	0.3710	308
WesternIllinois	Summit	1	16	1	0.0833	0.4840	0.4167	0.3655	309
RobertMorris	Northeast	4	13	1	0.2500	0.4023	0.4229	0.3651	310
Wofford	Southern	3	14	3	0.2250	0.4086	0.4336	0.3637	311
American	Patriot	2	14	1	0.1471	0.4206	0.4519	0.3550	312
USCUpstate	BigSouth	4	9	3	0.3438	0.3284	0.4255	0.3534	313
Pacific	WestCoast	0	17	2	0.0526	0.4487	0.4747	0.3516	314
EasternIllinois	OhioValley	2	15	1	0.1389	0.4199	0.4412	0.3500	315
Iona	MetroAtlantic	2	15	2	0.1579	0.3933	0.4423	0.3415	316
NewMexicoState	WAC	1	15	2	0.1111	0.4184	0.4347	0.3410	317
LoyolaMD	Patriot	2	14	2	0.1667	0.3737	0.4616	0.3382	318
Citadel	Southern	2	15	0	0.1176	0.3868	0.4435	0.3302	319
NevadaU	MountainWest	0	19	0	0.0000	0.4313	0.4783	0.3285	320
MountStMary	Northeast	1	13	2	0.1250	0.3867	0.4222	0.3239	321
Wagner	Northeast	1	13	3	0.1471	0.3554	0.4351	0.3178	322
JacksonState	Southwestern	1	15	4	0.1500	0.3687	0.4179	0.3166	323
LongIsland	Northeast	1	15	2	0.1111	0.3686	0.4409	0.3142	324
AlcornState	Southwestern	0	11	3	0.1071	0.3855	0.3974	0.3126	325
SouthernU	Southwestern	1	12	2	0.1333	0.3664	0.4029	0.3091	326
GreenBay	Horizon	0	15	2	0.0588	0.3861	0.4304	0.3089	327
DelawareState	Independent	2	17	0	0.1053	0.3810	0.4204	0.3066	328
IPFW	Summit	1	16	2	0.1053	0.3582	0.4274	0.3028	329
YoungstownState	Horizon	1	15	2	0.1111	0.3461	0.4285	0.2988	330
StPeters	MetroAtlantic	1	16	0	0.0588	0.3608	0.4344	0.2943	331
Hampton	BigSouth	0	14	0	0.0000	0.3708	0.4211	0.2816	332
AlabamaA&M	Southwestern	0	15	1	0.0313	0.3459	0.4150	0.2771	333
SouthCarolinaState	Independent	0	13	0	0.0000	0.3319	0.4221	0.2564	334
ChicagoState	WAC	0	18	0	0.0000	0.2895	0.4232	0.2321	335