Friday, August 17, 2018

2018 PRE-SEASON SIMULATED END-OF-SEASON STANDINGS

Here are teams' simulated end-of-season records, RPI elements, and ARPI ratings and ranks.  Element 1 is a team's winning percentage.  Elements 2 and 3 together are the team's strength of schedule, as measured by the RPI formula.  In slightly oversimplified language, Element 2 is the average of a team's opponents' winning percentages and Element 3 is the average of a team's opponents' opponents' winning percentages.  The effective weights of the three elements are roughly 50% Element 1, 40% Element 2, and 10% Element 3.

I've compared these with pre-season rankings of All White Kit's Chris Henderson and of the United Soccer Coaches.  They each have ranked between the top 40 and the top 50.  For those teams for which they both have rankings, the average difference between the simulation's end-of-season rankings and the AWK rankings is 17.7 positions, with a median of 15.5.  For the simulation to USC comparison, the average is 13.1 and the median 9.5.  For an AWK to USC comparison, the average is 9.3 and the median 8.0.  At the end of the season, I'll compare each ranking set to the actual ARPI rankings to see which comes closest to those rankings.

It's worth pointing out that the AWK and USC rankings are intended to be ranking teams by strength.  The simulation rankings are intended to simulate how the NCAA's rating system will rank teams at the end of the season, based strictly on their performance.  These are not necessarily the same thing.

It's also important to note that the simulation rankings will tend to overrate teams from weaker conferences and underrate teams from stronger conferences.  This is due to a structural problem of the RPI formula.  In real life, teams from stronger conferences, on average, perform better than their RPI ratings say they should; and teams from weaker conferences perform more poorly than their ratings say they should.  The simulation, however, assumes that teams will perform exactly in accord with their ratings.  Thus it incorporates this RPI problem.  Given that the simulation strictly follows the RPI, there's no way to avoid this.
Team Conference Total Wins Total Losses Total Ties RPI Element 1 RPI Element 2 RPI Element 3 Adjusted RPI 2015 BPs NC ARPI Rank 2015 BPs NC
Princeton Ivy 15 0 1 0.9688 0.6829 0.5601 0.7341 1
Stanford PacTwelve 19 0 0 1.0000 0.6282 0.5885 0.7218 2
WestVirginiaU BigTwelve 21 0 0 1.0000 0.6222 0.5860 0.7198 3
UCLA PacTwelve 13 1 4 0.8333 0.6885 0.5990 0.7126 4
SouthCarolinaU SEC 21 0 0 1.0000 0.5990 0.5994 0.7051 5
Rutgers BigTen 19 0 2 0.9524 0.6206 0.5602 0.6978 6
FloridaU SEC 14 2 5 0.7857 0.6644 0.6022 0.6871 7
FloridaState ACC 12 1 7 0.7750 0.6691 0.5894 0.6826 8
Auburn SEC 16 1 3 0.8750 0.6123 0.5923 0.6820 9
NorthCarolinaU ACC 16 1 4 0.8571 0.6089 0.6063 0.6812 10
SouthernCalifornia PacTwelve 14 1 4 0.8421 0.6183 0.5967 0.6762 11
Georgetown BigEast 17 1 2 0.9000 0.6013 0.5613 0.6717 12
Duke ACC 16 0 5 0.8810 0.5921 0.5910 0.6705 13
NotreDame ACC 13 1 6 0.8000 0.6314 0.5883 0.6691 14
TexasA&M SEC 16 2 3 0.8333 0.6123 0.5844 0.6665 15
VirginiaU ACC 12 3 3 0.7500 0.6440 0.5960 0.6651 16
UCF American 15 1 3 0.8684 0.5950 0.5761 0.6634 17
PennState BigTen 16 1 4 0.8571 0.5966 0.5779 0.6602 18
CaliforniaU PacTwelve 13 2 4 0.7895 0.6204 0.5771 0.6581 19
ArizonaU PacTwelve 15 3 1 0.8158 0.5987 0.5717 0.6477 20
ArkansasU SEC 13 2 4 0.7895 0.5894 0.5969 0.6450 21
TexasU BigTwelve 11 4 6 0.6667 0.6579 0.5713 0.6434 22
Hofstra Colonial 14 2 4 0.8000 0.5980 0.5549 0.6410 23
StJosephs AtlanticTen 18 2 2 0.8636 0.5707 0.5349 0.6374 24
ConnecticutU American 12 3 6 0.7143 0.6320 0.5634 0.6371 25
SouthFlorida American 13 1 3 0.8529 0.5681 0.5518 0.6367 26
Rice ConferenceUSA 15 0 5 0.8750 0.5637 0.5262 0.6353 27
Northeastern Colonial 15 0 6 0.8571 0.5491 0.5699 0.6342 28
SouthAlabama SunBelt 19 1 0 0.9500 0.5052 0.5545 0.6317 29
MurrayState OhioValley 18 0 1 0.9737 0.5191 0.5037 0.6296 30
KansasU BigTwelve 11 2 8 0.7143 0.5914 0.5842 0.6242 31
Cincinnati American 10 6 4 0.6000 0.6620 0.5579 0.6229 32
Pepperdine WestCoast 14 2 3 0.8158 0.5599 0.5244 0.6205 33
Bucknell Patriot 15 2 3 0.8250 0.5594 0.5103 0.6164 34
Marquette BigEast 11 4 5 0.6750 0.6161 0.5382 0.6147 35
SantaClara WestCoast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.5942 0.5375 0.6131 36
TCU BigTwelve 9 3 8 0.6500 0.6016 0.5800 0.6118 37
Clemson ACC 12 2 5 0.7632 0.5455 0.5869 0.6102 38
LongBeachState BigWest 11 5 4 0.6500 0.6127 0.5483 0.6083 39
MinnesotaU BigTen 11 4 5 0.6750 0.5884 0.5554 0.6055 40
NorthwesternU BigTen 13 3 4 0.7500 0.5465 0.5699 0.6032 41
Harvard Ivy 10 3 3 0.7188 0.5606 0.5628 0.6016 42
KentState MidAmerican 19 0 3 0.9318 0.4863 0.4952 0.5999 43
MississippiU SEC 7 5 9 0.5476 0.6265 0.5821 0.5992 44
NCState ACC 10 7 3 0.5750 0.6240 0.5697 0.5984 45
Drexel Colonial 11 5 4 0.6500 0.5835 0.5671 0.5982 46
TennesseeU SEC 13 4 2 0.7368 0.5391 0.5755 0.5976 47
OhioState BigTen 10 6 3 0.6053 0.6077 0.5636 0.5976 48
FloridaGulfCoast AtlanticSun 16 2 1 0.8684 0.4989 0.5151 0.5968 49
NorthTexas ConferenceUSA 18 1 2 0.9048 0.4705 0.5362 0.5955 50
TexasTech BigTwelve 8 1 10 0.6842 0.5613 0.5674 0.5952 51
WashingtonState PacTwelve 10 6 3 0.6053 0.6028 0.5637 0.5937 52
EasternWashington BigSky 19 0 1 0.9750 0.4670 0.4624 0.5928 53
Samford Southern 16 2 4 0.8182 0.5214 0.5013 0.5917 54
UNLV MountainWest 17 0 6 0.8696 0.5074 0.4773 0.5904 55
Monmouth MetroAtlantic 18 1 2 0.9048 0.4834 0.4784 0.5891 56
MississippiState SEC 5 10 2 0.3529 0.7126 0.5502 0.5841 57
HighPoint BigSouth 17 1 3 0.8810 0.4887 0.4693 0.5819 58
SanJoseState MountainWest 16 1 3 0.8750 0.4710 0.5060 0.5808 59
Lipscomb AtlanticSun 15 3 2 0.8000 0.5011 0.5154 0.5794 60
Baylor BigTwelve 7 7 6 0.5000 0.6179 0.5732 0.5787 61
BYU WestCoast 10 3 5 0.6944 0.5348 0.5323 0.5783 62
ColoradoU PacTwelve 13 5 2 0.7000 0.5177 0.5711 0.5779 63
StLouis AtlanticTen 18 3 1 0.8409 0.4814 0.5057 0.5773 64
Memphis American 10 5 4 0.6316 0.5495 0.5675 0.5767 65
VirginiaTech ACC 9 7 2 0.5556 0.5844 0.5744 0.5762 66
Brown Ivy 12 2 3 0.7941 0.4906 0.5283 0.5759 67
UALR SunBelt 13 2 5 0.7750 0.5115 0.5053 0.5758 68
UtahU PacTwelve 9 6 4 0.5789 0.5706 0.5753 0.5756 69
CoastalCarolina SunBelt 11 3 5 0.7105 0.5376 0.5152 0.5752 70
OklahomaState BigTwelve 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5518 0.5722 0.5752 71
WisconsinU BigTen 11 4 5 0.6750 0.5307 0.5567 0.5746 72
SanDiegoState MountainWest 11 4 5 0.6750 0.5521 0.5102 0.5725 73
BallState MidAmerican 18 2 1 0.8810 0.4660 0.4727 0.5714 74
StephenFAustin Southland 13 3 3 0.7632 0.5154 0.4872 0.5703 75
Drake MissouriValley 16 1 2 0.8947 0.4527 0.4796 0.5699 76
LoyolaMarymount WestCoast 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5573 0.5273 0.5691 77
LaSalle AtlanticTen 10 3 6 0.6842 0.5327 0.5229 0.5683 78
MichiganU BigTen 8 5 6 0.5789 0.5707 0.5476 0.5679 79
Columbia Ivy 8 6 2 0.5625 0.5892 0.5301 0.5678 80
BostonCollege ACC 8 7 5 0.5250 0.5817 0.5730 0.5670 81
OldDominion ConferenceUSA 11 3 6 0.7000 0.5315 0.5047 0.5670 82
DePaul BigEast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.5079 0.5504 0.5665 83
NebraskaU BigTen 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5271 0.5731 0.5661 84
AlabamaU SEC 4 8 8 0.4000 0.6409 0.5768 0.5660 85
MontanaU BigSky 14 3 4 0.7619 0.5139 0.4736 0.5658 86
SMU American 8 7 3 0.5278 0.5865 0.5548 0.5652 87
Butler BigEast 10 6 4 0.6000 0.5547 0.5443 0.5648 88
NewHampshireU AmericaEast 12 4 3 0.7105 0.5257 0.4968 0.5647 89
Liberty AtlanticSun 9 4 6 0.6316 0.5601 0.5052 0.5642 90
UNCWilmington Colonial 7 5 7 0.5526 0.5781 0.5370 0.5626 91
OklahomaU BigTwelve 6 8 5 0.4474 0.6173 0.5655 0.5619 92
Vanderbilt SEC 11 6 3 0.6250 0.5167 0.5808 0.5613 93
Providence BigEast 7 7 5 0.5000 0.6031 0.5350 0.5609 94
LSU SEC 4 8 6 0.3889 0.6378 0.5780 0.5608 95
CentralArkansas Southland 14 2 6 0.7727 0.4882 0.4900 0.5600 96
WashingtonU PacTwelve 9 10 0 0.4737 0.5979 0.5679 0.5593 97
Charlotte ConferenceUSA 13 2 5 0.7750 0.4650 0.5273 0.5581 98
NorthernKentucky Horizon 14 3 1 0.8056 0.4821 0.4601 0.5577 99
Furman Southern 14 2 2 0.8333 0.4513 0.4868 0.5557 100
William&Mary Colonial 7 6 6 0.5263 0.5625 0.5583 0.5526 101
WakeForest ACC 3 10 5 0.3056 0.6585 0.5751 0.5498 102
Yale Ivy 8 4 5 0.6176 0.5441 0.4914 0.5493 103
TennesseeTech OhioValley 13 4 3 0.7250 0.4964 0.4791 0.5492 104
MissouriU SEC 6 8 5 0.4474 0.5887 0.5664 0.5487 105
VCU AtlanticTen 8 2 9 0.6579 0.5110 0.5036 0.5468 106
CalStateFullerton BigWest 9 6 6 0.5714 0.5544 0.5061 0.5466 107
FloridaAtlantic ConferenceUSA 10 7 3 0.5750 0.5420 0.5248 0.5460 108
GeorgeWashington AtlanticTen 13 5 2 0.7000 0.4713 0.5259 0.5421 109
EasternKentucky OhioValley 9 4 7 0.6250 0.5209 0.4960 0.5409 110
BostonU Patriot 7 9 6 0.4545 0.5967 0.5099 0.5395 111
NorthernColorado BigSky 15 4 1 0.7750 0.4457 0.4837 0.5375 112
Navy Patriot 15 3 2 0.8000 0.4278 0.4904 0.5365 113
Buffalo MidAmerican 13 4 3 0.7250 0.4715 0.4775 0.5364 114
GeorgeMason AtlanticTen 7 8 4 0.4737 0.5732 0.5230 0.5360 115
AppalachianState SunBelt 9 5 6 0.6000 0.5246 0.4926 0.5355 116
ArizonaState PacTwelve 5 10 4 0.3684 0.6076 0.5549 0.5346 117
Colgate Patriot 11 4 4 0.6842 0.4694 0.5067 0.5326 118
FairleighDickinson Northeast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.4861 0.4581 0.5326 119
Belmont OhioValley 9 4 5 0.6389 0.5034 0.4799 0.5314 120
HoustonBaptist Southland 9 5 7 0.5952 0.5249 0.4784 0.5309 121
CalStateNorthridge BigWest 10 2 6 0.7222 0.4518 0.4961 0.5307 122
UCSantaBarbara BigWest 8 5 7 0.5750 0.5102 0.5196 0.5289 123
Duquesne AtlanticTen 9 5 5 0.6053 0.4972 0.5147 0.5286 124
LouisianaTech ConferenceUSA 15 2 3 0.8250 0.3861 0.5162 0.5283 125
KentuckyU SEC 5 11 3 0.3421 0.6094 0.5474 0.5278 126
Seattle WAC 14 3 3 0.7750 0.4350 0.4626 0.5269 127
Troy SunBelt 10 6 4 0.6000 0.4894 0.5223 0.5253 128
OregonU PacTwelve 6 12 1 0.3421 0.5991 0.5601 0.5251 129
WesternKentucky ConferenceUSA 7 10 0 0.4118 0.5914 0.5053 0.5249 130
Cornell Ivy 2 6 6 0.3571 0.6102 0.5219 0.5249 131
StJohns BigEast 7 7 5 0.5000 0.5272 0.5419 0.5241 132
Rider MetroAtlantic 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5006 0.4676 0.5235 133
IllinoisState MissouriValley 12 4 5 0.6905 0.4597 0.4836 0.5234 134
Fordham AtlanticTen 8 8 3 0.5000 0.5405 0.5123 0.5233 135
Dartmouth Ivy 6 6 5 0.5000 0.5226 0.5429 0.5221 136
Manhattan MetroAtlantic 8 3 7 0.6389 0.4913 0.4551 0.5192 137
Louisville ACC 7 7 3 0.5000 0.4961 0.5787 0.5177 138
WesternMichigan MidAmerican 13 5 3 0.6905 0.4539 0.4702 0.5171 139
WesternCarolina Southern 8 5 8 0.5714 0.5049 0.4743 0.5139 140
Tulsa American 7 8 3 0.4722 0.5194 0.5418 0.5132 141
Campbell BigSouth 10 6 4 0.6000 0.5028 0.4415 0.5118 142
JamesMadison Colonial 5 8 6 0.4211 0.5351 0.5539 0.5115 143
AlabamaState Southwestern 11 2 6 0.7368 0.4404 0.4276 0.5113 144
Syracuse ACC 0 13 5 0.1389 0.6646 0.5706 0.5101 145
UNCGreensboro Southern 8 6 6 0.5500 0.5009 0.4850 0.5092 146
VermontU AmericaEast 7 5 7 0.5526 0.5130 0.4557 0.5086 147
UMKC WAC 14 3 6 0.7391 0.4141 0.4578 0.5065 148
Longwood BigSouth 10 3 6 0.6842 0.4437 0.4542 0.5065 149
UtahState MountainWest 9 6 6 0.5714 0.4814 0.4904 0.5061 150
AbileneChristian Southland 10 6 4 0.6000 0.4741 0.4697 0.5045 151
SoutheastMissouriState OhioValley 7 5 5 0.5588 0.4830 0.4912 0.5040 152
ArkansasState SunBelt 6 8 4 0.4444 0.5364 0.4983 0.5039 153
Purdue BigTen 3 9 6 0.3333 0.5666 0.5473 0.5035 154
SanDiegoU WestCoast 7 7 4 0.5000 0.4919 0.5293 0.5035 155
Siena MetroAtlantic 6 2 12 0.6000 0.4751 0.4643 0.5034 156
SanFrancisco WestCoast 7 10 3 0.4250 0.5401 0.5064 0.5033 157
Hartford AmericaEast 10 4 5 0.6579 0.4439 0.4609 0.5015 158
Stetson AtlanticSun 9 8 2 0.5263 0.4891 0.5003 0.5012 159
SouthDakotaState Summit 12 4 4 0.7000 0.4234 0.4557 0.5006 160
GeorgiaU SEC 2 13 4 0.2105 0.6150 0.5589 0.4999 161
AustinPeay OhioValley 9 4 6 0.6316 0.4369 0.4907 0.4990 162
Howard Southwestern 13 3 5 0.7381 0.4188 0.4205 0.4988 163
OregonState PacTwelve 3 14 2 0.2105 0.6092 0.5643 0.4983 164
IowaState BigTwelve 4 11 4 0.3158 0.5673 0.5410 0.4978 165
Quinnipiac MetroAtlantic 8 4 6 0.6111 0.4543 0.4675 0.4968 166
Milwaukee Horizon 12 4 2 0.7222 0.4035 0.4577 0.4967 167
WyomingU MountainWest 8 6 6 0.5500 0.4763 0.4812 0.4959 168
Toledo MidAmerican 6 5 9 0.5250 0.4979 0.4623 0.4958 169
IUPUI Horizon 10 6 3 0.6053 0.4636 0.4482 0.4952 170
DelawareU Colonial 5 10 3 0.3611 0.5447 0.5283 0.4947 171
StFrancis Northeast 7 6 7 0.5250 0.5097 0.4355 0.4943 172
CentralConnecticut Northeast 11 2 5 0.7500 0.3831 0.4602 0.4941 173
Houston American 6 6 7 0.5000 0.4785 0.5137 0.4926 174
McNeeseState Southland 9 5 7 0.5952 0.4487 0.4749 0.4919 175
Mercer Southern 9 4 6 0.6316 0.4376 0.4594 0.4913 176
GeorgiaSouthern SunBelt 5 6 7 0.4722 0.4950 0.5028 0.4913 177
Marshall ConferenceUSA 6 9 2 0.4118 0.5263 0.4958 0.4900 178
StonyBrook AmericaEast 11 8 2 0.5714 0.4464 0.4937 0.4895 179
Binghamton AmericaEast 8 3 8 0.6316 0.4264 0.4701 0.4886 180
Elon Colonial 4 10 4 0.3333 0.5448 0.5289 0.4879 181
Pittsburgh ACC 3 13 2 0.2222 0.5852 0.5570 0.4874 182
EastCarolina American 5 12 1 0.3056 0.5512 0.5407 0.4871 183
UCIrvine BigWest 3 8 7 0.3611 0.5248 0.5349 0.4864 184
IowaU BigTen 4 9 6 0.3684 0.5186 0.5384 0.4860 185
BoiseState MountainWest 7 6 6 0.5263 0.4608 0.4930 0.4852 186
UTEP ConferenceUSA 10 5 4 0.6316 0.4076 0.4911 0.4845 187
TexasState SunBelt 5 9 5 0.3947 0.5159 0.5083 0.4837 188
Xavier BigEast 5 9 4 0.3889 0.5074 0.5284 0.4830 189
Lamar Southland 9 5 6 0.6000 0.4243 0.4818 0.4826 190
UAB ConferenceUSA 1 13 3 0.1471 0.6369 0.5017 0.4804 191
LoyolaChicago MissouriValley 4 9 5 0.3611 0.5395 0.4812 0.4803 192
BowlingGreen MidAmerican 6 8 6 0.4500 0.5013 0.4675 0.4800 193
CentralMichigan MidAmerican 8 8 4 0.5000 0.4691 0.4812 0.4799 194
Lehigh Patriot 6 7 5 0.4722 0.4797 0.4867 0.4796 195
TexasSouthern Southwestern 9 4 5 0.6389 0.4269 0.4271 0.4796 196
UtahValley WAC 7 7 6 0.5000 0.4705 0.4779 0.4795 197
Radford BigSouth 9 5 5 0.6053 0.4298 0.4513 0.4790 198
CalPoly BigWest 2 12 5 0.2368 0.5842 0.5109 0.4788 199
IdahoU BigSky 8 8 4 0.5000 0.4714 0.4698 0.4782 200
Albany AmericaEast 4 8 8 0.4000 0.5109 0.4873 0.4772 201
EastTennesseeState Southern 7 9 3 0.4474 0.4939 0.4677 0.4757 202
IndianaU BigTen 5 8 6 0.4211 0.4576 0.5662 0.4756 203
UCRiverside BigWest 4 6 8 0.4444 0.4882 0.4810 0.4755 204
CollegeofCharleston Colonial 4 12 3 0.2895 0.5413 0.5287 0.4752 205
PennsylvaniaU Ivy 4 7 5 0.4063 0.4842 0.5134 0.4720 206
MissouriState MissouriValley 4 8 8 0.4000 0.5057 0.4701 0.4704 207
MiamiFL ACC 3 12 3 0.2500 0.5348 0.5572 0.4692 208
MiddleTennessee ConferenceUSA 3 9 5 0.3235 0.5232 0.4963 0.4665 209
NewMexicoU MountainWest 7 6 6 0.5263 0.4258 0.4868 0.4662 210
IllinoisU BigTen 1 14 3 0.1389 0.5931 0.5371 0.4655 211
SouthernMississippi ConferenceUSA 7 7 4 0.5000 0.4342 0.4938 0.4655 212
FresnoState MountainWest 4 9 6 0.3684 0.5043 0.4847 0.4653 213
OralRoberts Summit 8 6 8 0.5455 0.4277 0.4592 0.4650 214
Towson Colonial 2 11 6 0.2632 0.5389 0.5182 0.4648 215
ColoradoCollege MountainWest 3 9 6 0.3333 0.5171 0.4872 0.4637 216
EasternMichigan MidAmerican 6 9 6 0.4286 0.4705 0.4818 0.4627 217
KennesawState AtlanticSun 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4906 0.4976 0.4618 218
WrightState Horizon 8 7 4 0.5263 0.4236 0.4683 0.4604 219
Valparaiso MissouriValley 8 5 6 0.5789 0.4002 0.4598 0.4598 220
NorthernArizona BigSky 7 6 5 0.5278 0.4204 0.4710 0.4595 221
Dayton AtlanticTen 4 11 3 0.3056 0.5110 0.5035 0.4578 222
KansasState BigTwelve 1 16 1 0.0833 0.6037 0.5392 0.4575 223
MichiganState BigTen 5 10 3 0.3611 0.4662 0.5338 0.4568 224
SIUEdwardsville OhioValley 5 6 6 0.4706 0.4379 0.4808 0.4568 225
NorthDakotaState Summit 7 6 5 0.5278 0.4291 0.4401 0.4554 226
Temple American 4 11 3 0.3056 0.4892 0.5205 0.4511 227
GardnerWebb BigSouth 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4922 0.4499 0.4507 228
MarylandU BigTen 0 16 3 0.0789 0.5890 0.5446 0.4504 229
UMassLowell AmericaEast 4 8 6 0.3889 0.4713 0.4711 0.4503 230
UCDavis BigWest 4 9 6 0.3684 0.4690 0.4959 0.4502 231
Creighton BigEast 3 9 5 0.3235 0.4794 0.5104 0.4482 232
LouisianaMonroe SunBelt 2 9 7 0.3056 0.5044 0.4785 0.4480 233
NorthFlorida AtlanticSun 6 7 5 0.4722 0.4197 0.4705 0.4456 234
Villanova BigEast 1 13 4 0.1667 0.5400 0.5339 0.4449 235
UNI MissouriValley 3 6 9 0.4167 0.4471 0.4637 0.4436 236
TexasCorpusChristi Southland 4 10 5 0.3421 0.4826 0.4663 0.4434 237
LouisianaLafayette SunBelt 3 12 3 0.2500 0.5070 0.5091 0.4433 238
NorthAlabama AtlanticSun 3 7 8 0.3889 0.4514 0.4799 0.4429 239
Niagara MetroAtlantic 4 9 6 0.3684 0.4703 0.4615 0.4418 240
Chattanooga Southern 4 13 3 0.2750 0.5172 0.4581 0.4411 241
UNCAsheville BigSouth 9 6 3 0.5833 0.3779 0.4253 0.4411 242
AirForce MountainWest 2 8 7 0.3235 0.4821 0.4761 0.4403 243
RhodeIslandU AtlanticTen 2 12 4 0.2222 0.5163 0.4833 0.4346 244
HawaiiU BigWest 4 9 5 0.3611 0.4352 0.5052 0.4340 245
MiamiOH MidAmerican 2 12 4 0.2222 0.5145 0.4838 0.4337 246
TexasRGV WAC 4 9 8 0.3810 0.4483 0.4533 0.4327 247
Marist MetroAtlantic 6 10 4 0.4000 0.4314 0.4648 0.4315 248
MississippiValley Southwestern 7 6 5 0.5278 0.3943 0.4096 0.4288 249
ColoradoState MountainWest 1 12 6 0.2105 0.5169 0.4743 0.4280 250
JacksonvilleState OhioValley 3 11 5 0.2895 0.4736 0.4712 0.4268 251
Bryant Northeast 5 6 6 0.4706 0.3957 0.4450 0.4259 252
UMBC AmericaEast 6 8 3 0.4412 0.3978 0.4663 0.4258 253
OhioU MidAmerican 2 13 4 0.2105 0.5084 0.4757 0.4256 254
ClevelandState Horizon 3 7 8 0.3889 0.4342 0.4417 0.4245 255
Fairfield MetroAtlantic 5 10 5 0.3750 0.4424 0.4389 0.4237 256
Lafayette Patriot 6 9 3 0.4167 0.4021 0.4732 0.4233 257
Gonzaga WestCoast 6 11 3 0.3750 0.3954 0.5188 0.4211 258
MassachusettsU AtlanticTen 4 10 3 0.3235 0.4295 0.4890 0.4179 259
NorthwesternState Southland 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4234 0.4588 0.4178 260
Denver Summit 5 11 3 0.3421 0.4268 0.4758 0.4177 261
WeberState BigSky 3 12 3 0.2500 0.4727 0.4751 0.4176 262
SacramentoState BigSky 4 11 4 0.3158 0.4453 0.4694 0.4174 263
ArkansasPineBluff Southwestern 3 7 4 0.3571 0.4455 0.4204 0.4171 264
HolyCross Patriot 3 12 2 0.2353 0.4754 0.4733 0.4149 265
NorthernIllinois MidAmerican 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4123 0.4644 0.4143 266
Richmond AtlanticTen 3 13 2 0.2222 0.4654 0.5008 0.4135 267
GeorgiaState SunBelt 0 11 7 0.1944 0.4698 0.5173 0.4128 268
Canisius MetroAtlantic 5 8 5 0.4167 0.3967 0.4444 0.4127 269
SacredHeart Northeast 6 11 1 0.3611 0.4172 0.4551 0.4127 270
UTSA ConferenceUSA 0 14 3 0.0882 0.5460 0.4743 0.4118 271
PortlandU WestCoast 2 15 3 0.1750 0.4826 0.4989 0.4098 272
IllinoisChicago Horizon 3 14 3 0.2250 0.4888 0.4401 0.4094 273
GrandCanyon WAC 4 10 7 0.3571 0.4165 0.4519 0.4088 274
Morehead OhioValley 1 14 3 0.1389 0.5016 0.4954 0.4085 275
UNOmaha Summit 5 13 1 0.2895 0.4459 0.4529 0.4073 276
NichollsState Southland 5 8 6 0.4211 0.3885 0.4360 0.4072 277
VMI Southern 7 12 1 0.3750 0.4040 0.4498 0.4067 278
FIU ConferenceUSA 0 16 2 0.0556 0.5363 0.4976 0.4055 279
SetonHall BigEast 2 15 1 0.1389 0.4925 0.4965 0.4051 280
NJIT AtlanticSun 2 12 4 0.2222 0.4698 0.4615 0.4036 281
CalStateBakersfield WAC 3 11 5 0.2895 0.4504 0.4326 0.4022 282
Presbyterian BigSouth 3 9 4 0.3125 0.4381 0.4195 0.4012 283
StMarys WestCoast 3 10 6 0.3158 0.3976 0.4930 0.4006 284
StBonaventure AtlanticTen 1 16 2 0.1053 0.5090 0.4799 0.4001 285
PortlandState BigSky 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4699 0.4576 0.3978 286
TennesseeMartin OhioValley 2 12 2 0.1875 0.4589 0.4845 0.3967 287
JacksonvilleU AtlanticSun 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4491 0.4826 0.3965 288
Evansville MissouriValley 1 13 3 0.1471 0.4831 0.4730 0.3964 289
SamHoustonState Southland 1 14 3 0.1389 0.4849 0.4714 0.3950 290
CharlestonSouthern BigSouth 3 9 6 0.3333 0.4082 0.4389 0.3949 291
Detroit Horizon 3 11 2 0.2500 0.4388 0.4472 0.3937 292
MaineU AmericaEast 1 10 4 0.2000 0.4708 0.4415 0.3926 293
SouthernUtah BigSky 2 11 5 0.2500 0.4298 0.4613 0.3914 294
IndianaState MissouriValley 3 9 5 0.3235 0.3972 0.4462 0.3899 295
SELouisiana Southland 3 11 4 0.2778 0.4099 0.4544 0.3880 296
IncarnateWord Southland 0 12 4 0.1250 0.4876 0.4579 0.3880 297
Grambling Southwestern 3 13 3 0.2368 0.4567 0.4106 0.3861 298
Davidson AtlanticTen 1 17 1 0.0789 0.4819 0.4950 0.3845 299
Winthrop BigSouth 3 11 4 0.2778 0.4130 0.4383 0.3840 300
SouthDakotaU Summit 4 12 2 0.2778 0.4194 0.4225 0.3839 301
PrairieViewA&M Southwestern 4 10 4 0.3333 0.3811 0.4317 0.3790 302
CaliforniaBaptist WAC 4 9 3 0.3438 0.3677 0.4347 0.3772 303
IdahoState BigSky 0 16 0 0.0000 0.5222 0.4591 0.3759 304
Army Patriot 2 14 3 0.1842 0.4334 0.4559 0.3758 305
Oakland Horizon 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4200 0.4555 0.3753 306
NorthDakotaU Summit 5 8 2 0.4000 0.3339 0.4320 0.3727 307
Akron MidAmerican 2 14 3 0.1842 0.4243 0.4627 0.3710 308
WesternIllinois Summit 1 16 1 0.0833 0.4840 0.4167 0.3655 309
RobertMorris Northeast 4 13 1 0.2500 0.4023 0.4229 0.3651 310
Wofford Southern 3 14 3 0.2250 0.4086 0.4336 0.3637 311
American Patriot 2 14 1 0.1471 0.4206 0.4519 0.3550 312
USCUpstate BigSouth 4 9 3 0.3438 0.3284 0.4255 0.3534 313
Pacific WestCoast 0 17 2 0.0526 0.4487 0.4747 0.3516 314
EasternIllinois OhioValley 2 15 1 0.1389 0.4199 0.4412 0.3500 315
Iona MetroAtlantic 2 15 2 0.1579 0.3933 0.4423 0.3415 316
NewMexicoState WAC 1 15 2 0.1111 0.4184 0.4347 0.3410 317
LoyolaMD Patriot 2 14 2 0.1667 0.3737 0.4616 0.3382 318
Citadel Southern 2 15 0 0.1176 0.3868 0.4435 0.3302 319
NevadaU MountainWest 0 19 0 0.0000 0.4313 0.4783 0.3285 320
MountStMary Northeast 1 13 2 0.1250 0.3867 0.4222 0.3239 321
Wagner Northeast 1 13 3 0.1471 0.3554 0.4351 0.3178 322
JacksonState Southwestern 1 15 4 0.1500 0.3687 0.4179 0.3166 323
LongIsland Northeast 1 15 2 0.1111 0.3686 0.4409 0.3142 324
AlcornState Southwestern 0 11 3 0.1071 0.3855 0.3974 0.3126 325
SouthernU Southwestern 1 12 2 0.1333 0.3664 0.4029 0.3091 326
GreenBay Horizon 0 15 2 0.0588 0.3861 0.4304 0.3089 327
DelawareState Independent 2 17 0 0.1053 0.3810 0.4204 0.3066 328
IPFW Summit 1 16 2 0.1053 0.3582 0.4274 0.3028 329
YoungstownState Horizon 1 15 2 0.1111 0.3461 0.4285 0.2988 330
StPeters MetroAtlantic 1 16 0 0.0588 0.3608 0.4344 0.2943 331
Hampton BigSouth 0 14 0 0.0000 0.3708 0.4211 0.2816 332
AlabamaA&M Southwestern 0 15 1 0.0313 0.3459 0.4150 0.2771 333
SouthCarolinaState Independent 0 13 0 0.0000 0.3319 0.4221 0.2564 334
ChicagoState WAC 0 18 0 0.0000 0.2895 0.4232 0.2321 335

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