2021 RPI: 10.3.26 ACTUAL RPI RATINGS (ACTUAL CURRENT AND SIMULATED END OF SEASON), AND SIMULATED NCAA TOURNAMENT AT LARGE SELECTION AND SEEDS

 This week’s reports, using actual results of games played through Sunday, October 3, are:

1.  Actual current RPI ratings and ranks, showing which teams are in the current ranges for seeds and at large selections;

2.  Simulated RPI ratings and ranks based on the actual results of games played and simulated results of games not yet played.  The simulated results are based on opponents’ actual current RPI ratings.  This includes  simulated NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds based on the simple system described here.

3.  Simulated NCAA Tournament bracket based on the simulated RPI ratings and ranks, using the more complex system described here.

For the tables below, you may need to scroll to the right to see the entire table. 

1.  Actual current RPI ratings and ranks, showing which teams are in the current ranges for seeds and at large selections:

Here is a link to an Excel workbook that shows RPI and other information for all teams.

In addition, here is a table from the workbook that shows the Top 100 RPI teams.  On the left, it shows which teams are in the current seed and at large selection ranges.  If you look at the at large selection column, the highest ranked teams at the top of the list that are not color coded likely are assured of getting at large selections, based on past history.

2.  Simulated RPI ratings and ranks based on the actual results of games played and simulated results of games not yet played:

The simulated results are based on opponents’ actual current RPI ratings.  This includes simulated simple-system NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds.

Here is a link to an Excel workbook that shows the information for all teams.

In addition, here is a table from the workbook that shows the simulated simple-system NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds, plus the next six teams:

3.  Simulated NCAA Tournament bracket based on the simulated RPI ratings and ranks, using the more complex system:

Below is a table that shows the simulated more-complex-system NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds.  The next two teams in line for at large selections would be Washington State and UNC Wilmington.

1 = #1 seed, 2 = #2 seed, 3 = #3 seed, 4 = #4 seed, 5 = unseeded automatic qualifier, and 6 = unseeded at large selection.