Tuesday, September 14, 2021

2021 RPI: 9.12.21 SIMULATED RPI RATINGS AND NCAA TOURNAMENT AT LARGE SELECTIONS AND SEEDS

Below is a table showing (1) full season data for teams based on the actual results of games played through Sunday, September 12 and simulated results of games not yet played and (2) simulated automatic qualifiers and at large selections for the NCAA Tournament, based on those data.  These cover the Top 100 teams in the simulation based on combined RPI Rank and Top 50 Results Rank.

In addition, here is a link that shows the same data for all teams: 2021 Simulated RPI Report 9.12.21.

The earlier post, 2021 Season: Background for Upcoming Reports, has a full explanation of the simulation process, its limitations, and how to use it to consider the prospects for a team.  If you are a coach using the information to analyze your team’s prospects or otherwise have a serious interest in following the simulations, I strongly recommend you review in advance the Background post.

As you may notice, the simulation overrates or underrates a fair number of teams.  This is a result of the way the simulation works and the fact that it does not use the 2020 season results due to their being unreliable.  This problem will not be a factor next week, as for that simulation I will start using actual current RPI ratings as the basis for simulating the results of games not yet played.  On the other hand, even the actual current RPI ratings next week will be pretty primitive, so as always you must bear that in mind.

Here are the 9.12.21 Simulated RPI Top 100.  You will have to scroll right to see the entire table.



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