Tuesday, September 25, 2018

2018 SIMULATED CONFERENCE STANDINGS AND CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS 9.24.2018

Here are this week's simulated final conference standings and conference tournaments, based on the actual results of games played through Sunday, September 23, and simulated results of games not yet played.  With some conference play already having started, this is the first week in which this particular simulation uses some actual game results.

There are significant differences between the standings and tournaments from previous weeks.  This is because of the change this week from using teams' assigned pre-season ratings for simulating future results to using teams' actual current ARPI ratings for simulating those results.  At this point, we're only half way through the season and have only limited actual intra-conference game results, so I expect to see significant changes in the simulated standings and conference tournaments as the season progresses.

CONFERENCE STANDINGS CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS
Team Conference Conference Points Conference Standing ACC
NorthCarolinaU ACC 30 1 NorthCarolinaU WakeForest
NCState ACC 24 2.5 NCState Louisville
FloridaState ACC 24 2.5 FloridaState Duke
BostonCollege ACC 20 4 BostonCollege VirginiaU
VirginiaU ACC 19 5
Duke ACC 18 6 NorthCarolinaU VirginiaU
Louisville ACC 16 7 NCState FloridaState
WakeForest ACC 14 8
NotreDame ACC 11 10 NorthCarolinaU NCState
Clemson ACC 12 9
VirginiaTech ACC 10 11
Pittsburgh ACC 3 12
MiamiFL ACC 1 13.5
Syracuse ACC 1 13.5 AMERICA EAST
Albany AmericaEast 19 1 MaineU VermontU
Hartford AmericaEast 18 2 StonyBrook NewHampshireU
MaineU AmericaEast 17 3.5
StonyBrook AmericaEast 17 3.5 Hartford MaineU
NewHampshireU AmericaEast 14 5 Albany NewHampshireU
VermontU AmericaEast 7 6
UMassLowell AmericaEast 5 7 Albany Hartford
Binghamton AmericaEast 4 8
UMBC AmericaEast 0 9
Memphis American 27 1 AMERICAN
SouthFlorida American 24 2 Cincinnati EastCarolina
Cincinnati American 21 3 UCF SMU
UCF American 16 4
SMU American 14 5 SouthFlorida Cincinnati
EastCarolina American 10 6 Memphis SMU
Tulsa American 6 7
Temple American 5 8 Memphis SouthFlorida
Houston American 4 9
ConnecticutU American 2 10
FloridaGulfCoast AtlanticSun 24 1 ATLANTIC SUN
Lipscomb AtlanticSun 19 2 NorthAlabama NorthFlorida
NorthAlabama AtlanticSun 16 3 KennesawState NJIT
KennesawState AtlanticSun 12 4.5
NJIT AtlanticSun 12 4.5 Lipscomb NorthAlabama
NorthFlorida AtlanticSun 9 6 FloridaGulfCoast KennesawState
JacksonvilleU AtlanticSun 4 7
Stetson AtlanticSun 2 8.5 FloridaGulfCoast Lipscomb
Liberty AtlanticSun 2 8.5
StLouis AtlanticTen 28 1 ATLANTIC TEN
GeorgeMason AtlanticTen 27 2 StLouis MassachusettsU
VCU AtlanticTen 26 3 GeorgeMason Fordham
StJosephs AtlanticTen 20 4 VCU LaSalle
Dayton AtlanticTen 19 5 StJosephs Dayton
LaSalle AtlanticTen 18 6
Fordham AtlanticTen 15 7.5 StLouis StJosephs
MassachusettsU AtlanticTen 15 7.5 GeorgeMason VCU
Duquesne AtlanticTen 13 9
GeorgeWashington AtlanticTen 12 10 GeorgeMason StLouis
Richmond AtlanticTen 6 11
Davidson AtlanticTen 3 12
StBonaventure AtlanticTen 1 13.5
RhodeIslandU AtlanticTen 1 13.5
Georgetown BigEast 27 1 BIG EAST
Providence BigEast 24 2 Butler Xavier
Butler BigEast 17 3 Villanova DePaul
Villanova BigEast 15 4
DePaul BigEast 14 5 Georgetown DePaul
Xavier BigEast 12 6 Providence Butler
Creighton BigEast 10 7
Marquette BigEast 7 8 Georgetown Providence
StJohns BigEast 3 9
SetonHall BigEast 0 10
NorthernColorado BigSky 25 1 BIG SKY
IdahoU BigSky 23 2 NorthernArizona EasternWashington
NorthernArizona BigSky 20 3 WeberState MontanaU
WeberState BigSky 17 4
MontanaU BigSky 15 5 NorthernColorado WeberState
EasternWashington BigSky 10 6.5 IdahoU NorthernArizona
SacramentoState BigSky 10 6.5
IdahoState BigSky 7 8 NorthernColorado IdahoU
SouthernUtah BigSky 3 9
PortlandState BigSky 0 10
GardnerWebb BigSouth 23 1 BIG SOUTH
Winthrop BigSouth 22 2 GardnerWebb Hampton
Radford BigSouth 19 3.5 Winthrop Longwood
CharlestonSouthern BigSouth 19 3.5 Radford Presbyterian
HighPoint BigSouth 18 5 CharlestonSouthern HighPoint
Presbyterian BigSouth 17 6
Longwood BigSouth 11 7 GardnerWebb HighPoint
Hampton BigSouth 8 8 Winthrop Radford
Campbell BigSouth 6 9
UNCAsheville BigSouth 5 10 GardnerWebb Radford
USCUpstate BigSouth 0 11
NebraskaU BigTen 29 1 BIG TEN
PennState BigTen 21 2.5 NebraskaU MichiganU
NorthwesternU BigTen 21 2.5 PennState OhioState
WisconsinU BigTen 20 4 NorthwesternU Rutgers
MinnesotaU BigTen 19 5 WisconsinU MinnesotaU
Rutgers BigTen 18 6.5
OhioState BigTen 18 6.5 NebraskaU WisconsinU
MichiganU BigTen 17 8 PennState NorthwesternU
Purdue BigTen 15 9
IllinoisU BigTen 13 10 NebraskaU NorthwesternU
IndianaU BigTen 9 11
IowaU BigTen 7 12
MarylandU BigTen 3 13
MichiganState BigTen 2 14
OklahomaState BigTwelve 23 1.5 BIG TWELVE
TexasU BigTwelve 23 1.5 OklahomaState OklahomaU
WestVirginiaU BigTwelve 18 3.5 TexasU TexasTech
Baylor BigTwelve 18 3.5 WestVirginiaU TCU
KansasU BigTwelve 17 5 Baylor KansasU
TCU BigTwelve 10 6
TexasTech BigTwelve 7 7.5 OklahomaState Baylor
OklahomaU BigTwelve 7 7.5 TexasU WestVirginiaU
IowaState BigTwelve 2 9
KansasState BigTwelve 1 10 OklahomaState TexasU
UCRiverside BigWest 22 1.5
LongBeachState BigWest 22 1.5 BIG WEST
HawaiiU BigWest 14 4 UCRiverside UCSantaBarbara
UCSantaBarbara BigWest 14 4 LongBeachState HawaiiU
UCIrvine BigWest 14 4
CalStateNorthridge BigWest 5 6.5 UCRiverside LongBeachState
UCDavis BigWest 5 6.5
CalPoly BigWest 3 8
CalStateFullerton BigWest 1 9
UNCWilmington Colonial 21 1.5 COLONIAL
Drexel Colonial 21 1.5 CollegeofCharleston Northeastern
CollegeofCharleston Colonial 19 3 JamesMadison Hofstra
JamesMadison Colonial 17 4
Hofstra Colonial 16 5 UNCWilmington Hofstra
Northeastern Colonial 14 6 Drexel CollegeofCharleston
William&Mary Colonial 11 7
DelawareU Colonial 6 8 UNCWilmington Drexel
Elon Colonial 3 9
Towson Colonial 0 10
NorthTexas ConferenceUSA 27 1 CONFERENCE USA
UTEP ConferenceUSA 3 13 NorthTexas UTSA
Rice ConferenceUSA 22 3 MiddleTennessee Charlotte
LouisianaTech ConferenceUSA 21 4 Rice UAB
FloridaAtlantic ConferenceUSA 19 5.5 LouisianaTech FloridaAtlantic
UAB ConferenceUSA 19 5.5
Charlotte ConferenceUSA 16 7 NorthTexas FloridaAtlantic
UTSA ConferenceUSA 13 8 MiddleTennessee Rice
SouthernMississippi ConferenceUSA 11 9
WesternKentucky ConferenceUSA 10 10 NorthTexas MiddleTennessee
OldDominion ConferenceUSA 9 11
Marshall ConferenceUSA 6 12
UTEP ConferenceUSA 3 13
FIU ConferenceUSA 0 14
NorthernKentucky Horizon 27 1 HORIZON
Milwaukee Horizon 24 2 WrightState ClevelandState
WrightState Horizon 21 3 IllinoisChicago Detroit
IllinoisChicago Horizon 16 4
Detroit Horizon 13 5 NorthernKentucky IllinoisChicago
ClevelandState Horizon 11 6 Milwaukee WrightState
IUPUI Horizon 8 7
Oakland Horizon 5 8 NorthernKentucky Milwaukee
YoungstownState Horizon 1 10
GreenBay Horizon 4 9
DelawareState Independent 3 1
SouthCarolinaState Independent 0 2
Princeton Ivy 21 1 NO TOURNAMENT
PennsylvaniaU Ivy 14 2.5
Yale Ivy 14 2.5
Harvard Ivy 10 4.5
Columbia Ivy 10 4.5
Dartmouth Ivy 7 6
Brown Ivy 3 7
Cornell Ivy 0 8
Monmouth MetroAtlantic 27 1.5 METRO ATLANTIC
Rider MetroAtlantic 27 1.5 Niagara Fairfield
Niagara MetroAtlantic 23 3 Quinnipiac Siena
Quinnipiac MetroAtlantic 20 4
Siena MetroAtlantic 18 5 Monmouth Quinnipiac
Fairfield MetroAtlantic 14 6 Rider Niagara
Manhattan MetroAtlantic 10 7
Marist MetroAtlantic 9 8 Monmouth Rider
Canisius MetroAtlantic 6 9
Iona MetroAtlantic 3 10.5
StPeters MetroAtlantic 3 10.5
WesternMichigan MidAmerican 33 1 MID AMERICAN
Buffalo MidAmerican 28 2 WesternMichigan MiamiOH
BowlingGreen MidAmerican 27 3 Buffalo Toledo
BallState MidAmerican 21 4 BowlingGreen OhioU
EasternMichigan MidAmerican 19 5.5 BallState EasternMichigan
OhioU MidAmerican 19 5.5
Toledo MidAmerican 11 7 WesternMichigan BallState
MiamiOH MidAmerican 10 8 Buffalo BowlingGreen
Akron MidAmerican 8 10
CentralMichigan MidAmerican 9 9 WesternMichigan Buffalo
KentState MidAmerican 6 11
NorthernIllinois MidAmerican 0 12
LoyolaChicago MissouriValley 19 1 MISSOURI VALLEY
IllinoisState MissouriValley 18 2 MissouriState Evansville
MissouriState MissouriValley 14 3 UNI IndianaState
UNI MissouriValley 11 4
IndianaState MissouriValley 7 5.5 LoyolaChicago UNI
Evansville MissouriValley 7 5.5 IllinoisState MissouriState
Drake MissouriValley 4 7
Valparaiso MissouriValley 0 8 LoyolaChicago MissouriState
BoiseState MountainWest 30 1.5
ColoradoCollege MountainWest 30 1.5 MOUNTAIN WEST
SanJoseState MountainWest 26 3 SanJoseState WyomingU
ColoradoState MountainWest 18 4.5 ColoradoState UNLV
UNLV MountainWest 18 4.5
WyomingU MountainWest 17 6 BoiseState ColoradoState
SanDiegoState MountainWest 15 7 ColoradoCollege SanJoseState
NewMexicoU MountainWest 14 8
UtahState MountainWest 4 10 BoiseState ColoradoCollege
AirForce MountainWest 10 9
NevadaU MountainWest 3 11
FresnoState MountainWest 2 12
CentralConnecticut Northeast 24 1 NORTHEAST
FairleighDickinson Northeast 19 2 CentralConnecticut StFrancis
Bryant Northeast 16 3.5 FairleighDickinson Bryant
StFrancis Northeast 16 3.5
LongIsland Northeast 12 5 CentralConnecticut FairleighDickinson
RobertMorris Northeast 7 6
MountStMary Northeast 6 7
Wagner Northeast 4 8
SacredHeart Northeast 0 9
TennesseeMartin OhioValley 30 1 OHIO VALLEY
MurrayState OhioValley 22 2 AustinPeay EasternIllinois
Belmont OhioValley 19 3.5 TennesseeTech EasternKentucky
SIUEdwardsville OhioValley 19 3.5
AustinPeay OhioValley 17 5 SIUEdwardsville AustinPeay
TennesseeTech OhioValley 13 6 Belmont EasternKentucky
EasternKentucky OhioValley 10 7
EasternIllinois OhioValley 9 8 TennesseeMartin AustinPeay
Morehead OhioValley 6 9 MurrayState Belmont
JacksonvilleState OhioValley 4 10.5
SoutheastMissouriState OhioValley 4 10.5 TennesseeMartin MurrayState
Stanford PacTwelve 33 1
SouthernCalifornia PacTwelve 26 2.5 NO TOURNAMENT
OregonU PacTwelve 26 2.5
WashingtonState PacTwelve 24 4
ArizonaU PacTwelve 20 5
UCLA PacTwelve 19 6
ColoradoU PacTwelve 13 7.5
ArizonaState PacTwelve 13 7.5
CaliforniaU PacTwelve 7 9.5
WashingtonU PacTwelve 7 9.5
UtahU PacTwelve 1 11.5
OregonState PacTwelve 1 11.5
Navy Patriot 25 1 PATRIOT
Colgate Patriot 23 2 Army American
Army Patriot 20 3 BostonU Bucknell
BostonU Patriot 13 4.5
Bucknell Patriot 13 4.5 Navy Bucknell
American Patriot 11 6 Colgate Army
HolyCross Patriot 9 7
Lafayette Patriot 7 8 Navy Colgate
Lehigh Patriot 3 9
LoyolaMD Patriot 1 10
SouthCarolinaU SEC 25 1 SEC
TennesseeU SEC 24 2 MississippiU AlabamaU
TexasA&M SEC 23 3 Auburn GeorgiaU
ArkansasU SEC 22 4.5
MississippiState SEC 22 4.5 SouthCarolinaU AlabamaU
Vanderbilt SEC 18 6 TennesseeU Auburn
Auburn SEC 17 7 TexasA&M Vanderbilt
MississippiU SEC 11 8 ArkansasU MississippiState
GeorgiaU SEC 9 10
AlabamaU SEC 10 9 SouthCarolinaU MississippiState
FloridaU SEC 8 11 TennesseeU TexasA&M
MissouriU SEC 7 12
LSU SEC 3 13 MississippiState TexasA&M
KentuckyU SEC 0 14
UNCGreensboro Southern 27 1 SOUTHERN
Samford Southern 22 2 Furman Citadel
WesternCarolina Southern 21 3 EastTennesseeState Wofford
Mercer Southern 13 4
Chattanooga Southern 12 5.5 UNCGreensboro Furman
VMI Southern 12 5.5 Samford EastTennesseeState
EastTennesseeState Southern 10 7 WesternCarolina VMI
Furman Southern 8 8 Mercer Chattanooga
Citadel Southern 1 9.5
Wofford Southern 1 9.5 UNCGreensboro Mercer
CentralArkansas Southland 30 1 Samford WesternCarolina
Lamar Southland 26 2
HoustonBaptist Southland 23 3.5 UNCGreensboro Samford
AbileneChristian Southland 23 3.5
StephenFAustin Southland 21 5 SOUTHLAND
McNeeseState Southland 16 6.5 CentralArkansas SELouisiana
TexasCorpusChristi Southland 16 6.5 Lamar TexasCorpusChristi
SELouisiana Southland 11 8 HoustonBaptist McNeeseState
IncarnateWord Southland 6 10 AbileneChristian StephenFAustin
NorthwesternState Southland 6 10
SamHoustonState Southland 6 10 CentralArkansas AbileneChristian
NichollsState Southland 0 12 Lamar HoustonBaptist
Grambling Southwestern 26 1
ArkansasPineBluff Southwestern 24 2.5 CentralArkansas Lamar
AlabamaState Southwestern 24 2.5
MississippiValley Southwestern 20 4 SOUTHWESTERN
PrairieViewA&M Southwestern 16 5.5 Grambling Howard
TexasSouthern Southwestern 16 5.5 ArkansasPineBluff AlabamaA&M
AlabamaA&M Southwestern 10 7 AlabamaState TexasSouthern
Howard Southwestern 7 8 MississippiValley PrairieViewA&M
JacksonState Southwestern 5 9.5
SouthernU Southwestern 5 9.5 Grambling PrairieViewA&M
AlcornState Southwestern 0 11 ArkansasPineBluff AlabamaState
Denver Summit 24 1
SouthDakotaU Summit 17 2 Grambling ArkansasPineBluff
SouthDakotaState Summit 15 3
NorthDakotaU Summit 12 4 SUMMIT
UNOmaha Summit 10 5 Denver NorthDakotaU
OralRoberts Summit 9 6 SouthDakotaU SouthDakotaState
NorthDakotaState Summit 5 7
IPFW Summit 4 8 Denver SouthDakotaU
WesternIllinois Summit 1 9
ArkansasState SunBelt 27 1 SUN BELT
CoastalCarolina SunBelt 25 2 ArkansasState GeorgiaState
TexasState SunBelt 23 3 CoastalCarolina GeorgiaSouthern
UALR SunBelt 22 4 TexasState AppalachianState
SouthAlabama SunBelt 18 5 UALR SouthAlabama
AppalachianState SunBelt 15 6
GeorgiaSouthern SunBelt 12 7 ArkansasState UALR
GeorgiaState SunBelt 7 8 CoastalCarolina TexasState
LouisianaLafayette SunBelt 4 10
LouisianaMonroe SunBelt 0 11 ArkansasState CoastalCarolina
Troy SunBelt 6 9
UMKC WAC 22 1.5 WAC
TexasRGV WAC 22 1.5 Seattle GrandCanyon
Seattle WAC 16 3 CalStateBakersfield CaliforniaBaptist
CalStateBakersfield WAC 12 4
CaliforniaBaptist WAC 11 5 UMKC CalStateBakersfield
GrandCanyon WAC 8 6.5 TexasRGV Seattle
UtahValley WAC 8 6.5
NewMexicoState WAC 3 8 UMKC TexasRGV
ChicagoState WAC 0 9
SantaClara WestCoast 27 1 NO TOURNAMENT
SanFrancisco WestCoast 20 2.5
Pepperdine WestCoast 20 2.5
PortlandU WestCoast 17 4
BYU WestCoast 15 5
LoyolaMarymount WestCoast 11 6
Gonzaga WestCoast 8 7
SanDiegoU WestCoast 5 7.5
StMarys WestCoast 4 7.5
Pacific WestCoast 0 8

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