2016 Season Simulation: Week 1 Update

To add to the fun, I decided to do weekly updates to the 2016 simulation.  To do an update, I take the previous week's games and change the simulated results for those games to the actual results.  What this produces is a hybrid "real" results (games already played)/simulated results (games not yet played) set of projected ratings and ranks.  By comparing it to the original simulation, you can see how teams have moved from their simulated results based on the games they've actually played.  For example, for the first weekly update, you can see how Santa Clara moved from #60 to #34 after it defeated (upset?) Southern California and Cal Berkeley.

The way I'll do this, the week will be Monday to Sunday, so the first weekly update uses the real results for the Friday, August 19, through Sunday, August 21, games.  Here are the updated ratings, ranks, and team records:

Team	Conference	Adjusted RPI	ARPI Rank	Total Wins	Total Losses	Total Ties
Duke	ACC	0.7452	1	19	0	2
Stanford	PacTwelve	0.7410	2	18	0	1
FloridaU	SEC	0.7273	3	20	1	0
Clemson	ACC	0.7249	4	18	0	3
WestVirginiaU	BigTwelve	0.7083	5	18	1	2
ConnecticutU	American	0.7034	6	21	1	0
Auburn	SEC	0.6888	7	15	2	3
FloridaState	ACC	0.6858	8	16	3	1
SouthernCalifornia	PacTwelve	0.6842	9	16	1	2
Memphis	American	0.6831	10	16	2	3
WisconsinU	BigTen	0.6757	11	19	2	1
Rice	ConferenceUSA	0.6727	12	16	2	1
TexasA&M	SEC	0.6698	13	16	3	2
BYU	WestCoast	0.6679	14	19	0	0
BostonCollege	ACC	0.6676	15	15	3	3
UCLA	PacTwelve	0.6664	16	12	4	3
VirginiaTech	ACC	0.6636	17	14	4	2
OklahomaState	BigTwelve	0.6511	18	17	3	2
Georgetown	BigEast	0.6495	19	16	2	2
LSU	SEC	0.6474	20	16	3	2
WashingtonState	PacTwelve	0.6452	21	14	5	0
Harvard	Ivy	0.6427	22	13	2	1
VirginiaU	ACC	0.6424	23	13	3	3
Northeastern	Colonial	0.6410	24	16	2	3
PennState	BigTen	0.6353	25	12	5	3
MinnesotaU	BigTen	0.6323	26	18	3	1
CaliforniaU	PacTwelve	0.6322	27	16	3	1
UCF	American	0.6307	28	13	5	2
LongBeachState	BigWest	0.6290	29	14	3	3
GeorgiaU	SEC	0.6230	30	9	8	2
BostonU	Patriot	0.6212	31	13	4	4
TexasTech	BigTwelve	0.6200	32	13	4	3
NorthCarolinaU	ACC	0.6191	33	11	7	1
SantaClara	WestCoast	0.6168	34	12	6	1
KentuckyU	SEC	0.6163	35	10	6	5
Rutgers	BigTen	0.6162	36	12	2	5
SouthAlabama	SunBelt	0.6103	37	17	2	2
Tulsa	American	0.6096	38	13	6	2
Rider	MetroAtlantic	0.6088	39	17	1	1
Pepperdine	WestCoast	0.6084	40	15	3	1
Princeton	Ivy	0.6081	41	12	2	3
SanDiegoState	MountainWest	0.6047	42	16	2	2
Samford	Southern	0.6036	43	13	4	4
ArizonaU	PacTwelve	0.6035	44	11	6	2
SouthCarolinaU	SEC	0.5997	45	11	7	1
WesternKentucky	ConferenceUSA	0.5989	46	15	4	2
Hofstra	Colonial	0.5944	47	13	4	3
KentState	MidAmerican	0.5909	48	19	2	0
HighPoint	BigSouth	0.5904	49	16	4	1
OhioState	BigTen	0.5898	50	10	8	3
ArizonaState	PacTwelve	0.5897	51	9	7	3
Seattle	WAC	0.5889	52	15	1	4
WashingtonU	PacTwelve	0.5880	53	9	7	4
Siena	MetroAtlantic	0.5871	54	14	2	4
MississippiU	SEC	0.5864	55	8	8	5
JamesMadison	Colonial	0.5854	56	13	5	2
William&Mary	Colonial	0.5851	57	14	3	3
BallState	MidAmerican	0.5848	58	19	2	1
NebraskaU	BigTen	0.5839	59	10	8	2
CoastalCarolina	SunBelt	0.5831	60	15	3	3
StJohns	BigEast	0.5829	61	14	4	2
PortlandU	WestCoast	0.5827	62	14	4	1
Baylor	BigTwelve	0.5824	63	12	6	2
NorthTexas	ConferenceUSA	0.5804	64	16	1	4
GeorgeWashington	AtlanticTen	0.5802	65	15	3	4
OklahomaU	BigTwelve	0.5800	66	9	8	3
WakeForest	ACC	0.5791	67	12	7	0
SoutheastMissouriState	OhioValley	0.5774	68	17	2	0
Cincinnati	American	0.5773	69	11	7	2
IdahoU	BigSky	0.5754	70	17	2	1
StephenFAustin	Southland	0.5748	71	14	1	4
UCSantaBarbara	BigWest	0.5739	72	17	2	2
Drake	MissouriValley	0.5723	73	16	2	2
WyomingU	MountainWest	0.5703	74	16	3	2
Navy	Patriot	0.5692	75	15	4	3
Liberty	BigSouth	0.5684	76	14	6	1
UNCWilmington	Colonial	0.5677	77	11	3	6
LouisianaLafayette	SunBelt	0.5664	78	16	2	2
Furman	Southern	0.5656	79	13	0	6
Marquette	BigEast	0.5647	80	11	8	2
UtahU	PacTwelve	0.5630	81	10	9	1
TCU	BigTwelve	0.5620	82	11	6	1
Milwaukee	Horizon	0.5606	83	16	3	1
Yale	Ivy	0.5601	84	9	4	3
Buffalo	MidAmerican	0.5593	85	13	5	3
UTEP	ConferenceUSA	0.5592	86	12	3	7
Dayton	AtlanticTen	0.5589	87	19	2	1
Butler	BigEast	0.5583	88	17	3	1
Monmouth	MetroAtlantic	0.5573	89	15	2	3
Albany	AmericaEast	0.5570	90	15	3	1
FloridaGulfCoast	AtlanticSun	0.5564	91	16	3	1
Columbia	Ivy	0.5561	92	9	4	4
Syracuse	ACC	0.5542	93	7	7	5
TennesseeU	SEC	0.5539	94	7	10	2
StJosephs	AtlanticTen	0.5531	95	13	3	5
Manhattan	MetroAtlantic	0.5530	96	13	4	2
AlabamaU	SEC	0.5522	97	8	6	5
Colgate	Patriot	0.5518	98	11	4	5
UtahState	MountainWest	0.5487	99	11	6	4
FloridaAtlantic	ConferenceUSA	0.5459	100	11	6	3
MichiganU	BigTen	0.5458	101	6	3	9
MissouriU	SEC	0.5446	102	9	6	4
Providence	BigEast	0.5427	103	8	10	2
MontanaU	BigSky	0.5414	104	12	4	5
Hartford	AmericaEast	0.5402	105	13	3	3
CalStateFullerton	BigWest	0.5400	106	12	6	1
EastCarolina	American	0.5399	107	9	8	3
Brown	Ivy	0.5395	108	9	4	3
SacramentoState	BigSky	0.5384	109	14	2	3
SELouisiana	Southland	0.5378	110	14	4	3
TexasState	SunBelt	0.5377	111	12	5	3
CalPoly	BigWest	0.5376	112	9	8	3
EastTennesseeState	Southern	0.5374	113	14	2	4
NotreDame	ACC	0.5365	114	7	10	1
StFrancis	Northeast	0.5357	115	16	4	1
Longwood	BigSouth	0.5352	116	10	5	5
IowaState	BigTwelve	0.5351	117	5	11	3
Louisville	ACC	0.5332	118	7	8	3
NorthwesternU	BigTen	0.5329	119	11	6	3
DePaul	BigEast	0.5324	120	9	8	2
Troy	SunBelt	0.5315	121	10	6	4
Morehead	OhioValley	0.5312	122	14	5	3
AbileneChristian	Southland	0.5305	123	11	6	4
NewHampshireU	AmericaEast	0.5302	124	9	6	4
GeorgeMason	AtlanticTen	0.5299	125	12	7	2
UMKC	WAC	0.5285	126	14	3	4
IowaU	BigTen	0.5278	127	11	6	2
Charlotte	ConferenceUSA	0.5277	128	9	7	3
Lipscomb	AtlanticSun	0.5254	129	13	4	2
CentralMichigan	MidAmerican	0.5250	130	13	5	3
DelawareU	Colonial	0.5246	131	6	9	4
Fordham	AtlanticTen	0.5229	132	9	8	3
CalStateNorthridge	BigWest	0.5219	133	9	7	4
OregonState	PacTwelve	0.5204	134	5	11	4
WesternMichigan	MidAmerican	0.5203	135	12	4	4
SouthFlorida	American	0.5203	136	7	7	4
Radford	BigSouth	0.5199	137	9	4	5
ArkansasU	SEC	0.5186	138	4	12	3
SMU	American	0.5160	139	6	11	2
LaSalle	AtlanticTen	0.5159	140	8	6	5
Mercer	Southern	0.5158	141	8	6	6
Bucknell	Patriot	0.5154	142	9	7	3
IllinoisU	BigTen	0.5151	143	9	9	1
TexasU	BigTwelve	0.5148	144	6	10	3
UNCGreensboro	Southern	0.5148	145	7	9	4
OldDominion	ConferenceUSA	0.5147	146	5	9	4
SanJoseState	MountainWest	0.5142	147	8	8	5
HoustonBaptist	Southland	0.5109	148	11	8	1
EasternWashington	BigSky	0.5108	149	13	3	5
Marshall	ConferenceUSA	0.5091	150	5	7	6
NorthDakotaState	Summit	0.5079	151	12	5	2
OregonU	PacTwelve	0.5076	152	3	13	4
Campbell	BigSouth	0.5061	153	12	4	3
UALR	SunBelt	0.5058	154	9	10	1
MiamiFL	ACC	0.5048	155	6	9	3
NorthernIllinois	MidAmerican	0.5047	156	7	9	3
LouisianaTech	ConferenceUSA	0.5040	157	14	5	2
CentralArkansas	Southland	0.5035	158	13	4	3
KansasU	BigTwelve	0.5030	159	5	13	0
Cornell	Ivy	0.5026	160	3	8	5
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.5017	161	5	11	2
Duquesne	AtlanticTen	0.4997	162	10	8	2
GrandCanyon	WAC	0.4995	163	10	7	3
IllinoisChicago	Horizon	0.4992	164	12	4	4
Elon	Colonial	0.4992	165	8	9	2
SanFrancisco	WestCoast	0.4956	166	7	10	2
MichiganState	BigTen	0.4953	167	7	10	1
UCIrvine	BigWest	0.4948	168	10	6	4
MurrayState	OhioValley	0.4940	169	9	5	5
CentralConnecticut	Northeast	0.4939	170	10	9	2
MiddleTennessee	ConferenceUSA	0.4937	171	7	9	1
Lafayette	Patriot	0.4934	172	9	6	4
FresnoState	MountainWest	0.4917	173	9	6	5
LoyolaChicago	MissouriValley	0.4916	174	9	8	2
Denver	Summit	0.4895	175	10	5	5
PennsylvaniaU	Ivy	0.4873	176	9	5	2
NewMexicoU	MountainWest	0.4871	177	9	7	4
Wofford	Southern	0.4862	178	11	8	0
AustinPeay	OhioValley	0.4848	179	10	8	2
Quinnipiac	MetroAtlantic	0.4836	180	10	6	2
NorthernKentucky	Horizon	0.4819	181	11	5	3
HawaiiU	BigWest	0.4815	182	7	7	3
Howard	Southwestern	0.4814	183	12	5	4
BoiseState	MountainWest	0.4791	184	5	8	7
BowlingGreen	MidAmerican	0.4786	185	9	8	3
Richmond	AtlanticTen	0.4770	186	8	11	1
TennesseeMartin	OhioValley	0.4764	187	8	7	4
Creighton	BigEast	0.4764	188	8	8	2
NCState	ACC	0.4756	189	2	15	1
KennesawState	AtlanticSun	0.4752	190	11	5	3
Marist	MetroAtlantic	0.4742	191	10	6	3
SanDiegoU	WestCoast	0.4732	192	4	12	3
JacksonvilleU	AtlanticSun	0.4716	193	6	9	2
UtahValley	WAC	0.4704	194	9	9	2
IndianaU	BigTen	0.4696	195	1	14	4
AppalachianState	SunBelt	0.4680	196	6	12	1
Purdue	BigTen	0.4676	197	2	15	1
Villanova	BigEast	0.4672	198	4	13	1
Gonzaga	WestCoast	0.4669	199	4	12	3
Houston	American	0.4667	200	7	10	0
MississippiState	SEC	0.4663	201	1	15	2
JacksonState	Southwestern	0.4652	202	11	6	4
NorthernColorado	BigSky	0.4647	203	9	9	2
ColoradoCollege	MountainWest	0.4608	204	7	9	3
StMarys	WestCoast	0.4607	205	2	14	4
SouthernUtah	BigSky	0.4607	206	6	9	2
CharlestonSouthern	BigSouth	0.4606	207	8	8	3
GeorgiaState	SunBelt	0.4601	208	5	11	1
Fairfield	MetroAtlantic	0.4599	209	6	11	1
Drexel	Colonial	0.4595	210	4	11	3
Evansville	MissouriValley	0.4584	211	5	11	3
FIU	ConferenceUSA	0.4584	212	3	9	5
UTSA	ConferenceUSA	0.4581	213	4	14	1
Citadel	Southern	0.4578	214	10	8	2
VermontU	AmericaEast	0.4575	215	4	8	6
Belmont	OhioValley	0.4570	216	5	10	3
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.4570	217	2	14	2
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.4568	218	4	10	2
Towson	Colonial	0.4562	219	0	15	4
StonyBrook	AmericaEast	0.4559	220	5	11	5
TennesseeTech	OhioValley	0.4554	221	8	10	2
McNeeseState	Southland	0.4549	222	8	9	2
LoyolaMarymount	WestCoast	0.4539	223	2	16	1
Toledo	MidAmerican	0.4521	224	6	10	3
LoyolaMD	Patriot	0.4516	225	5	9	4
SouthDakotaState	Summit	0.4498	226	9	10	0
Pacific	WestCoast	0.4486	227	1	13	3
CollegeofCharleston	Colonial	0.4484	228	3	12	4
AlabamaState	Southwestern	0.4460	229	10	6	5
IllinoisState	MissouriValley	0.4453	230	11	9	1
GeorgiaSouthern	SunBelt	0.4451	231	4	11	3
Valparaiso	Horizon	0.4438	232	9	10	1
NorthwesternState	Southland	0.4407	233	5	10	2
ColoradoU	PacTwelve	0.4382	234	2	16	2
OralRoberts	Summit	0.4376	235	6	12	2
MassachusettsU	AtlanticTen	0.4372	236	5	12	1
Army	Patriot	0.4369	237	4	12	2
Akron	MidAmerican	0.4363	238	5	11	3
SouthernMississippi	ConferenceUSA	0.4362	239	6	10	2
UCRiverside	BigWest	0.4359	240	2	13	4
StLouis	AtlanticTen	0.4345	241	6	10	3
MissouriState	MissouriValley	0.4344	242	6	10	3
UMBC	AmericaEast	0.4327	243	5	11	2
Oakland	Horizon	0.4316	244	7	10	1
Temple	American	0.4314	245	5	13	1
MiamiOH	MidAmerican	0.4300	246	3	14	2
UNCAsheville	BigSouth	0.4291	247	8	12	0
MarylandU	BigTen	0.4279	248	1	16	2
Presbyterian	BigSouth	0.4276	249	3	11	3
SamHoustonState	Southland	0.4272	250	6	11	2
YoungstownState	Horizon	0.4269	251	7	9	2
MaineU	AmericaEast	0.4264	252	6	7	2
RhodeIslandU	AtlanticTen	0.4259	253	2	12	5
American	Patriot	0.4259	254	4	12	3
IncarnateWord	Southland	0.4258	255	4	12	1
IUPUI	Summit	0.4248	256	7	9	3
VMI	Southern	0.4234	257	7	12	1
Lamar	Southland	0.4223	258	3	13	3
LongIsland	Northeast	0.4202	259	5	12	2
WeberState	BigSky	0.4201	260	4	12	1
NorthFlorida	AtlanticSun	0.4183	261	3	12	2
PortlandState	BigSky	0.4183	262	5	11	2
Wagner	Northeast	0.4179	263	9	9	1
SetonHall	BigEast	0.4175	264	1	16	1
UCDavis	BigWest	0.4174	265	1	14	3
ArkansasState	SunBelt	0.4155	266	1	14	2
EasternMichigan	MidAmerican	0.4148	267	3	15	1
ClevelandState	Horizon	0.4139	268	7	9	1
MississippiValley	Southwestern	0.4121	269	7	7	3
LouisianaMonroe	SunBelt	0.4107	270	2	15	1
CalStateBakersfield	WAC	0.4081	271	4	15	1
NevadaU	MountainWest	0.4070	272	3	13	2
Xavier	BigEast	0.4050	273	2	15	2
Winthrop	BigSouth	0.4028	274	2	13	3
UAB	ConferenceUSA	0.4025	275	1	15	1
OhioU	MidAmerican	0.4017	276	1	15	2
StBonaventure	AtlanticTen	0.3990	277	2	13	4
NJIT	AtlanticSun	0.3987	278	4	13	1
VCU	AtlanticTen	0.3985	279	3	16	0
AirForce	MountainWest	0.3978	280	5	10	3
Davidson	AtlanticTen	0.3969	281	0	15	4
Stetson	AtlanticSun	0.3966	282	2	11	3
NorthDakotaU	BigSky	0.3960	283	3	12	3
JacksonvilleState	OhioValley	0.3943	284	2	16	2
Bryant	Northeast	0.3943	285	5	8	5
Chattanooga	Southern	0.3941	286	2	17	0
SouthDakotaU	Summit	0.3908	287	5	14	0
Iona	MetroAtlantic	0.3905	288	2	14	2
PrairieViewA&M	Southwestern	0.3899	289	4	9	4
IndianaState	MissouriValley	0.3882	290	4	12	2
Niagara	MetroAtlantic	0.3881	291	4	11	2
WrightState	Horizon	0.3857	292	2	15	1
EasternKentucky	OhioValley	0.3821	293	3	12	3
TexasSouthern	Southwestern	0.3813	294	3	9	3
GardnerWebb	BigSouth	0.3810	295	2	11	6
UNLV	MountainWest	0.3802	296	2	15	3
NichollsState	Southland	0.3773	297	3	12	1
UNI	MissouriValley	0.3773	298	4	9	3
ColoradoState	MountainWest	0.3768	299	2	15	2
IdahoState	BigSky	0.3761	300	2	17	0
AlabamaA&M	Southwestern	0.3754	301	4	12	3
UNOmaha	Summit	0.3741	302	4	13	2
HolyCross	Patriot	0.3731	303	2	15	0
FairleighDickinson	Northeast	0.3725	304	1	16	3
WesternCarolina	Southern	0.3722	305	1	18	0
Lehigh	Patriot	0.3720	306	2	14	1
SacredHeart	Northeast	0.3716	307	5	10	3
Binghamton	AmericaEast	0.3684	308	1	14	3
SIUEdwardsville	OhioValley	0.3639	309	2	12	4
Canisius	MetroAtlantic	0.3629	310	1	15	0
NorthernArizona	BigSky	0.3601	311	2	15	2
ArkansasPineBluff	Southwestern	0.3541	312	3	12	1
TexasRGV	WAC	0.3515	313	5	10	2
USCUpstate	AtlanticSun	0.3463	314	1	16	0
UMassLowell	AmericaEast	0.3448	315	0	13	4
Detroit	Horizon	0.3445	316	1	14	1
KansasState	Independent	0.3340	317	0	15	1
RobertMorris	Northeast	0.3337	318	1	14	3
TexasCorpusChristi	Southland	0.3332	319	1	17	1
GreenBay	Horizon	0.3332	320	0	15	1
StPeters	MetroAtlantic	0.3326	321	1	14	1
IPFW	Summit	0.3324	322	1	16	1
AlcornState	Southwestern	0.3321	323	2	10	0
WesternIllinois	Summit	0.3271	324	1	15	1
MountStMary	Northeast	0.3218	325	2	14	2
SouthCarolinaState	Independent	0.3204	326	1	14	0
NewMexicoState	WAC	0.3154	327	0	17	1
ChicagoState	WAC	0.3084	328	0	15	1
EasternIllinois	OhioValley	0.3046	329	1	16	0
SouthernU	Southwestern	0.3008	330	0	14	2
Hampton	Independent	0.2745	331	2	5	1
Grambling	Southwestern	0.2701	332	0	10	1
DelawareState	Independent	0.2601	333	0	16	0