Tuesday, August 30, 2016

2016 Season NCAA Bracket Simulation: Week 2 Update

Using the 2016 Season Simulation: Week 2 Update from my previous post, I've applied my bracket formation system to those simulated data to come up with Week 2 simulated automatic qualifiers, at large selections, and seeds for the NCAA Tournament bracket.  My system simply compares teams' information to (1) standards as to which, if met, the team always has gotten a particular seed or an at large selection and (2) standards as to which, if met, the team never has gotten a particular seed or at large selection.  It's strictly a data-driven system.  It simply says, "If the Women's Soccer Committee is going to be consistent with all of its decisions over the last nine years, here's what it will do."  (The Committee isn't required to be consistent.)

Here's what the system comes up with following Week 2.  The code for the NCAA Seed or Selection column is as follows:

1 = #1 seed

2 = #2 seed

3 = #3 seed

4 = #4 seed

5 = automatic qualifier

6 = at large selection (that is not seeded)

7 = next in line for at large selection

Here it is:

NCAA Seed or Selection Automatic Qualifier ARPI Rank Team
1 AQ 1 Stanford
1 5 Clemson
1 AQ 3 FloridaU
1 AQ 4 WestVirginiaU
2 AQ 2 Duke
2 9 FloridaState
2 7 UCLA
2 8 Auburn
3 11 SouthernCalifornia
3 AQ 6 ConnecticutU
3 13 BostonCollege
3 AQ 10 WisconsinU
4 21 Rutgers
4 25 CaliforniaU
4 AQ 15 BYU
4 20 PennState
5 AQ 17 Georgetown
5 AQ 22 LongBeachState
5 AQ 23 Harvard
5 AQ 14 Rice
5 AQ 26 Northeastern
5 AQ 31 SanDiegoState
5 AQ 57 Drake
5 AQ 36 BostonU
5 AQ 35 SouthAlabama
5 AQ 44 Rider
5 AQ 42 KentState
5 AQ 51 SoutheastMissouriState
5 AQ 48 Samford
5 AQ 56 Seattle
5 AQ 60 HighPoint
5 AQ 74 IdahoU
5 AQ 81 Albany
5 AQ 83 StephenFAustin
5 AQ 87 FloridaGulfCoast
5 AQ 88 Milwaukee
5 AQ 98 Dayton
5 AQ 131 StFrancis
5 AQ 142 NorthDakotaState
5 AQ 209 JacksonState
6 18 TexasA&M
6 16 VirginiaTech
6 19 OklahomaState
6 27 VirginiaU
6 24 MinnesotaU
6 12 Memphis
6 30 LSU
6 28 WashingtonState
6 33 ArizonaU
6 38 Pepperdine
6 32 GeorgiaU
6 29 TexasTech
6 39 SantaClara
6 52 ArizonaState
6 47 GeorgeWashington
6 54 PortlandU
6 43 SouthCarolinaU
6 45 KentuckyU
6 55 Baylor
6 46 Hofstra
6 40 OhioState
6 50 WashingtonU
7 34 UCF
7 37 Princeton
7 41 Tulsa
7 49 NorthCarolinaU
7 53 NebraskaU

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