2016 Season Simulation: Week 2 Update

This Week 2 Update to the 2016 Season Simulation is a hybrid of (1) the actual results of the games played from the beginning of the season through Sunday, August 28 and (2) my simulated results for the balance of the season (including simulated conference tournaments).

Team	Conference	Adjusted RPI	ARPI Rank	Total Wins	Total Losses	Total Ties
Stanford	PacTwelve	0.7402	1	18	0	1
Duke	ACC	0.7256	2	18	1	2
FloridaU	SEC	0.7213	3	20	1	0
WestVirginiaU	BigTwelve	0.7149	4	19	1	1
Clemson	ACC	0.7135	5	18	1	2
ConnecticutU	American	0.6872	6	20	2	0
UCLA	PacTwelve	0.6829	7	13	3	3
Auburn	SEC	0.6824	8	15	2	3
FloridaState	ACC	0.6756	9	16	3	1
SouthernCalifornia	PacTwelve	0.6679	10	15	2	2
WisconsinU	BigTen	0.6637	11	17	2	3
Memphis	American	0.6629	12	15	3	3
BostonCollege	ACC	0.6575	13	15	3	3
Rice	ConferenceUSA	0.6564	14	16	2	1
BYU	WestCoast	0.6546	15	18	1	0
VirginiaTech	ACC	0.6543	16	14	4	2
Georgetown	BigEast	0.6539	17	16	2	2
TexasA&M	SEC	0.6503	18	15	4	2
OklahomaState	BigTwelve	0.6460	19	17	3	2
PennState	BigTen	0.6454	20	12	5	3
Rutgers	BigTen	0.6446	21	13	1	5
LongBeachState	BigWest	0.6414	22	15	2	3
Harvard	Ivy	0.6402	23	13	2	1
MinnesotaU	BigTen	0.6354	24	18	3	1
CaliforniaU	PacTwelve	0.6345	25	16	3	1
Northeastern	Colonial	0.6344	26	16	3	2
VirginiaU	ACC	0.6332	27	13	3	3
WashingtonState	PacTwelve	0.6331	28	13	6	0
TexasTech	BigTwelve	0.6228	29	13	4	3
LSU	SEC	0.6213	30	14	5	2
SanDiegoState	MountainWest	0.6170	31	16	2	2
GeorgiaU	SEC	0.6169	32	9	8	2
ArizonaU	PacTwelve	0.6133	33	11	5	3
SouthAlabama	SunBelt	0.6122	34	17	2	2
Princeton	Ivy	0.6114	35	12	2	3
UCF	American	0.6113	36	12	6	2
BostonU	Patriot	0.6110	37	13	5	3
Pepperdine	WestCoast	0.6071	38	15	3	1
SantaClara	WestCoast	0.6063	39	12	7	0
Rider	MetroAtlantic	0.6057	40	17	1	1
OhioState	BigTen	0.6056	41	11	8	2
SouthCarolinaU	SEC	0.6053	42	12	6	1
Tulsa	American	0.6051	43	13	6	2
KentState	MidAmerican	0.6044	44	20	1	0
KentuckyU	SEC	0.6006	45	8	7	5
Hofstra	Colonial	0.5998	46	14	4	2
Samford	Southern	0.5971	47	13	4	4
GeorgeWashington	AtlanticTen	0.5958	48	16	2	4
NorthCarolinaU	ACC	0.5952	49	9	7	2
WashingtonU	PacTwelve	0.5939	50	10	7	3
SoutheastMissouriState	OhioValley	0.5923	51	18	1	0
ArizonaState	PacTwelve	0.5896	52	9	7	3
NebraskaU	BigTen	0.5892	53	10	8	2
Baylor	BigTwelve	0.5833	54	12	6	2
PortlandU	WestCoast	0.5828	55	14	4	1
Seattle	WAC	0.5822	56	14	2	4
Drake	MissouriValley	0.5815	57	16	1	3
CoastalCarolina	SunBelt	0.5812	58	15	3	3
WesternKentucky	ConferenceUSA	0.5807	59	14	5	2
HighPoint	BigSouth	0.5798	60	16	4	1
BallState	MidAmerican	0.5784	61	18	2	2
MississippiU	SEC	0.5777	62	8	8	5
WakeForest	ACC	0.5769	63	12	7	0
UCSantaBarbara	BigWest	0.5756	64	17	2	2
NorthTexas	ConferenceUSA	0.5728	65	16	1	4
JamesMadison	Colonial	0.5728	66	12	6	2
William&Mary	Colonial	0.5723	67	13	4	3
Siena	MetroAtlantic	0.5711	68	13	3	4
UNCWilmington	Colonial	0.5709	69	11	3	6
StJohns	BigEast	0.5708	70	12	4	4
Colgate	Patriot	0.5707	71	12	3	5
WyomingU	MountainWest	0.5699	72	15	3	3
IdahoU	BigSky	0.5689	73	16	2	2
UtahU	PacTwelve	0.5685	74	10	9	1
Marquette	BigEast	0.5675	75	12	8	1
StJosephs	AtlanticTen	0.5673	76	14	3	4
Furman	Southern	0.5671	77	12	0	6
Navy	Patriot	0.5661	78	14	5	3
Yale	Ivy	0.5661	79	9	4	3
OklahomaU	BigTwelve	0.5648	80	8	9	3
Columbia	Ivy	0.5623	81	9	4	4
Albany	AmericaEast	0.5612	82	15	3	1
Cincinnati	American	0.5610	83	10	8	2
StephenFAustin	Southland	0.5606	84	14	2	3
TCU	BigTwelve	0.5593	85	11	6	1
MontanaU	BigSky	0.5556	86	13	3	5
FloridaGulfCoast	AtlanticSun	0.5547	87	16	3	0
Milwaukee	Horizon	0.5542	88	15	3	2
Buffalo	MidAmerican	0.5541	89	12	5	4
NorthwesternU	BigTen	0.5535	90	12	5	2
Liberty	BigSouth	0.5534	91	13	7	1
NewHampshireU	AmericaEast	0.5516	92	11	5	3
Syracuse	ACC	0.5501	93	7	7	5
UtahState	MountainWest	0.5477	94	11	7	3
AlabamaU	SEC	0.5476	95	8	6	5
CalStateFullerton	BigWest	0.5474	96	12	6	1
Dayton	AtlanticTen	0.5469	97	17	3	2
TennesseeU	SEC	0.5464	98	7	10	2
LouisianaLafayette	SunBelt	0.5452	99	14	4	2
Butler	BigEast	0.5434	100	16	4	1
MichiganU	BigTen	0.5430	101	6	4	8
MissouriU	SEC	0.5410	102	9	6	4
Providence	BigEast	0.5407	103	8	10	2
FloridaAtlantic	ConferenceUSA	0.5399	104	11	6	3
CalPoly	BigWest	0.5398	105	9	8	3
Brown	Ivy	0.5391	106	9	4	3
UTEP	ConferenceUSA	0.5357	107	10	4	8
Monmouth	MetroAtlantic	0.5349	108	13	3	4
IowaState	BigTwelve	0.5347	109	5	11	3
Hartford	AmericaEast	0.5346	110	12	4	3
SacramentoState	BigSky	0.5344	111	14	3	2
EastCarolina	American	0.5342	112	9	8	3
SanJoseState	MountainWest	0.5332	113	9	7	5
IowaU	BigTen	0.5322	114	11	6	2
OregonU	PacTwelve	0.5321	115	5	12	3
EastTennesseeState	Southern	0.5318	116	14	2	4
Morehead	OhioValley	0.5315	117	14	5	3
ArkansasU	SEC	0.5314	118	5	11	3
SouthFlorida	American	0.5304	119	8	6	4
Lipscomb	AtlanticSun	0.5303	120	13	4	2
NotreDame	ACC	0.5301	121	7	10	1
Louisville	ACC	0.5295	122	7	8	3
GeorgeMason	AtlanticTen	0.5293	123	12	7	2
Troy	SunBelt	0.5289	124	10	6	4
Cornell	Ivy	0.5272	125	4	7	5
DePaul	BigEast	0.5268	126	9	9	1
UMKC	WAC	0.5263	127	13	3	5
Fordham	AtlanticTen	0.5259	128	9	8	3
CentralMichigan	MidAmerican	0.5253	129	13	5	3
Manhattan	MetroAtlantic	0.5252	130	11	6	2
Bucknell	Patriot	0.5225	131	9	6	4
StFrancis	Northeast	0.5219	132	15	5	1
UALR	SunBelt	0.5209	133	10	9	1
TexasState	SunBelt	0.5197	134	10	6	4
WesternMichigan	MidAmerican	0.5194	135	12	4	4
DelawareU	Colonial	0.5192	136	6	10	3
OregonState	PacTwelve	0.5186	137	5	11	4
TexasU	BigTwelve	0.5166	138	6	10	3
AbileneChristian	Southland	0.5145	139	10	7	4
SELouisiana	Southland	0.5138	140	12	5	4
UNCGreensboro	Southern	0.5138	141	8	9	3
NorthDakotaState	Summit	0.5120	142	12	5	2
CalStateNorthridge	BigWest	0.5119	143	8	8	4
SMU	American	0.5118	144	6	11	2
Longwood	BigSouth	0.5110	145	9	7	4
IllinoisU	BigTen	0.5102	146	8	10	1
LaSalle	AtlanticTen	0.5098	147	7	7	5
Marshall	ConferenceUSA	0.5081	148	6	7	5
CentralArkansas	Southland	0.5074	149	13	4	3
EasternWashington	BigSky	0.5066	150	13	4	4
HoustonBaptist	Southland	0.5065	151	11	8	1
Charlotte	ConferenceUSA	0.5059	152	8	8	3
MiamiFL	ACC	0.5034	153	6	9	3
UCIrvine	BigWest	0.5029	154	11	6	3
NorthernIllinois	MidAmerican	0.5024	155	7	9	3
Radford	BigSouth	0.5022	156	8	5	5
MichiganState	BigTen	0.5017	157	7	10	1
Campbell	BigSouth	0.5003	158	12	4	3
FresnoState	MountainWest	0.4996	159	9	6	5
MurrayState	OhioValley	0.4991	160	9	5	5
Mercer	Southern	0.4986	161	8	8	4
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.4984	162	5	11	2
Lafayette	Patriot	0.4965	163	9	6	4
SanFrancisco	WestCoast	0.4963	164	7	10	2
NewMexicoU	MountainWest	0.4959	165	10	7	3
IllinoisChicago	Horizon	0.4944	166	12	4	4
Elon	Colonial	0.4940	167	8	10	1
KansasU	BigTwelve	0.4935	168	4	13	1
OldDominion	ConferenceUSA	0.4929	169	4	10	4
HawaiiU	BigWest	0.4923	170	8	7	2
Denver	Summit	0.4919	171	10	6	4
GrandCanyon	WAC	0.4902	172	9	8	3
MiddleTennessee	ConferenceUSA	0.4897	173	7	9	1
Purdue	BigTen	0.4896	174	3	14	1
Duquesne	AtlanticTen	0.4894	175	9	8	3
LouisianaTech	ConferenceUSA	0.4882	176	12	6	3
Richmond	AtlanticTen	0.4880	177	9	10	1
Gonzaga	WestCoast	0.4871	178	5	10	4
AustinPeay	OhioValley	0.4871	179	10	8	2
VermontU	AmericaEast	0.4867	180	6	6	6
UtahValley	WAC	0.4847	181	10	8	2
IndianaU	BigTen	0.4846	182	2	13	4
AppalachianState	SunBelt	0.4836	183	7	11	1
NCState	ACC	0.4831	184	3	14	1
BoiseState	MountainWest	0.4810	185	5	9	6
Howard	Southwestern	0.4802	186	12	4	5
JacksonvilleU	AtlanticSun	0.4802	187	6	9	2
Creighton	BigEast	0.4799	188	8	8	2
KennesawState	AtlanticSun	0.4799	189	11	5	3
LoyolaMD	Patriot	0.4795	190	6	7	5
LoyolaChicago	MissouriValley	0.4786	191	8	9	2
CentralConnecticut	Northeast	0.4780	192	9	11	1
ColoradoCollege	MountainWest	0.4774	193	8	8	3
PennsylvaniaU	Ivy	0.4772	194	8	6	2
SanDiegoU	WestCoast	0.4747	195	4	12	3
Towson	Colonial	0.4741	196	1	13	5
Quinnipiac	MetroAtlantic	0.4728	197	9	6	3
TennesseeMartin	OhioValley	0.4705	198	8	8	3
Houston	American	0.4698	199	7	9	1
McNeeseState	Southland	0.4696	200	10	7	2
MississippiState	SEC	0.4695	201	2	15	1
Drexel	Colonial	0.4693	202	5	10	3
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.4677	203	5	10	1
BowlingGreen	MidAmerican	0.4676	204	8	9	3
NorthernColorado	BigSky	0.4675	205	9	9	2
Marist	MetroAtlantic	0.4674	206	10	7	2
SouthernUtah	BigSky	0.4673	207	6	9	2
NorthernKentucky	Horizon	0.4671	208	10	6	3
Villanova	BigEast	0.4669	209	4	13	1
GeorgiaState	SunBelt	0.4655	210	5	10	2
StonyBrook	AmericaEast	0.4635	211	5	11	5
JacksonState	Southwestern	0.4630	212	11	6	4
Evansville	MissouriValley	0.4625	213	5	11	3
TennesseeTech	OhioValley	0.4617	214	9	10	1
MarylandU	BigTen	0.4615	215	3	14	2
StMarys	WestCoast	0.4598	216	2	14	4
Belmont	OhioValley	0.4590	217	5	10	3
CharlestonSouthern	BigSouth	0.4584	218	8	8	3
Citadel	Southern	0.4584	219	10	8	2
SouthDakotaState	Summit	0.4572	220	9	9	1
Wofford	Southern	0.4566	221	9	10	0
GeorgiaSouthern	SunBelt	0.4555	222	4	10	4
Valparaiso	Horizon	0.4552	223	10	9	1
OralRoberts	Summit	0.4548	224	7	11	2
StLouis	AtlanticTen	0.4531	225	7	9	3
FIU	ConferenceUSA	0.4529	226	3	9	5
UMBC	AmericaEast	0.4523	227	6	10	2
Temple	American	0.4518	228	6	12	1
MissouriState	MissouriValley	0.4508	229	6	9	4
LoyolaMarymount	WestCoast	0.4500	230	2	16	1
Toledo	MidAmerican	0.4489	231	6	10	3
AlabamaState	Southwestern	0.4472	232	10	6	5
IllinoisState	MissouriValley	0.4465	233	11	9	1
UTSA	ConferenceUSA	0.4458	234	4	14	1
UCRiverside	BigWest	0.4431	235	2	12	5
CollegeofCharleston	Colonial	0.4431	236	3	12	4
ColoradoU	PacTwelve	0.4425	237	2	16	2
SouthernMississippi	ConferenceUSA	0.4425	238	7	9	2
Army	Patriot	0.4419	239	4	12	2
MiamiOH	MidAmerican	0.4416	240	4	13	2
MassachusettsU	AtlanticTen	0.4410	241	5	12	1
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.4408	242	1	15	2
Fairfield	MetroAtlantic	0.4407	243	5	12	1
ArkansasState	SunBelt	0.4391	244	2	12	3
Pacific	WestCoast	0.4388	245	1	14	2
IUPUI	Summit	0.4368	246	8	9	2
NorthwesternState	Southland	0.4357	247	5	10	2
WeberState	BigSky	0.4343	248	5	11	1
MaineU	AmericaEast	0.4342	249	6	7	2
RhodeIslandU	AtlanticTen	0.4335	250	2	12	5
SetonHall	BigEast	0.4334	251	2	15	1
UNCAsheville	BigSouth	0.4330	252	9	11	0
Oakland	Horizon	0.4308	253	7	10	1
NorthFlorida	AtlanticSun	0.4289	254	3	11	3
LouisianaMonroe	SunBelt	0.4241	255	2	14	2
IncarnateWord	Southland	0.4224	256	4	12	1
PortlandState	BigSky	0.4216	257	5	11	2
YoungstownState	Horizon	0.4197	258	7	9	2
NJIT	AtlanticSun	0.4193	259	5	11	2
VMI	Southern	0.4179	260	7	13	0
UCDavis	BigWest	0.4179	261	1	14	3
Wagner	Northeast	0.4155	262	9	9	1
Akron	MidAmerican	0.4154	263	4	12	3
MississippiValley	Southwestern	0.4145	264	7	7	3
American	Patriot	0.4144	265	3	13	3
Davidson	AtlanticTen	0.4143	266	2	14	3
NevadaU	MountainWest	0.4142	267	3	13	2
CalStateBakersfield	WAC	0.4137	268	4	14	2
VCU	AtlanticTen	0.4121	269	4	15	0
EasternMichigan	MidAmerican	0.4119	270	3	15	1
Presbyterian	BigSouth	0.4105	271	3	10	3
SamHoustonState	Southland	0.4084	272	5	12	2
LongIsland	Northeast	0.4081	273	5	13	1
Xavier	BigEast	0.4072	274	2	14	3
UNLV	MountainWest	0.4070	275	4	14	2
StBonaventure	AtlanticTen	0.4063	276	2	13	4
AirForce	MountainWest	0.4062	277	5	10	3
Bryant	Northeast	0.4044	278	6	7	5
EasternKentucky	OhioValley	0.4043	279	5	11	2
UAB	ConferenceUSA	0.4024	280	1	15	1
SouthDakotaU	Summit	0.4014	281	5	13	1
ClevelandState	Horizon	0.3990	282	6	10	1
IndianaState	MissouriValley	0.3982	283	5	12	1
Lamar	Southland	0.3979	284	2	14	3
Winthrop	BigSouth	0.3975	285	2	13	3
JacksonvilleState	OhioValley	0.3973	286	2	16	2
Stetson	AtlanticSun	0.3960	287	2	11	3
OhioU	MidAmerican	0.3944	288	1	15	2
Lehigh	Patriot	0.3925	289	3	13	1
ColoradoState	MountainWest	0.3921	290	3	15	1
NorthDakotaU	BigSky	0.3904	291	3	13	2
Iona	MetroAtlantic	0.3893	292	2	14	2
Chattanooga	Southern	0.3886	293	2	17	0
Canisius	MetroAtlantic	0.3879	294	3	13	0
UNOmaha	Summit	0.3854	295	5	13	1
Binghamton	AmericaEast	0.3852	296	1	13	4
NichollsState	Southland	0.3848	297	4	11	1
WrightState	Horizon	0.3840	298	2	15	1
UNI	MissouriValley	0.3840	299	4	9	3
TexasSouthern	Southwestern	0.3837	300	3	9	3
PrairieViewA&M	Southwestern	0.3833	301	4	10	3
HolyCross	Patriot	0.3818	302	2	15	0
Niagara	MetroAtlantic	0.3776	303	4	11	2
FairleighDickinson	Northeast	0.3759	304	1	16	3
AlabamaA&M	Southwestern	0.3751	305	4	12	3
IdahoState	BigSky	0.3750	306	2	17	0
SacredHeart	Northeast	0.3745	307	5	10	3
TexasRGV	WAC	0.3718	308	7	9	1
GardnerWebb	BigSouth	0.3714	309	1	12	6
WesternCarolina	Southern	0.3691	310	1	18	0
SIUEdwardsville	OhioValley	0.3650	311	2	13	3
KansasState	Independent	0.3598	312	1	14	1
ArkansasPineBluff	Southwestern	0.3575	313	3	12	1
NorthernArizona	BigSky	0.3573	314	2	16	1
Detroit	Horizon	0.3554	315	2	13	1
UMassLowell	AmericaEast	0.3542	316	0	13	4
MountStMary	Northeast	0.3477	317	3	12	3
USCUpstate	AtlanticSun	0.3441	318	0	15	2
TexasCorpusChristi	Southland	0.3380	319	1	17	1
IPFW	Summit	0.3344	320	1	16	1
WesternIllinois	Summit	0.3331	321	1	15	1
AlcornState	Southwestern	0.3302	322	2	10	0
GreenBay	Horizon	0.3291	323	0	15	1
SouthCarolinaState	Independent	0.3269	324	1	13	1
StPeters	MetroAtlantic	0.3269	325	1	14	1
NewMexicoState	WAC	0.3188	326	0	17	1
RobertMorris	Northeast	0.3120	327	0	15	3
EasternIllinois	OhioValley	0.3111	328	1	16	0
ChicagoState	WAC	0.3079	329	0	15	1
SouthernU	Southwestern	0.3006	330	0	14	2
Hampton	Independent	0.2842	331	2	5	1
Grambling	Southwestern	0.2725	332	0	10	1
DelawareState	Independent	0.2635	333	0	16	0