Tuesday, August 30, 2022

SIMULATED NCAA TOURNAMENT PARTICIPANTS USING ACTUAL RESULTS THROUGH AUGUST 28

Here are my simulated NCAA Tournament participants using the actual results of games played through August 28 and simulated results for games not yet played.  As with the simulated RPI Ranks, there is lots of potential for error in the simulation, this early in the season.

First Column:

1 = #1 seed

2 = #2 seed

3 = #3 seed

4 = #4 seed

5 = unseeded automatic qualifier

6 = unseeded at large selection

7 = top 60 team not selected

Second  Column: Automatic Qualifiers

Third Column: Simulated RPI Rank

                                   

1

AQ

1

Duke

1

0

2

FloridaState

1

0

3

NorthCarolinaU

1

0

5

VirginiaU

2

AQ

4

ArkansasU

2

0

6

SouthernCalifornia

2

AQ

8

Rutgers

2

AQ

10

Stanford

3

AQ

7

Brown

3

0

9

TennesseeU

3

0

16

Auburn

3

0

18

NotreDame

4

AQ

11

Xavier

4

0

12

MichiganU

4

AQ

14

TCU

4

AQ

17

Pepperdine

5

AQ

30

Hofstra

5

AQ

34

Samford

5

AQ

41

GrandCanyon

5

AQ

45

LoyolaChicago

5

AQ

50

NorthwesternState

5

AQ

56

Milwaukee

5

AQ

58

BowlingGreen

5

AQ

60

NewMexicoU

5

AQ

69

SouthernMississippi

5

AQ

74

SouthFlorida

5

AQ

76

Campbell

5

AQ

77

NorthTexas

5

AQ

78

Liberty

5

AQ

86

Denver

5

AQ

91

Niagara

5

AQ

101

BostonU

5

AQ

107

LongBeachState

5

AQ

118

CentralConnecticut

5

AQ

120

SIUEdwardsville

5

AQ

122

UMassLowell

5

AQ

125

MontanaU

5

AQ

154

Drake

5

AQ

225

PrairieViewA&M

6

0

13

Georgetown

6

0

15

Princeton

6

0

19

UCLA

6

0

20

SouthCarolinaU

6

0

21

Clemson

6

0

22

BYU

6

0

23

PennState

6

0

24

WashingtonState

6

0

25

LSU

6

0

26

NCState

6

0

27

Pittsburgh

6

0

28

Vanderbilt

6

0

29

Purdue

6

0

31

VirginiaTech

6

0

32

Harvard

6

0

33

TexasA&M

6

0

35

SMU

6

0

36

OregonU

6

0

37

Butler

6

0

38

MississippiU

6

0

39

WakeForest

6

0

40

StLouis

6

0

42

SantaClara

6

0

43

UNCWilmington

7

0

44

VCU

7

0

46

SouthDakotaState

7

0

47

ArizonaState

7

0

48

ColoradoU

7

0

49

Providence

7

0

51

WisconsinU

7

0

52

TexasU

7

0

53

OklahomaState

7

0

54

UCF

7

0

55

Memphis

7

0

57

OhioState

7

0

59

MichiganState

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