Reports Summary: Games Through October 2 (Week 7)

The four posts following this one include my weekly RPI report for the top 130 teams, my 2016 season simulation report, my 2016 NCAA bracket simulation report, and my report on how teams have progressed weekly in the simulation system, all covering games through week 7 of the season (through October 2).

My RPI ratings are slightly different than the NCAA's.  This is because for the 9/30 game between Prairie View A&M and Grambling, the NCAA's RPI database has Grambling as the winner, whereas in fact Prairie View was the winner.  The NCAA staff is aware of this issue and I expect they will make a correction some time this week.  Apart from that one issue, we have matching game result data.

For the weekly RPI report:

• Potential #1 seed candidates are ranked #28 or better
• Potential #2 seed candidates are ranked #42 or better
• Potential #3 seed candidates are ranked #59 or better
• Potential #4 seed candidates are ranked #59 or better
• At large "bubble" teams are ranked from #18 to #130  (meaning that teams ranked better than #18 likely are assured of getting an at large selection and teams ranked poorer than #130 likely are certain of not getting an at large selection)

For the NCAA bracket simulation, the key in the left hand column is as follows:

• 1 = #1 seed
• 2 = #2 seed
• 3 = #3 seed
• 4 = #4 seed
• 5 = unseeded automatic qualifiers
• 6 = unseeded at large selections
• 7 = next in line for at large selections (Note: In the simulation, Kentucky has a record below 0.5000 and would not qualify for an at large selection.)

As a reminder from last week's Reports Summary, the "How Teams Have Progressed ..." report, if you look at it carefully, can give you a sense of whether teams appear to have stabilized in their ranking positions or whether they continue to move up or down in the simulated rankings.