I'm hearing from coaches of top teams that are not in Power 4 conferences that a lot of elite players coming out of high school are saying they are "Power 4 Only." That is consistent with what I am seeing in social media, which treats going to a Power 4 school as having higher status than going to any other school. From a quality of soccer perspective, this is dumb.
The best indicator of teams' likely future quality, as measured by their past performance, is their median rank over the last 7 years. I've settled on this as an indicator after doing a comprehensive study of the relationship between teams' past performance and their future performance.
So players in the college selection process, there are 67 Power 4 conference teams, but they are not likely to be the top 67 when you are in college. Your best bets, if you want to play for a team likely to be in the top 67, are listed below. If you decide on a Power 4 team that is not on the list, don't fool yourself: Your decision is motivated by something other than the likely quality of the team you will be playing for.
The teams are in order, with the likely strongest at the top. Thirteen of the 67 (almost 20%) are not Power 4 teams.
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