Below are my weekly tables showing predicted end-of-season rankings for teams, conferences, and regions based on the actual results of games played through Week 3 of the season (including Labor Day, September 1) and predicted results of games not yet played. Since we still are not very far into the season, the numbers remain pretty speculative. Please note that the tables include NCAA RPI, my Balanced RPI, and Massey rankings. Later in the season when KPI rankings are available, they also will be in the tables.
For those with a serious interest in the numbers, I sugest you download the 2025 RPI Report After Week 3 Excel workbook, which should be easier to use than the tables below.
Something I am watching very closely is the percentages, by region, of in-region games that are ties. I watch this because, as discussed previously, the NCAA RPI formula punishes regions with high levels of parity, one measure of which is the percentage of in-region games that are ties. This is a problem the Committee made a little worse last year when it changed the value of ties in the RPI formula's calculation of a team's winning percentage from half a win to a third of a win. You can find the percentage of in-region ties for each region on the Regions page at the far right of the table. So far this year, it looks like the West and Middle regions will have extraordinarily high levels of in-region ties, significantly higher than for the North and South regions.
The other things to look at on the tables, at this point, are the differences between teams' NCAA RPI ranks and their ranks as Strength of Schedule contributors, both for the teams themselves and for their opponents. If you spend time looking through these differences on the Teams and Conference pages, you should be able to see for yourself the NCAA RPI's discriminatory patterns.
TEAMS
CONFERENCES
REGIONS
