SIMULATED END OF SEASON RPI RANKS USING ACTUAL RESULTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 4

Here are my simulated end-of-season RPI ranks using actual results of games played through September 4 and simulated results of games not yet played.  As a reminder, for all games not yet played, the simulation assigns game results based on pre-season ratings I assigned to teams, as adjusted for home field advantage.  Thus for future games, the simulated results do not reflect that some teams so far have done better or worse than expected in relation to their assigned pre-season ratings.  In a few weeks, when I substitute actual current RPI ratings for the assigned pre-season ratings, the simulated future results will reflect how teams actually have done so far this year.

Team for Bracket Formation	ARPI Rank
Duke	1
FloridaState	2
ArkansasU	3
Rutgers	4
VirginiaU	5
NorthCarolinaU	6
Brown	7
SouthernCalifornia	8
Stanford	9
TennesseeU	10
UCLA	11
TCU	12
Princeton	13
SouthCarolinaU	14
PennState	15
NotreDame	16
MichiganU	17
Xavier	18
Auburn	19
Clemson	20
Georgetown	21
Harvard	22
LSU	23
Pepperdine	24
WashingtonState	25
Pittsburgh	26
Vanderbilt	27
TexasA&M	28
GrandCanyon	29
StLouis	30
BYU	31
Hofstra	32
VirginiaTech	33
MississippiU	34
TexasU	35
Purdue	36
NCState	37
SMU	38
WisconsinU	39
Samford	40
WakeForest	41
LoyolaChicago	42
VCU	43
ColoradoU	44
SantaClara	45
OregonU	46
NorthwesternState	47
SouthDakotaState	48
UNCWilmington	49
Butler	50
Milwaukee	51
ArizonaState	52
Providence	53
OhioState	54
WestVirginiaU	55
MichiganState	56
OklahomaState	57
Memphis	58
JamesMadison	59
CaliforniaU	60
BowlingGreen	61
UCF	62
GeorgiaU	63
Dayton	64
SouthernMississippi	65
SouthAlabama	66
WashingtonU	67
Louisville	68
AlabamaU	69
OldDominion	70
NorthwesternU	71
Quinnipiac	72
Columbia	73
Northeastern	74
EastCarolina	75
Liberty	76
Gonzaga	77
SanFrancisco	78
Campbell	79
NewMexicoU	80
SouthFlorida	81
NorthTexas	82
Oakland	83
Monmouth	84
UtahValley	85
NebraskaU	86
WesternCarolina	87
KentState	88
Rice	89
StJohns	90
Lamar	91
PortlandU	92
Fairfield	93
CalPoly	94
IndianaU	95
Buffalo	96
Lipscomb	97
TennesseeTech	98
Elon	99
ArkansasState	100
StMarys	101
Niagara	102
RhodeIslandU	103
TexasTech	104
LongBeachState	105
KansasU	106
UtahState	107
CalStateFullerton	108
MassachusettsU	109
Denver	110
VermontU	111
Dartmouth	112
SIUEdwardsville	113
BostonU	114
Navy	115
BostonCollege	116
MississippiState	117
UtahU	118
Seattle	119
CentralConnecticut	120
MontanaU	121
KentuckyU	122
CaliforniaBaptist	123
UCIrvine	124
WesternKentucky	125
Furman	126
OklahomaU	127
MiamiFL	128
Albany	129
UMassLowell	130
Houston	131
OregonState	132
IowaU	133
William&Mary	134
GeorgiaSouthern	135
GreenBay	136
UAB	137
UNCGreensboro	138
UTSA	139
Drake	140
Towson	141
Cincinnati	142
NorthernColorado	143
LaSalle	144
MinnesotaU	145
Creighton	146
Mercer	147
PennsylvaniaU	148
NorthFlorida	149
McNeeseState	150
NorthernKentucky	151
Baylor	152
UCSantaBarbara	153
Radford	154
Toledo	155
FloridaGulfCoast	156
MissouriU	157
BoiseState	158
FloridaU	159
SanDiegoState	160
ArizonaU	161
OhioU	162
LouisianaMonroe	163
Evansville	164
NewMexicoState	165
WeberState	166
FloridaAtlantic	167
Pacific	168
HighPoint	169
StephenFAustin	170
Drexel	171
Marquette	172
GeorgiaState	173
CentralArkansas	174
NewHampshireU	175
Binghamton	176
FresnoState	177
Yale	178
SELouisiana	179
MurrayState	180
LoyolaMD	181
IllinoisU	182
Hartford	183
ConnecticutU	184
TexasState	185
CentralMichigan	186
IUPUI	187
Bucknell	188
WrightState	189
UALR	190
KansasState	191
Richmond	192
MarylandU	193
FairleighDickinson	194
SanDiegoU	195
DePaul	196
Syracuse	197
GeorgeMason	198
ClevelandState	199
WesternIllinois	200
IowaState	201
SouthDakotaU	202
ColoradoState	203
UNOmaha	204
MiamiOH	205
Marist	206
IncarnateWord	207
EasternKentucky	208
Grambling	209
LouisianaTech	210
Longwood	211
Siena	212
Charlotte	213
TennesseeMartin	214
KennesawState	215
DelawareU	216
AbileneChristian	217
Tulsa	218
MissouriState	219
SacredHeart	220
Chattanooga	221
MiddleTennessee	222
UtahTech	223
StBonaventure	224
UCSanDiego	225
BallState	226
Valparaiso	227
UCDavis	228
PrairieViewA&M	229
Citadel	230
CollegeofCharleston	231
IPFW	232
Iona	233
SetonHall	234
IdahoU	235
Duquesne	236
StonyBrook	237
NorthernArizona	238
HawaiiU	239
SoutheastMissouriState	240
AirForce	241
WesternMichigan	242
SamHoustonState	243
LouisianaLafayette	244
EastTennesseeState	245
Troy	246
HoustonBaptist	247
GeorgeWashington	248
Howard	249
UCRiverside	250
ColoradoCollege	251
Davidson	252
Colgate	253
Temple	254
UNLV	255
Army	256
Lehigh	257
AppalachianState	258
StJosephs	259
SouthernUtah	260
LoyolaMarymount	261
American	262
CalStateNorthridge	263
OralRoberts	264
TexasCommerce	265
Bellarmine	266
Wofford	267
UNI	268
NJIT	269
SanJoseState	270
MaineU	271
Belmont	272
Cornell	273
AustinPeay	274
IllinoisState	275
UMKC	276
IndianaState	277
Marshall	278
Manhattan	279
Rider	280
Merrimack	281
UTEP	282
TexasSouthern	283
Detroit	284
CoastalCarolina	285
CharlestonSouthern	286
Villanova	287
UNCAsheville	288
MountStMary	289
EasternWashington	290
Morehead	291
JacksonvilleU	292
Winthrop	293
TexasRGV	294
Stetson	295
Bryant	296
TexasCorpusChristi	297
Fordham	298
SacramentoState	299
EasternMichigan	300
JacksonvilleState	301
GardnerWebb	302
EasternIllinois	303
StFrancisBrooklyn	304
RobertMorris	305
NorthernIllinois	306
UMBC	307
Queens	308
YoungstownState	309
Akron	310
IdahoState	311
PortlandState	312
CalStateBakersfield	313
Tarleton	314
StThomas	315
WyomingU	316
FIU	317
AlabamaA&M	318
Canisius	319
NorthAlabama	320
NorthDakotaState	321
Lafayette	322
NorthDakotaU	323
NevadaU	324
Wagner	325
USCUpstate	326
Stonehill	327
SouthernIndiana	328
IllinoisChicago	329
Lindenwood	330
Presbyterian	331
StFrancis	332
AlabamaState	333
JacksonState	334
NichollsState	335
SIUCarbondale	336
HolyCross	337
Hampton	338
VMI	339
ChicagoState	340
StPeters	341
LongIsland	342
SouthernU	343
ArkansasPineBluff	344
MississippiValley	345
DelawareState	346
AlcornState	347
SouthCarolinaState	348