Here are my simulated NCAA Tournament participants using the actual results of games played through August 28 and simulated results for games not yet played. As with the simulated RPI Ranks, there is lots of potential for error in the simulation, this early in the season.
First Column:
1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded automatic qualifier
6 = unseeded at large selection
7 = top 60 team not selected
Second Column: Automatic Qualifiers
Third Column: Simulated RPI Rank
1 |
AQ |
1 |
Duke |
1 |
0 |
2 |
FloridaState |
1 |
0 |
3 |
NorthCarolinaU |
1 |
0 |
5 |
VirginiaU |
2 |
AQ |
4 |
ArkansasU |
2 |
0 |
6 |
SouthernCalifornia |
2 |
AQ |
8 |
Rutgers |
2 |
AQ |
10 |
Stanford |
3 |
AQ |
7 |
Brown |
3 |
0 |
9 |
TennesseeU |
3 |
0 |
16 |
Auburn |
3 |
0 |
18 |
NotreDame |
4 |
AQ |
11 |
Xavier |
4 |
0 |
12 |
MichiganU |
4 |
AQ |
14 |
TCU |
4 |
AQ |
17 |
Pepperdine |
5 |
AQ |
30 |
Hofstra |
5 |
AQ |
34 |
Samford |
5 |
AQ |
41 |
GrandCanyon |
5 |
AQ |
45 |
LoyolaChicago |
5 |
AQ |
50 |
NorthwesternState |
5 |
AQ |
56 |
Milwaukee |
5 |
AQ |
58 |
BowlingGreen |
5 |
AQ |
60 |
NewMexicoU |
5 |
AQ |
69 |
SouthernMississippi |
5 |
AQ |
74 |
SouthFlorida |
5 |
AQ |
76 |
Campbell |
5 |
AQ |
77 |
NorthTexas |
5 |
AQ |
78 |
Liberty |
5 |
AQ |
86 |
Denver |
5 |
AQ |
91 |
Niagara |
5 |
AQ |
101 |
BostonU |
5 |
AQ |
107 |
LongBeachState |
5 |
AQ |
118 |
CentralConnecticut |
5 |
AQ |
120 |
SIUEdwardsville |
5 |
AQ |
122 |
UMassLowell |
5 |
AQ |
125 |
MontanaU |
5 |
AQ |
154 |
Drake |
5 |
AQ |
225 |
PrairieViewA&M |
6 |
0 |
13 |
Georgetown |
6 |
0 |
15 |
Princeton |
6 |
0 |
19 |
UCLA |
6 |
0 |
20 |
SouthCarolinaU |
6 |
0 |
21 |
Clemson |
6 |
0 |
22 |
BYU |
6 |
0 |
23 |
PennState |
6 |
0 |
24 |
WashingtonState |
6 |
0 |
25 |
LSU |
6 |
0 |
26 |
NCState |
6 |
0 |
27 |
Pittsburgh |
6 |
0 |
28 |
Vanderbilt |
6 |
0 |
29 |
Purdue |
6 |
0 |
31 |
VirginiaTech |
6 |
0 |
32 |
Harvard |
6 |
0 |
33 |
TexasA&M |
6 |
0 |
35 |
SMU |
6 |
0 |
36 |
OregonU |
6 |
0 |
37 |
Butler |
6 |
0 |
38 |
MississippiU |
6 |
0 |
39 |
WakeForest |
6 |
0 |
40 |
StLouis |
6 |
0 |
42 |
SantaClara |
6 |
0 |
43 |
UNCWilmington |
7 |
0 |
44 |
VCU |
7 |
0 |
46 |
SouthDakotaState |
7 |
0 |
47 |
ArizonaState |
7 |
0 |
48 |
ColoradoU |
7 |
0 |
49 |
Providence |
7 |
0 |
51 |
WisconsinU |
7 |
0 |
52 |
TexasU |
7 |
0 |
53 |
OklahomaState |
7 |
0 |
54 |
UCF |
7 |
0 |
55 |
Memphis |
7 |
0 |
57 |
OhioState |
7 |
0 |
59 |
MichiganState |
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