2019 SIMULATED NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET 10.21.2019

Below is this week's simulated NCAA Tournament, based on the actual results of games played through Sunday, October 20, and simulated results of games not yet played including conference tournament games.

When my system has teams tied for the last at large selection(s), my tiebreaker is teams' scores for positive results (wins or ties) against Top 50 teams.  I use a scoring system that is very heavily weighted towards good results against highly ranked teams.  For teams' ranks, I use their simulated end-of-season ranks.  This week, the last team "in" is Portland and the first team "out" is Iowa.  Portland's Top 50 results score is just a hair better than Iowa's.

Here is the key for the NCAA Seed or Selection column:

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded automatic qualifier
6 = unseeded at large selection
6.5 = tied for last at large selection but not selected due to Top 50 Results score
7 = Top 60, no at large selection
8 = Top 60, disqualified from at large selection due to record below 0.5000
9 = Top 78 teams that would be reasonable at large candidate if within Top 60

NCAA Seed or Selection	Automatic Qualifier	ARPI Rank for Formation	Team for Formation
1	AQ	1	Stanford
1	AQ	2	NorthCarolinaU
1	0	3	FloridaState
1	0	4	SouthernCalifornia
2	AQ	5	ArkansasU
2	0	6	VirginiaU
2	0	10	OklahomaState
2	AQ	11	KansasU
3	AQ	7	Brown
3	AQ	8	WisconsinU
3	0	9	WashingtonU
3	AQ	18	BYU
4	0	12	Duke
4	0	15	TexasTech
4	0	17	SouthCarolinaU
4	0	23	UCLA
5	AQ	16	Hofstra
5	AQ	22	Memphis
5	AQ	24	FloridaAtlantic
5	AQ	29	Georgetown
5	AQ	34	Furman
5	AQ	35	StLouis
5	AQ	36	Monmouth
5	AQ	44	BallState
5	AQ	50	Milwaukee
5	AQ	53	BoiseState
5	AQ	54	FloridaGulfCoast
5	AQ	60	SouthAlabama
5	AQ	64	LoyolaChicago
5	AQ	70	Navy
5	AQ	81	HawaiiU
5	AQ	94	Campbell
5	AQ	97	Lamar
5	AQ	105	SouthDakotaState
5	AQ	109	UMKC
5	AQ	115	SoutheastMissouriState
5	AQ	120	StonyBrook
5	AQ	142	EasternWashington
5	AQ	143	Howard
5	AQ	145	FairleighDickinson
6	0	13	Rutgers
6	0	14	FloridaU
6	0	19	Louisville
6	0	20	TexasA&M
6	0	21	VirginiaTech
6	0	25	WashingtonState
6	0	26	MichiganU
6	0	27	SouthFlorida
6	0	28	AlabamaU
6	0	30	Clemson
6	0	31	SantaClara
6	0	32	WestVirginiaU
6	0	33	Harvard
6	0	37	NotreDame
6	0	38	ColoradoU
6	0	39	CaliforniaU
6	0	40	OregonState
6	0	41	PennState
6	0	42	NCState
6	0	45	TexasU
6	0	46	ArizonaU
6	0	48	Vanderbilt
6	0	49	PortlandU
6	0	56	Pepperdine
6.5	0	43	IowaU
6.5	0	47	Providence
6.5	0	51	MississippiU
7	0	52	Charlotte
7	0	55	UNCWilmington
7	0	57	Columbia
7	0	58	Rice
8	0	59	WakeForest
9	0	61	NorthTexas
9	0	62	NewMexicoU
9	0	63	Baylor
9	0	66	Yale
9	0	67	SanFrancisco
9	0	68	Xavier
	0	65	Denver
	0	69	UtahU
	0	71	BostonCollege
	0	72	LaSalle
	0	73	OregonU
	0	74	Elon
	0	75	ArkansasState
	0	76	Princeton
	0	77	MissouriState
	0	78	ColoradoState