2017 NCAA Tournament Bracket Simulation 9.4.2017

Below is my system's NCAA Tournament bracket simulation, using actual game results for games played through Sunday, September 3, 2017, and simulated results for games not yet played.  The NCAA Seed or Selection column codes are:

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded Automatic Qualifier
6 = at large selection
7 = Top 60 team, but no at large selection
8 = outside the Top 60, but potential at large selection if in the Top 60

For the teams with no code entry, they are among the Top 150 teams and are arranged in order of likelihood of an at large selection.

Following the list, I've indicated other potential seeds.

I anticipate some significant changes next week, when the simulations shift from using assigned pre-season ratings (based on teams average historic ARPIs) to using teams' then-current ARPIs as the basis for simulating results of games not yet played.

NCAA Seed or Selection	Automatic Qualifier	ARPI Rank for Formation	Team for Formation
1	0	3	FloridaState
1	AQ	1	NorthCarolinaU
1	0	6	VirginiaU
1	AQ	2	WestVirginiaU
2	AQ	4	FloridaU
2	AQ	5	Stanford
2	AQ	9	UCF
2	0	8	SouthCarolinaU
3	AQ	7	PennState
3	0	12	TexasA&M
3	0	10	Rutgers
3	0	11	UCLA
4	0	16	WisconsinU
4	AQ	13	Marquette
4	0	14	NotreDame
4	0	34	OklahomaState
5	AQ	15	MurrayState
5	AQ	17	Northeastern
5	AQ	29	SantaClara
5	AQ	26	LongBeachState
5	AQ	32	Harvard
5	AQ	52	Monmouth
5	AQ	55	BostonU
5	AQ	46	SouthAlabama
5	AQ	49	FloridaGulfCoast
5	AQ	47	LaSalle
5	AQ	54	SanDiegoState
5	AQ	44	Rice
5	AQ	63	WrightState
5	AQ	88	FairleighDickinson
5	AQ	113	Seattle
5	AQ	146	Denver
5	AQ	68	Samford
5	AQ	58	Liberty
5	AQ	66	Buffalo
5	AQ	85	IllinoisState
5	AQ	72	StephenFAustin
5	AQ	115	Albany
5	AQ	125	EasternWashington
6	0	21	Georgetown
6	0	20	VirginiaTech
6	0	31	BYU
6	0	19	OhioState
6	0	18	BostonCollege
6	0	23	CaliforniaU
6	0	37	WakeForest
6	0	24	TexasTech
6	0	30	SouthernCalifornia
6	0	36	Duke
6	0	27	Memphis
6	0	22	ConnecticutU
6	0	25	William&Mary
6	0	39	Clemson
6	0	35	Baylor
6	0	28	Princeton
6	0	43	Pepperdine
6	0	48	WashingtonU
6	0	33	Auburn
6	0	42	WashingtonState
6	0	41	TennesseeU
6	0	60	NebraskaU
6	0	40	Hofstra
7	0	38	SouthFlorida
7	0	57	TexasU
7	0	59	Louisville
7	0	45	KansasU
7	0	53	MinnesotaU
7	0	51	MichiganU
7	0	56	MississippiU
7	0	50	NorthTexas
8	0	65	LSU
8	0	67	CalStateFullerton
8	0	64	JamesMadison
8	0	61	AlabamaU
8	0	62	Providence
8	0	70	MissouriU
8	0	75	StJohns
8	0	81	Dartmouth
8	0	69	KentuckyU
8	0	71	VCU
8	0	79	StLouis
8	0	84	Cincinnati
8	0	87	UtahU
	0	86	PortlandU
	0	73	Dayton
	0	116	SoutheastMissouriState
	0	80	UtahState
	0	103	UNCWilmington
	0	91	ArkansasU
	0	97	GeorgiaU
	0	98	ArizonaU
	0	100	Brown
	0	102	SanDiegoU
	0	120	ArizonaState
	0	90	Syracuse
	0	112	EastCarolina
	0	129	Navy
	0	133	KennesawState
	0	76	ColoradoCollege
	0	83	CentralMichigan
	0	94	IllinoisU
	0	101	Tulsa
	0	110	MichiganState
	0	123	OklahomaU
	0	127	LoyolaMarymount
	0	78	Troy
	0	82	HighPoint
	0	95	TennesseeMartin
	0	118	TCU
	0	119	NCState
	0	121	UCSantaBarbara
	0	124	ColoradoU
	0	139	NorthwesternU
	0	93	WesternKentucky
	0	99	CalStateNorthridge
	0	117	MiamiFL
	0	147	IowaU
	0	77	UNLV
	0	104	UNCGreensboro
	0	105	Charlotte
	0	111	OregonState
	0	140	GeorgeWashington
	0	109	Bucknell
	0	130	Columbia
	0	131	UtahValley
	0	74	UCIrvine
	0	142	NewMexicoU
	0	96	SMU
	0	134	Longwood
	0	138	Vanderbilt
	0	89	MiamiOH
	0	92	WesternMichigan
	0	122	Yale
	0	108	AbileneChristian
	0	126	Furman
	0	141	UALR
	0	107	Siena
	0	114	DePaul
	0	149	UTEP
	0	128	TexasState
	0	135	IdahoU
	0	148	Campbell
	0	150	Marshall
	0	106	Milwaukee
	0	143	OldDominion
	0	144	SamHoustonState
	0	145	Richmond
	0	136	CentralConnecticut
	0	132	MississippiState
	0	137	MissouriState

Other potential seeds:

#1 seeds:  Stanford, Florida, Penn State

#2 seeds:  Penn State, Rutgers, Texas A&M

#3 seeds:  Wisconsin

#4 seeds:  Virginia Tech, Ohio State