Monday, August 28, 2017

2017 NCAA Tournament Bracket Simulation 8.28.2017

Here is my system's bracket simulation, which has incorporated the actual results of games played through Sunday, August 27.  Following the table, I'll list additional potential candidates for seeds and at large selections.

1 = #1 seed
2 = #2 seed
3 = #3 seed
4 = #4 seed
5 = unseeded Automatic Qualifiers
6 = at large selections
7 = teams in the Top 60 but no at large selection

Within each group of teams, the group members are arranged first by the number of factors for which they meet a "yes" you get a positive seed or at large decision from the Committee and second by the number of factors for which they meet a "no" you don't get a positive seed or at large decision.
NCAA Seed or Selection ARPI Rank for Formation Team for Formation
1 2 FloridaU
1 3 FloridaState
1 5 VirginiaU
1 1 NorthCarolinaU
2 6 Stanford
2 4 WestVirginiaU
2 9 UCF
2 7 UCLA
3 8 TexasA&M
3 11 NotreDame
3 10 PennState
3 14 Rutgers
4 12 SouthCarolinaU
4 13 Marquette
4 18 SouthernCalifornia
4 23 Georgetown
5 15 MurrayState
5 20 Northeastern
5 46 LaSalle
5 24 SantaClara
5 40 SouthAlabama
5 33 Harvard
5 31 LongBeachState
5 45 BostonU
5 54 Monmouth
5 47 Rice
5 51 FloridaGulfCoast
5 52 SanDiegoState
5 49 Buffalo
5 56 Liberty
5 64 StephenFAustin
5 78 IllinoisState
5 117 Seattle
5 128 Denver
5 65 Samford
5 68 WrightState
5 93 FairleighDickinson
5 124 Albany
5 149 EasternWashington
6 21 VirginiaTech
6 16 BostonCollege
6 30 Duke
6 19 OhioState
6 22 CaliforniaU
6 36 WakeForest
6 25 WisconsinU
6 26 TexasTech
6 17 ConnecticutU
6 35 OklahomaState
6 27 Memphis
6 39 Clemson
6 41 Pepperdine
6 28 Princeton
6 32 William&Mary
6 37 TennesseeU
6 29 Auburn
6 34 Baylor
6 48 MinnesotaU
6 42 SouthFlorida
6 43 BYU
6 38 WashingtonState
6 44 Hofstra
6 60 Troy
7 58 Providence
7 50 MississippiU
7 53 MissouriU
7 59 TexasU
7 57 KansasU
7 55 NorthTexas
  62 KentuckyU
  81 Syracuse
  67 MichiganU
  92 WesternKentucky
  123 ColoradoU
  73 JamesMadison
  104 MiamiFL
  114 NCState
  91 AlabamaU
  61 PortlandU
  66 WashingtonU
  69 NebraskaU
  70 LSU
  71 VCU
  74 CalStateFullerton
  76 StLouis
  77 Dartmouth
  72 Louisville
  80 UtahU
  85 ColoradoCollege
  75 UNLV
  84 StJohns
  107 UNCWilmington
  90 ArkansasU
  102 SMU
  109 EastCarolina
  110 ArizonaU
  63 Dayton
  96 AbileneChristian
  103 Vanderbilt
  106 SanDiegoU
  108 OregonState
  79 CentralMichigan
  87 UtahState
  94 GeorgiaU
  98 Cincinnati
  101 IllinoisU
  122 SoutheastMissouriState
  134 TCU
  135 Longwood
  137 IowaState
  138 GeorgeWashington
  148 MississippiState
  82 HighPoint
  99 OklahomaU
  121 MichiganState
  125 Columbia
  126 NorthwesternU
  83 UCIrvine
  89 WesternMichigan
  100 Bucknell
  127 ArizonaState
  145 LoyolaMarymount
  111 Charlotte
  113 CalStateNorthridge
  112 UNCGreensboro
  86 Brown
  97 TennesseeMartin
  119 TexasState
  95 Tulsa
  142 MissouriState
  88 MiamiOH
  105 DePaul
  116 Milwaukee
  139 GeorgeMason
  118 Siena
  132 Colgate
  120 Navy
  130 AppalachianState
  133 Yale
  136 UALR
  140 SamHoustonState
  141 Richmond
  143 Campbell
  115 Furman
  146 StJosephs
  147 Marshall
  129 UtahValley
  150 JacksonvilleU
  131 UTEP
  144 CentralConnecticut

Other possibilities:

  • #1 seeds:  Stanford, West Virginia, UCF, Texas A&M, UCLA
  • #2 seeds:  Texas A&M, Penn State, Notre Dame, South Carolina, Rutgers
  • #3 seeds:  South Carolina, Marquette, Virginia Tech, Southern California
  • #4 seeds:  Murray State (!?), Virginia Tech, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Northeastern
  • At large, from outside the Top 60:  Kentucky, Syracuse, Michigan, James Madison, Miami, FL, Alabama, Portland, Washington, Nebraska, LSU, VCU


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