Tuesday, September 10, 2019

2019 SIMULATED RPI RANKS 9.9.2019

This is the first of my publications of simulated end-of-regular season (including conference tournaments) ARPI ranks for the 2019 season.  The simulation is based on pre-season simulated ratings and ranks I assign to teams.  I apply the simulated ratings to all games scheduled for the 2019 season, including simulated conference tournaments, as adjusted for home field advantage, in order to simulate game results.  For games where the location-adjusted rating difference between two opponents is less than or equal to 0.0150, the simulated result is a tie.  In all other cases, the simulated result is a win by the better rated team.

For an explanation of how I assign simulated pre-season ratings to teams, go to the RPI for Division I Women's Soccer website, to the NCAA Tournament: Scheduling Towards the Tournament page.  At the bottom of that page, there is an attached Excel Team Histories and Simulated 2019 Ranks workbook.  If you download that workbook, the first page is a User Guide with a detailed explanation of how I assign the simulated pre-season ratings.  The balance of that workbook contains a lot of detailed information about each Division I team and its rating history as well as other information useful to coaches for future scheduling purposes.

As we go through the season, I substitute actual game results for simulated results.  Thus as the season progresses, the simulated end-of-regular season ratings and ranks come closer and closer to what they actually will be at the end of the season.

Since we now just have completed the third week of the season, the simulated end-of-regular-season ratings and ranks below are based on the first three weeks' actual results and simulated results for the balance of the season.

To gain a sense of how accurate the simulated results are, as we go through the season I run some tests.  One of the tests is quite simple:  for each game, it looks to see whether the higher rated teams (regardless of how much higher) have won, lost, or tied their games.  After the first three weeks of the 2019 season, the higher rated team:

Won 70.4% of the time
Tied 10.3% of the time
Lost 19.2% of the time

I compare this to how well the RPI's end-of-regular-season ratings have correlated with actual game results over the last 12 years.  There, the higher rated team:

Won 72.6% of the time
Tied 10.7% of the time
Lost 16.7% of the time

In other words, the pre-season simulated ratings, so far, have correlated with actual game results about 2% less of the time than we can expect the ultimate RPI ratings will correlate with game results after the season is over.  One might think this is evidence that the RPI has a poor correlation rate, since it can do only a little better than pre-season simulated ratings, but that would not be true.  The best of the end-of-regular-season rating systems I've seen have correlation rates in the same ball park as the RPI.

With that as background, here are the 2019 end-of-regular season results, ratings, and ranks that the simulation currently provides after the third week of the season.  If you have checked teams' assigned pre-season simulated ratings and ranks using the Team Histories and Simulated 2019 Ranks workbook, you may notice that for some teams their simulated end-of-season ranks are quite different than their pre-season simulated ranks.  This is because of how the RPI formula works, as applied to teams' season schedules.

Team Conference Total Wins Total Losses Total Ties RPI Element 1 RPI Element 2 RPI Element 3 Adjusted RPI 2015 BPs NC ARPI Rank 2015 BPs NC
AbileneChristian Southland 13 4 3 0.7250 0.4834 0.4848 0.5442 114
AirForce MountainWest 6 10 2 0.3889 0.4847 0.4831 0.4604 221
Akron MidAmerican 5 14 0 0.2632 0.4447 0.4735 0.4043 288
AlabamaA&M Southwestern 7 7 4 0.5000 0.3672 0.4362 0.4177 271
AlabamaState Southwestern 8 10 2 0.4500 0.4194 0.4140 0.4231 266
AlabamaU SEC 4 10 4 0.3333 0.6457 0.5652 0.5499 102
Albany AmericaEast 12 5 2 0.6842 0.4757 0.4850 0.5302 127
AlcornState Southwestern 0 15 0 0.0000 0.3354 0.3835 0.2538 338
American Patriot 6 10 2 0.3889 0.4068 0.4559 0.4111 280
AppalachianState SunBelt 8 7 4 0.5263 0.4733 0.4853 0.4895 178
ArizonaState PacTwelve 8 8 4 0.5000 0.5837 0.5676 0.5594 90
ArizonaU PacTwelve 9 5 4 0.6111 0.6248 0.5823 0.6136 32
ArkansasPineBluff Southwestern 2 12 1 0.1667 0.3494 0.3953 0.3088 332
ArkansasState SunBelt 10 5 4 0.6316 0.5331 0.4900 0.5469 109
ArkansasU SEC 9 5 5 0.6053 0.6461 0.5746 0.6213 27
Army Patriot 9 8 1 0.5278 0.4537 0.4636 0.4747 196
Auburn SEC 9 5 5 0.6053 0.5850 0.5896 0.5927 49
AustinPeay OhioValley 5 11 2 0.3333 0.4688 0.4820 0.4383 248
BallState MidAmerican 18 3 1 0.8409 0.5055 0.4749 0.5832 54
Baylor BigTwelve 8 4 7 0.6053 0.6120 0.5774 0.6025 38
Belmont OhioValley 7 8 4 0.4737 0.4059 0.4799 0.4391 247
Binghamton AmericaEast 6 10 1 0.3824 0.3976 0.4682 0.4114 279
BoiseState MountainWest 16 2 4 0.8182 0.4698 0.4839 0.5604 88
BostonCollege ACC 10 6 2 0.6111 0.6163 0.5862 0.6144 31
BostonU Patriot 10 5 6 0.6190 0.5667 0.5040 0.5665 80
BowlingGreen MidAmerican 16 4 2 0.7727 0.4880 0.5081 0.5642 83
Brown Ivy 9 6 2 0.5882 0.5640 0.5279 0.5646 82
Bryant Northeast 10 4 3 0.6765 0.3866 0.4343 0.4690 207
Bucknell Patriot 9 8 3 0.5250 0.4960 0.4852 0.5006 161
Buffalo MidAmerican 5 10 4 0.3684 0.5008 0.4737 0.4587 226
Butler BigEast 13 5 2 0.7000 0.5575 0.5312 0.5886 50
BYU WestCoast 16 1 2 0.8947 0.4921 0.5547 0.6161 29
CaliforniaBaptist WAC 11 5 4 0.6500 0.3575 0.4674 0.4557 231
CaliforniaU PacTwelve 11 6 3 0.6250 0.6012 0.5724 0.5999 42
CalPoly BigWest 2 16 1 0.1316 0.4532 0.4960 0.3820 296
CalStateBakersfield WAC 7 11 1 0.3947 0.4231 0.4609 0.4245 265
CalStateFullerton BigWest 9 9 0 0.5000 0.4332 0.5198 0.4716 201
CalStateNorthridge BigWest 7 12 1 0.3750 0.4504 0.5050 0.4452 243
Campbell BigSouth 8 7 3 0.5278 0.4446 0.4560 0.4685 210
Canisius MetroAtlantic 6 10 1 0.3824 0.3740 0.4448 0.3916 292
CentralArkansas Southland 14 5 2 0.7143 0.4993 0.4888 0.5511 99
CentralConnecticut Northeast 16 2 2 0.8500 0.4238 0.4509 0.5371 122
CentralMichigan MidAmerican 8 6 3 0.5588 0.4340 0.4921 0.4802 189
CharlestonSouthern BigSouth 9 9 0 0.5000 0.4082 0.4402 0.4371 249
Charlotte ConferenceUSA 11 4 3 0.6944 0.4687 0.5223 0.5385 120
Chattanooga Southern 7 7 4 0.5000 0.5226 0.4924 0.5094 150
ChicagoState WAC 0 19 0 0.0000 0.4036 0.4431 0.3009 335
Cincinnati American 10 7 3 0.5750 0.5775 0.5407 0.5677 78
Citadel Southern 3 11 1 0.2333 0.4773 0.4599 0.4098 282
Clemson ACC 11 4 3 0.6944 0.5681 0.5913 0.6079 35
ClevelandState Horizon 9 6 4 0.5789 0.4990 0.4626 0.5099 148
CoastalCarolina SunBelt 8 8 2 0.5000 0.4885 0.4738 0.4857 180
Colgate Patriot 10 6 3 0.6053 0.4893 0.4999 0.5203 137
CollegeofCharleston Colonial 7 9 1 0.4412 0.4623 0.5119 0.4694 206
ColoradoCollege MountainWest 10 6 2 0.6111 0.4976 0.4930 0.5248 133
ColoradoState MountainWest 6 10 3 0.3947 0.5037 0.4812 0.4708 202
ColoradoU PacTwelve 13 4 3 0.7250 0.6498 0.5851 0.6588 14
Columbia Ivy 9 3 4 0.6875 0.6211 0.5193 0.6124 33
ConnecticutU American 6 8 4 0.4444 0.5542 0.5282 0.5202 138
Cornell Ivy 5 10 0 0.3333 0.5225 0.4973 0.4689 208
Creighton BigEast 5 13 0 0.2778 0.5212 0.5194 0.4599 223
Dartmouth Ivy 11 3 3 0.7353 0.4701 0.5155 0.5477 107
Davidson AtlanticTen 4 14 1 0.2368 0.4508 0.4856 0.4031 289
Dayton AtlanticTen 6 9 4 0.4211 0.4816 0.5138 0.4725 199
DelawareState Independent 1 16 1 0.0833 0.4060 0.4322 0.3187 331
DelawareU Colonial 5 12 1 0.3056 0.4603 0.5167 0.4357 254
Denver Summit 15 3 2 0.8000 0.5081 0.4969 0.5805 56
DePaul BigEast 9 7 4 0.5500 0.6114 0.5305 0.5797 60
Detroit Horizon 8 6 3 0.5588 0.4585 0.4661 0.4835 186
Drake MissouriValley 11 6 2 0.6316 0.5629 0.4908 0.5622 85
Drexel Colonial 10 6 4 0.6000 0.5108 0.5291 0.5392 119
Duke ACC 13 3 3 0.7632 0.6981 0.6059 0.6944 7
Duquesne AtlanticTen 7 6 4 0.5294 0.4862 0.5153 0.5043 156
EastCarolina American 4 9 5 0.3611 0.5671 0.5189 0.5044 155
EasternIllinois OhioValley 4 11 1 0.2813 0.4733 0.4506 0.4170 272
EasternKentucky OhioValley 10 8 2 0.5500 0.5031 0.4708 0.5082 152
EasternMichigan MidAmerican 5 12 2 0.3158 0.4541 0.4879 0.4280 260
EasternWashington BigSky 11 4 5 0.6750 0.4228 0.4551 0.4939 170
EastTennesseeState Southern 8 6 5 0.5526 0.4428 0.4579 0.4707 203
Elon Colonial 7 8 3 0.4722 0.4690 0.4962 0.4766 193
Evansville MissouriValley 0 11 5 0.1563 0.5070 0.4849 0.4138 275
Fairfield MetroAtlantic 5 11 2 0.3333 0.4648 0.4554 0.4303 259
FairleighDickinson Northeast 8 7 5 0.5250 0.4747 0.4593 0.4832 187
FIU ConferenceUSA 1 16 0 0.0588 0.4963 0.4811 0.3774 299
FloridaAtlantic ConferenceUSA 10 5 5 0.6250 0.5203 0.5257 0.5481 106
FloridaGulfCoast AtlanticSun 13 3 2 0.7778 0.4723 0.5045 0.5597 89
FloridaState ACC 16 4 1 0.7857 0.6849 0.6053 0.7005 3
FloridaU SEC 10 7 2 0.5789 0.6854 0.5854 0.6364 24
Fordham AtlanticTen 6 11 2 0.3684 0.5427 0.5141 0.4920 176
FresnoState MountainWest 5 9 4 0.3889 0.4640 0.4889 0.4493 240
Furman Southern 13 6 1 0.6750 0.5146 0.4981 0.5506 101
GardnerWebb BigSouth 11 7 4 0.5909 0.4778 0.4422 0.4937 171
GeorgeMason AtlanticTen 13 4 3 0.7250 0.5217 0.5096 0.5697 73
Georgetown BigEast 17 2 1 0.8750 0.5931 0.5542 0.6596 13
GeorgeWashington AtlanticTen 10 6 3 0.6053 0.4343 0.4946 0.4921 175
GeorgiaSouthern SunBelt 4 13 1 0.2500 0.4143 0.4864 0.3883 294
GeorgiaState SunBelt 6 11 2 0.3684 0.5202 0.4842 0.4732 198
GeorgiaU SEC 6 12 1 0.3421 0.5455 0.5587 0.4979 163
Gonzaga WestCoast 10 7 2 0.5789 0.4810 0.5259 0.5167 143
Grambling Southwestern 15 7 0 0.6818 0.4397 0.4346 0.4989 162
GrandCanyon WAC 4 14 1 0.2368 0.4684 0.4639 0.4094 283
GreenBay Horizon 7 9 1 0.4412 0.3895 0.4450 0.4148 273
Hampton BigSouth 1 16 0 0.0588 0.4270 0.4364 0.3316 327
Hartford AmericaEast 8 6 4 0.5556 0.4619 0.4719 0.4851 183
Harvard Ivy 8 6 2 0.5625 0.5533 0.5327 0.5520 96
HawaiiU BigWest 4 10 3 0.3235 0.5338 0.4892 0.4688 209
HighPoint BigSouth 9 5 5 0.6053 0.4985 0.4787 0.5217 135
Hofstra Colonial 15 3 2 0.8000 0.5931 0.5421 0.6390 23
HolyCross Patriot 4 9 3 0.3438 0.4455 0.4492 0.4203 269
Houston American 4 12 3 0.2895 0.4676 0.5077 0.4331 256
HoustonBaptist Southland 9 7 3 0.5526 0.4761 0.4647 0.4924 174
Howard Southwestern 12 5 1 0.6944 0.3839 0.4033 0.4644 215
IdahoState BigSky 0 18 0 0.0000 0.4036 0.4496 0.3081 333
IdahoU BigSky 10 7 3 0.5750 0.4655 0.4555 0.4904 177
IllinoisChicago Horizon 4 11 2 0.2941 0.4187 0.4648 0.3950 291
IllinoisState MissouriValley 11 6 3 0.6250 0.4439 0.4957 0.5021 159
IllinoisU BigTen 6 9 3 0.4167 0.5531 0.5494 0.5196 139
IncarnateWord Southland 2 15 1 0.1389 0.4606 0.4442 0.3716 305
IndianaState MissouriValley 3 13 1 0.2059 0.5343 0.4587 0.4313 258
IndianaU BigTen 5 8 5 0.4167 0.5402 0.5493 0.5116 146
Iona MetroAtlantic 3 16 1 0.1750 0.4277 0.4307 0.3622 315
IowaState BigTwelve 3 14 1 0.1944 0.5905 0.5652 0.4852 182
IowaU BigTen 9 7 3 0.5526 0.5398 0.5534 0.5510 100
IPFW Summit 2 13 3 0.1944 0.3348 0.4559 0.3193 330
IUPUI Horizon 6 7 7 0.4750 0.4480 0.4667 0.4576 229
JacksonState Southwestern 2 14 3 0.1842 0.4290 0.4256 0.3650 312
JacksonvilleState OhioValley 3 14 1 0.1944 0.4233 0.4613 0.3756 302
JacksonvilleU AtlanticSun 0 15 0 0.0000 0.4639 0.4661 0.3463 324
JamesMadison Colonial 7 10 4 0.4286 0.5959 0.5412 0.5404 117
KansasState BigTwelve 2 13 3 0.1944 0.5524 0.5429 0.4606 220
KansasU BigTwelve 9 7 4 0.5500 0.6241 0.5711 0.5989 44
KennesawState AtlanticSun 11 7 1 0.6053 0.4861 0.4697 0.5118 145
KentState MidAmerican 11 7 2 0.6000 0.5097 0.4963 0.5289 128
KentuckyU SEC 5 11 3 0.3421 0.5554 0.5542 0.5053 154
Lafayette Patriot 3 11 3 0.2647 0.4040 0.4643 0.3821 295
Lamar Southland 11 7 3 0.5952 0.4446 0.4858 0.4926 173
LaSalle AtlanticTen 6 7 5 0.4722 0.5735 0.4903 0.5270 130
Lehigh Patriot 5 10 4 0.3684 0.5019 0.4796 0.4632 217
Liberty AtlanticSun 5 10 4 0.3684 0.4765 0.4931 0.4538 233
Lipscomb AtlanticSun 14 4 2 0.7500 0.4760 0.4785 0.5451 113
LongBeachState BigWest 10 4 6 0.6500 0.5582 0.5265 0.5745 68
LongIsland Northeast 1 15 2 0.1111 0.3901 0.4398 0.3287 328
Longwood BigSouth 11 5 2 0.6667 0.5097 0.4433 0.5323 125
LouisianaLafayette SunBelt 4 11 2 0.2941 0.3763 0.4694 0.3773 300
LouisianaMonroe SunBelt 3 14 1 0.1944 0.5018 0.4650 0.4142 274
LouisianaTech ConferenceUSA 14 0 5 0.8684 0.4407 0.4971 0.5617 86
Louisville ACC 9 5 3 0.6176 0.5867 0.5697 0.5944 48
LoyolaChicago MissouriValley 14 3 2 0.7895 0.4892 0.5266 0.5767 66
LoyolaMarymount WestCoast 3 11 5 0.2895 0.5856 0.5249 0.4964 167
LoyolaMD Patriot 2 11 4 0.2353 0.4672 0.4701 0.4092 284
LSU SEC 5 9 4 0.3889 0.6050 0.5845 0.5466 110
MaineU AmericaEast 5 9 0 0.3571 0.4994 0.4544 0.4526 235
Manhattan MetroAtlantic 6 8 4 0.4444 0.4454 0.4510 0.4450 244
Marist MetroAtlantic 13 6 1 0.6750 0.4490 0.4619 0.5087 151
Marquette BigEast 7 9 3 0.4474 0.5023 0.5359 0.4970 165
Marshall ConferenceUSA 3 12 3 0.2500 0.5591 0.4988 0.4668 213
MarylandU BigTen 4 13 2 0.2632 0.5166 0.5383 0.4602 222
MassachusettsU AtlanticTen 7 9 2 0.4444 0.5228 0.5173 0.5038 157
McNeeseState Southland 10 5 5 0.6250 0.4511 0.4630 0.4976 164
Memphis American 17 1 2 0.9000 0.5602 0.5506 0.6505 16
Mercer Southern 11 7 2 0.6000 0.4583 0.4900 0.5014 160
Merrimack Northeast 8 8 2 0.5000 0.4235 0.4407 0.4469 242
MiamiFL ACC 5 10 1 0.3438 0.5895 0.5703 0.5232 134
MiamiOH MidAmerican 1 17 0 0.0556 0.4578 0.4883 0.3649 313
MichiganState BigTen 7 8 4 0.4737 0.5246 0.5444 0.5168 142
MichiganU BigTen 5 9 4 0.3889 0.5633 0.5566 0.5181 140
MiddleTennessee ConferenceUSA 6 11 1 0.3611 0.5172 0.5116 0.4768 192
Milwaukee Horizon 18 1 0 0.9474 0.4738 0.4940 0.6007 40
MinnesotaU BigTen 7 10 3 0.4250 0.6008 0.5615 0.5481 105
MississippiState SEC 8 5 6 0.5789 0.6269 0.5576 0.6000 41
MississippiU SEC 10 7 3 0.5750 0.6184 0.5785 0.6015 39
MississippiValley Southwestern 4 10 3 0.3235 0.3587 0.3942 0.3537 321
MissouriState MissouriValley 6 6 5 0.5000 0.5272 0.4887 0.5115 147
MissouriU SEC 10 8 1 0.5526 0.6260 0.5677 0.5981 46
Monmouth MetroAtlantic 13 4 1 0.7500 0.5413 0.4786 0.5778 65
MontanaU BigSky 6 8 6 0.4500 0.4776 0.4533 0.4644 214
Morehead OhioValley 3 14 1 0.1944 0.4062 0.4721 0.3671 309
MountStMary Northeast 3 13 1 0.2059 0.4386 0.4238 0.3726 304
MurrayState OhioValley 14 4 2 0.7500 0.5323 0.4986 0.5803 57
Navy Patriot 16 2 3 0.8333 0.4367 0.4763 0.5458 112
NCState ACC 13 5 1 0.7105 0.6346 0.5908 0.6472 17
NebraskaU BigTen 5 9 5 0.3947 0.6006 0.5766 0.5460 111
NevadaU MountainWest 1 16 1 0.0833 0.4824 0.4795 0.3775 298
NewHampshireU AmericaEast 9 6 3 0.5833 0.5079 0.4738 0.5162 144
NewMexicoState WAC 2 14 2 0.1667 0.5168 0.4475 0.4119 278
NewMexicoU MountainWest 10 3 7 0.6750 0.4978 0.5105 0.5475 108
Niagara MetroAtlantic 8 7 2 0.5294 0.4386 0.4559 0.4641 216
NichollsState Southland 4 12 1 0.2647 0.3398 0.4249 0.3388 325
NJIT AtlanticSun 8 7 3 0.5278 0.4011 0.4673 0.4480 241
NorthAlabama AtlanticSun 7 8 3 0.4722 0.4364 0.4617 0.4502 238
NorthCarolinaU ACC 20 0 1 0.9762 0.6303 0.6196 0.7167 2
NorthDakotaState Summit 9 6 4 0.5789 0.4330 0.4656 0.4776 191
NorthDakotaU Summit 9 7 2 0.5556 0.4013 0.4537 0.4512 237
Northeastern Colonial 9 5 6 0.6000 0.5771 0.5306 0.5714 70
NorthernArizona BigSky 8 6 5 0.5526 0.4037 0.4641 0.4531 234
NorthernColorado BigSky 11 7 4 0.5909 0.4558 0.4716 0.4928 172
NorthernIllinois MidAmerican 2 15 1 0.1389 0.4978 0.4681 0.3993 290
NorthernKentucky Horizon 12 6 0 0.6667 0.5858 0.4769 0.5803 58
NorthFlorida AtlanticSun 6 10 2 0.3889 0.4249 0.4618 0.4251 264
NorthTexas ConferenceUSA 18 2 1 0.8810 0.5166 0.5290 0.6108 34
NorthwesternState Southland 6 14 0 0.3000 0.4879 0.4624 0.4331 257
NorthwesternU BigTen 9 7 3 0.5526 0.5712 0.5746 0.5709 71
NotreDame ACC 11 7 1 0.6053 0.5975 0.5816 0.5992 43
Oakland Horizon 5 8 3 0.4063 0.4738 0.4783 0.4579 228
OhioState BigTen 10 7 3 0.5750 0.5673 0.5648 0.5693 74
OhioU MidAmerican 13 6 1 0.6750 0.4645 0.5014 0.5283 129
OklahomaState BigTwelve 10 6 3 0.6053 0.6053 0.5634 0.5985 45
OklahomaU BigTwelve 9 9 2 0.5000 0.5520 0.5873 0.5519 97
OldDominion ConferenceUSA 10 2 6 0.7222 0.5292 0.5220 0.5791 62
OralRoberts Summit 5 14 0 0.2632 0.5081 0.4682 0.4369 251
OregonState PacTwelve 5 14 0 0.2632 0.5715 0.5524 0.4881 179
OregonU PacTwelve 6 10 3 0.3947 0.5922 0.5750 0.5398 118
Pacific WestCoast 2 16 1 0.1316 0.4344 0.4703 0.3596 317
PennState BigTen 17 1 4 0.8636 0.6302 0.5917 0.6869 8
PennsylvaniaU Ivy 11 1 4 0.8125 0.5035 0.5223 0.5856 51
Pepperdine WestCoast 9 8 2 0.5263 0.5866 0.5389 0.5583 91
Pittsburgh ACC 3 13 2 0.2222 0.5521 0.5662 0.4739 197
PortlandState BigSky 2 14 2 0.1667 0.4115 0.4602 0.3601 316
PortlandU WestCoast 6 6 5 0.5000 0.5852 0.5398 0.5547 95
PrairieViewA&M Southwestern 5 11 2 0.3333 0.3508 0.4069 0.3536 322
Presbyterian BigSouth 2 11 4 0.2353 0.3912 0.4428 0.3581 318
Princeton Ivy 12 2 2 0.8125 0.5953 0.5476 0.6406 21
Providence BigEast 11 6 3 0.6250 0.5570 0.5443 0.5723 69
Purdue BigTen 10 7 2 0.5789 0.5571 0.5698 0.5677 77
Quinnipiac MetroAtlantic 11 4 4 0.6842 0.4828 0.4545 0.5261 131
Radford BigSouth 14 1 6 0.8095 0.4433 0.4571 0.5383 121
RhodeIslandU AtlanticTen 4 12 2 0.2778 0.4624 0.4766 0.4178 270
Rice ConferenceUSA 13 5 2 0.7000 0.5060 0.5211 0.5583 92
Richmond AtlanticTen 5 12 1 0.3056 0.4508 0.4916 0.4262 262
Rider MetroAtlantic 8 6 4 0.5556 0.4162 0.4474 0.4588 225
RobertMorris Northeast 2 12 4 0.2222 0.4095 0.4200 0.3625 314
Rutgers BigTen 18 1 2 0.9048 0.6115 0.5670 0.6809 9
SacramentoState BigSky 5 10 3 0.3611 0.3610 0.4475 0.3812 297
SacredHeart Northeast 8 9 1 0.4722 0.3944 0.4343 0.4221 267
Samford Southern 13 5 3 0.6905 0.5294 0.5202 0.5674 79
SamHoustonState Southland 3 14 1 0.1944 0.4031 0.4492 0.3564 320
SanDiegoState MountainWest 10 4 7 0.6429 0.5454 0.5146 0.5623 84
SanDiegoU WestCoast 8 10 0 0.4444 0.4750 0.5177 0.4780 190
SanFrancisco WestCoast 12 4 4 0.7000 0.5548 0.5296 0.5855 52
SanJoseState MountainWest 11 3 7 0.6905 0.5387 0.5129 0.5689 76
SantaClara WestCoast 16 4 0 0.8000 0.5956 0.5646 0.6460 18
Seattle WAC 13 6 2 0.6667 0.5023 0.4920 0.5408 116
SELouisiana Southland 5 12 2 0.3158 0.5170 0.4756 0.4556 232
SetonHall BigEast 1 15 0 0.0625 0.4623 0.4993 0.3675 308
Siena MetroAtlantic 8 8 5 0.5000 0.4677 0.4693 0.4762 195
SIUCarbondale Independent 1 13 1 0.1000 0.4819 0.4372 0.3683 307
SIUEdwardsville OhioValley 5 9 4 0.3889 0.3834 0.4809 0.4092 285
SMU American 10 6 3 0.6053 0.5597 0.5397 0.5703 72
SouthAlabama SunBelt 17 3 1 0.8333 0.4940 0.5041 0.5814 55
SouthCarolinaState Independent 1 10 0 0.0909 0.2971 0.4101 0.2638 337
SouthCarolinaU SEC 16 0 4 0.9000 0.5962 0.5939 0.6802 10
SouthDakotaState Summit 10 6 5 0.5952 0.4021 0.4818 0.4703 204
SouthDakotaU Summit 6 12 1 0.3421 0.4782 0.4551 0.4369 250
SoutheastMissouriState OhioValley 10 7 1 0.5833 0.4718 0.4966 0.5059 153
SouthernCalifornia PacTwelve 17 1 1 0.9211 0.6228 0.5960 0.6994 4
SouthernMississippi ConferenceUSA 11 6 4 0.6190 0.5503 0.4994 0.5548 94
SouthernU Southwestern 1 15 0 0.0625 0.3440 0.3976 0.2802 336
SouthernUtah BigSky 1 16 1 0.0833 0.4944 0.4392 0.3771 301
SouthFlorida American 10 2 5 0.7353 0.5768 0.5581 0.6149 30
Stanford PacTwelve 18 0 1 0.9737 0.6957 0.5928 0.7521 1
StBonaventure AtlanticTen 3 14 1 0.1944 0.3950 0.4651 0.3572 319
StephenFAustin Southland 8 10 0 0.4444 0.4305 0.4609 0.4396 245
Stetson AtlanticSun 3 11 1 0.2333 0.4733 0.4672 0.4098 281
StFrancis Northeast 8 6 5 0.5526 0.4364 0.4324 0.4610 219
StFrancisBrooklyn Northeast 0 15 2 0.0588 0.3922 0.4198 0.3080 334
StJohns BigEast 6 9 3 0.4167 0.4869 0.5454 0.4840 184
StJosephs AtlanticTen 14 4 2 0.7500 0.5201 0.5106 0.5780 64
StLouis AtlanticTen 18 3 1 0.8409 0.5286 0.5233 0.6068 36
StMarys WestCoast 6 12 1 0.3421 0.4446 0.4726 0.4260 263
StonyBrook AmericaEast 15 4 1 0.7750 0.5165 0.5028 0.5792 61
StPeters MetroAtlantic 2 15 0 0.1176 0.4038 0.4402 0.3378 326
Syracuse ACC 2 13 2 0.1765 0.5659 0.5714 0.4699 205
TCU BigTwelve 13 5 2 0.7000 0.5771 0.5941 0.6184 28
Temple American 5 11 3 0.3421 0.4487 0.5057 0.4348 255
TennesseeMartin OhioValley 13 3 4 0.7500 0.4929 0.4927 0.5571 93
TennesseeTech OhioValley 8 7 5 0.5250 0.4905 0.4710 0.4946 169
TennesseeU SEC 14 2 5 0.7857 0.6143 0.5801 0.6527 15
TexasA&M SEC 14 0 7 0.8333 0.6230 0.5742 0.6688 12
TexasCorpusChristi Southland 5 12 1 0.3056 0.4736 0.4561 0.4272 261
TexasRGV WAC 13 5 1 0.7105 0.4254 0.4771 0.5096 149
TexasSouthern Southwestern 6 11 3 0.3750 0.4199 0.4245 0.4083 286
TexasState SunBelt 12 4 4 0.7000 0.4535 0.4754 0.5204 136
TexasTech BigTwelve 14 3 3 0.7750 0.6033 0.5717 0.6418 20
TexasU BigTwelve 15 4 2 0.7619 0.6132 0.5739 0.6436 19
Toledo MidAmerican 8 11 1 0.4250 0.4749 0.4678 0.4587 227
Towson Colonial 4 13 1 0.2500 0.5035 0.5009 0.4395 246
Troy SunBelt 8 8 3 0.5000 0.4080 0.4843 0.4501 239
Tulsa American 5 9 4 0.3889 0.5144 0.5111 0.4837 185
UAB ConferenceUSA 5 7 6 0.4444 0.6124 0.4943 0.5416 115
UALR SunBelt 13 6 3 0.6591 0.5626 0.4811 0.5663 81
UCDavis BigWest 8 9 1 0.4722 0.3971 0.4858 0.4361 253
UCF American 8 2 9 0.6579 0.5530 0.5540 0.5837 53
UCIrvine BigWest 7 9 5 0.4524 0.5568 0.5327 0.5249 132
UCLA PacTwelve 17 2 0 0.8947 0.6203 0.6109 0.6951 6
UCRiverside BigWest 8 10 1 0.4474 0.5232 0.4980 0.4966 166
UCSantaBarbara BigWest 10 3 5 0.6944 0.4965 0.5191 0.5518 98
UMassLowell AmericaEast 4 10 3 0.3235 0.5105 0.5055 0.4625 218
UMBC AmericaEast 1 14 2 0.1176 0.4409 0.4675 0.3652 311
UMKC WAC 19 0 2 0.9524 0.4320 0.4846 0.5753 67
UNCAsheville BigSouth 2 13 2 0.1765 0.4366 0.4548 0.3734 303
UNCGreensboro Southern 14 4 3 0.7381 0.5240 0.4962 0.5691 75
UNCWilmington Colonial 9 4 4 0.6471 0.5075 0.5333 0.5489 103
UNI MissouriValley 6 6 5 0.5000 0.4715 0.4791 0.4806 188
UNLV MountainWest 10 8 2 0.5500 0.5437 0.5015 0.5347 123
UNOmaha Summit 6 9 3 0.4167 0.4828 0.4904 0.4682 211
USCUpstate BigSouth 4 7 5 0.4063 0.4028 0.4480 0.4128 276
UtahState MountainWest 5 12 2 0.3158 0.4741 0.4810 0.4363 252
UtahU PacTwelve 10 7 3 0.5750 0.5804 0.5703 0.5780 63
UtahValley WAC 7 11 3 0.4048 0.5346 0.4682 0.4855 181
UTEP ConferenceUSA 6 8 4 0.4444 0.4610 0.5035 0.4675 212
UTSA ConferenceUSA 4 13 0 0.2353 0.5489 0.4957 0.4572 230
Valparaiso MissouriValley 2 12 3 0.2059 0.4196 0.4594 0.3704 306
Vanderbilt SEC 15 1 4 0.8500 0.5567 0.5876 0.6398 22
VCU AtlanticTen 15 3 2 0.8000 0.5371 0.5072 0.5961 47
VermontU AmericaEast 5 10 2 0.3529 0.4962 0.4625 0.4518 236
Villanova BigEast 6 8 4 0.4444 0.5082 0.5478 0.5024 158
VirginiaTech ACC 12 7 0 0.6316 0.5906 0.5880 0.6034 37
VirginiaU ACC 15 1 4 0.8500 0.6071 0.6073 0.6736 11
VMI Southern 6 13 1 0.3250 0.4336 0.4749 0.4125 277
Wagner Northeast 3 13 2 0.2222 0.3464 0.4243 0.3278 329
WakeForest ACC 7 9 2 0.4444 0.6435 0.5762 0.5802 59
WashingtonState PacTwelve 14 3 2 0.7895 0.5701 0.5855 0.6288 26
WashingtonU PacTwelve 5 11 3 0.3421 0.6570 0.5831 0.5615 87
WeberState BigSky 5 10 3 0.3611 0.4255 0.4719 0.4210 268
WesternCarolina Southern 10 6 4 0.6000 0.5235 0.4778 0.5310 126
WesternIllinois Summit 3 13 2 0.2222 0.4734 0.4571 0.4045 287
WesternKentucky ConferenceUSA 5 9 3 0.3824 0.5078 0.5068 0.4762 194
WesternMichigan MidAmerican 8 8 4 0.5000 0.5307 0.4992 0.5171 141
WestVirginiaU BigTwelve 17 3 1 0.8333 0.6847 0.5744 0.6967 5
William&Mary Colonial 4 11 3 0.3056 0.5765 0.5257 0.4960 168
Winthrop BigSouth 3 11 2 0.2500 0.3947 0.4401 0.3659 310
WisconsinU BigTen 12 4 4 0.7000 0.6228 0.5645 0.6317 25
Wofford Southern 3 15 0 0.1667 0.4705 0.4522 0.3884 293
WrightState Horizon 7 6 3 0.5313 0.4489 0.4637 0.4723 200
WyomingU MountainWest 10 1 9 0.7250 0.4559 0.4950 0.5327 124
Xavier BigEast 9 5 6 0.6000 0.5273 0.5268 0.5488 104
Yale Ivy 5 12 0 0.2941 0.5164 0.5102 0.4593 224
YoungstownState Horizon 2 16 0 0.1111 0.4264 0.4651 0.3506 323

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