2019 SIMULATED RPI RANKS 9.9.2019

This is the first of my publications of simulated end-of-regular season (including conference tournaments) ARPI ranks for the 2019 season.  The simulation is based on pre-season simulated ratings and ranks I assign to teams.  I apply the simulated ratings to all games scheduled for the 2019 season, including simulated conference tournaments, as adjusted for home field advantage, in order to simulate game results.  For games where the location-adjusted rating difference between two opponents is less than or equal to 0.0150, the simulated result is a tie.  In all other cases, the simulated result is a win by the better rated team.

For an explanation of how I assign simulated pre-season ratings to teams, go to the RPI for Division I Women's Soccer website, to the NCAA Tournament: Scheduling Towards the Tournament page.  At the bottom of that page, there is an attached Excel Team Histories and Simulated 2019 Ranks workbook.  If you download that workbook, the first page is a User Guide with a detailed explanation of how I assign the simulated pre-season ratings.  The balance of that workbook contains a lot of detailed information about each Division I team and its rating history as well as other information useful to coaches for future scheduling purposes.

As we go through the season, I substitute actual game results for simulated results.  Thus as the season progresses, the simulated end-of-regular season ratings and ranks come closer and closer to what they actually will be at the end of the season.

Since we now just have completed the third week of the season, the simulated end-of-regular-season ratings and ranks below are based on the first three weeks' actual results and simulated results for the balance of the season.

To gain a sense of how accurate the simulated results are, as we go through the season I run some tests.  One of the tests is quite simple:  for each game, it looks to see whether the higher rated teams (regardless of how much higher) have won, lost, or tied their games.  After the first three weeks of the 2019 season, the higher rated team:

Won 70.4% of the time
Tied 10.3% of the time
Lost 19.2% of the time

I compare this to how well the RPI's end-of-regular-season ratings have correlated with actual game results over the last 12 years.  There, the higher rated team:

Won 72.6% of the time
Tied 10.7% of the time
Lost 16.7% of the time

In other words, the pre-season simulated ratings, so far, have correlated with actual game results about 2% less of the time than we can expect the ultimate RPI ratings will correlate with game results after the season is over.  One might think this is evidence that the RPI has a poor correlation rate, since it can do only a little better than pre-season simulated ratings, but that would not be true.  The best of the end-of-regular-season rating systems I've seen have correlation rates in the same ball park as the RPI.

With that as background, here are the 2019 end-of-regular season results, ratings, and ranks that the simulation currently provides after the third week of the season.  If you have checked teams' assigned pre-season simulated ratings and ranks using the Team Histories and Simulated 2019 Ranks workbook, you may notice that for some teams their simulated end-of-season ranks are quite different than their pre-season simulated ranks.  This is because of how the RPI formula works, as applied to teams' season schedules.

Team	Conference	Total Wins	Total Losses	Total Ties	RPI Element 1	RPI Element 2	RPI Element 3	Adjusted RPI 2015 BPs NC	ARPI Rank 2015 BPs NC
AbileneChristian	Southland	13	4	3	0.7250	0.4834	0.4848	0.5442	114
AirForce	MountainWest	6	10	2	0.3889	0.4847	0.4831	0.4604	221
Akron	MidAmerican	5	14	0	0.2632	0.4447	0.4735	0.4043	288
AlabamaA&M	Southwestern	7	7	4	0.5000	0.3672	0.4362	0.4177	271
AlabamaState	Southwestern	8	10	2	0.4500	0.4194	0.4140	0.4231	266
AlabamaU	SEC	4	10	4	0.3333	0.6457	0.5652	0.5499	102
Albany	AmericaEast	12	5	2	0.6842	0.4757	0.4850	0.5302	127
AlcornState	Southwestern	0	15	0	0.0000	0.3354	0.3835	0.2538	338
American	Patriot	6	10	2	0.3889	0.4068	0.4559	0.4111	280
AppalachianState	SunBelt	8	7	4	0.5263	0.4733	0.4853	0.4895	178
ArizonaState	PacTwelve	8	8	4	0.5000	0.5837	0.5676	0.5594	90
ArizonaU	PacTwelve	9	5	4	0.6111	0.6248	0.5823	0.6136	32
ArkansasPineBluff	Southwestern	2	12	1	0.1667	0.3494	0.3953	0.3088	332
ArkansasState	SunBelt	10	5	4	0.6316	0.5331	0.4900	0.5469	109
ArkansasU	SEC	9	5	5	0.6053	0.6461	0.5746	0.6213	27
Army	Patriot	9	8	1	0.5278	0.4537	0.4636	0.4747	196
Auburn	SEC	9	5	5	0.6053	0.5850	0.5896	0.5927	49
AustinPeay	OhioValley	5	11	2	0.3333	0.4688	0.4820	0.4383	248
BallState	MidAmerican	18	3	1	0.8409	0.5055	0.4749	0.5832	54
Baylor	BigTwelve	8	4	7	0.6053	0.6120	0.5774	0.6025	38
Belmont	OhioValley	7	8	4	0.4737	0.4059	0.4799	0.4391	247
Binghamton	AmericaEast	6	10	1	0.3824	0.3976	0.4682	0.4114	279
BoiseState	MountainWest	16	2	4	0.8182	0.4698	0.4839	0.5604	88
BostonCollege	ACC	10	6	2	0.6111	0.6163	0.5862	0.6144	31
BostonU	Patriot	10	5	6	0.6190	0.5667	0.5040	0.5665	80
BowlingGreen	MidAmerican	16	4	2	0.7727	0.4880	0.5081	0.5642	83
Brown	Ivy	9	6	2	0.5882	0.5640	0.5279	0.5646	82
Bryant	Northeast	10	4	3	0.6765	0.3866	0.4343	0.4690	207
Bucknell	Patriot	9	8	3	0.5250	0.4960	0.4852	0.5006	161
Buffalo	MidAmerican	5	10	4	0.3684	0.5008	0.4737	0.4587	226
Butler	BigEast	13	5	2	0.7000	0.5575	0.5312	0.5886	50
BYU	WestCoast	16	1	2	0.8947	0.4921	0.5547	0.6161	29
CaliforniaBaptist	WAC	11	5	4	0.6500	0.3575	0.4674	0.4557	231
CaliforniaU	PacTwelve	11	6	3	0.6250	0.6012	0.5724	0.5999	42
CalPoly	BigWest	2	16	1	0.1316	0.4532	0.4960	0.3820	296
CalStateBakersfield	WAC	7	11	1	0.3947	0.4231	0.4609	0.4245	265
CalStateFullerton	BigWest	9	9	0	0.5000	0.4332	0.5198	0.4716	201
CalStateNorthridge	BigWest	7	12	1	0.3750	0.4504	0.5050	0.4452	243
Campbell	BigSouth	8	7	3	0.5278	0.4446	0.4560	0.4685	210
Canisius	MetroAtlantic	6	10	1	0.3824	0.3740	0.4448	0.3916	292
CentralArkansas	Southland	14	5	2	0.7143	0.4993	0.4888	0.5511	99
CentralConnecticut	Northeast	16	2	2	0.8500	0.4238	0.4509	0.5371	122
CentralMichigan	MidAmerican	8	6	3	0.5588	0.4340	0.4921	0.4802	189
CharlestonSouthern	BigSouth	9	9	0	0.5000	0.4082	0.4402	0.4371	249
Charlotte	ConferenceUSA	11	4	3	0.6944	0.4687	0.5223	0.5385	120
Chattanooga	Southern	7	7	4	0.5000	0.5226	0.4924	0.5094	150
ChicagoState	WAC	0	19	0	0.0000	0.4036	0.4431	0.3009	335
Cincinnati	American	10	7	3	0.5750	0.5775	0.5407	0.5677	78
Citadel	Southern	3	11	1	0.2333	0.4773	0.4599	0.4098	282
Clemson	ACC	11	4	3	0.6944	0.5681	0.5913	0.6079	35
ClevelandState	Horizon	9	6	4	0.5789	0.4990	0.4626	0.5099	148
CoastalCarolina	SunBelt	8	8	2	0.5000	0.4885	0.4738	0.4857	180
Colgate	Patriot	10	6	3	0.6053	0.4893	0.4999	0.5203	137
CollegeofCharleston	Colonial	7	9	1	0.4412	0.4623	0.5119	0.4694	206
ColoradoCollege	MountainWest	10	6	2	0.6111	0.4976	0.4930	0.5248	133
ColoradoState	MountainWest	6	10	3	0.3947	0.5037	0.4812	0.4708	202
ColoradoU	PacTwelve	13	4	3	0.7250	0.6498	0.5851	0.6588	14
Columbia	Ivy	9	3	4	0.6875	0.6211	0.5193	0.6124	33
ConnecticutU	American	6	8	4	0.4444	0.5542	0.5282	0.5202	138
Cornell	Ivy	5	10	0	0.3333	0.5225	0.4973	0.4689	208
Creighton	BigEast	5	13	0	0.2778	0.5212	0.5194	0.4599	223
Dartmouth	Ivy	11	3	3	0.7353	0.4701	0.5155	0.5477	107
Davidson	AtlanticTen	4	14	1	0.2368	0.4508	0.4856	0.4031	289
Dayton	AtlanticTen	6	9	4	0.4211	0.4816	0.5138	0.4725	199
DelawareState	Independent	1	16	1	0.0833	0.4060	0.4322	0.3187	331
DelawareU	Colonial	5	12	1	0.3056	0.4603	0.5167	0.4357	254
Denver	Summit	15	3	2	0.8000	0.5081	0.4969	0.5805	56
DePaul	BigEast	9	7	4	0.5500	0.6114	0.5305	0.5797	60
Detroit	Horizon	8	6	3	0.5588	0.4585	0.4661	0.4835	186
Drake	MissouriValley	11	6	2	0.6316	0.5629	0.4908	0.5622	85
Drexel	Colonial	10	6	4	0.6000	0.5108	0.5291	0.5392	119
Duke	ACC	13	3	3	0.7632	0.6981	0.6059	0.6944	7
Duquesne	AtlanticTen	7	6	4	0.5294	0.4862	0.5153	0.5043	156
EastCarolina	American	4	9	5	0.3611	0.5671	0.5189	0.5044	155
EasternIllinois	OhioValley	4	11	1	0.2813	0.4733	0.4506	0.4170	272
EasternKentucky	OhioValley	10	8	2	0.5500	0.5031	0.4708	0.5082	152
EasternMichigan	MidAmerican	5	12	2	0.3158	0.4541	0.4879	0.4280	260
EasternWashington	BigSky	11	4	5	0.6750	0.4228	0.4551	0.4939	170
EastTennesseeState	Southern	8	6	5	0.5526	0.4428	0.4579	0.4707	203
Elon	Colonial	7	8	3	0.4722	0.4690	0.4962	0.4766	193
Evansville	MissouriValley	0	11	5	0.1563	0.5070	0.4849	0.4138	275
Fairfield	MetroAtlantic	5	11	2	0.3333	0.4648	0.4554	0.4303	259
FairleighDickinson	Northeast	8	7	5	0.5250	0.4747	0.4593	0.4832	187
FIU	ConferenceUSA	1	16	0	0.0588	0.4963	0.4811	0.3774	299
FloridaAtlantic	ConferenceUSA	10	5	5	0.6250	0.5203	0.5257	0.5481	106
FloridaGulfCoast	AtlanticSun	13	3	2	0.7778	0.4723	0.5045	0.5597	89
FloridaState	ACC	16	4	1	0.7857	0.6849	0.6053	0.7005	3
FloridaU	SEC	10	7	2	0.5789	0.6854	0.5854	0.6364	24
Fordham	AtlanticTen	6	11	2	0.3684	0.5427	0.5141	0.4920	176
FresnoState	MountainWest	5	9	4	0.3889	0.4640	0.4889	0.4493	240
Furman	Southern	13	6	1	0.6750	0.5146	0.4981	0.5506	101
GardnerWebb	BigSouth	11	7	4	0.5909	0.4778	0.4422	0.4937	171
GeorgeMason	AtlanticTen	13	4	3	0.7250	0.5217	0.5096	0.5697	73
Georgetown	BigEast	17	2	1	0.8750	0.5931	0.5542	0.6596	13
GeorgeWashington	AtlanticTen	10	6	3	0.6053	0.4343	0.4946	0.4921	175
GeorgiaSouthern	SunBelt	4	13	1	0.2500	0.4143	0.4864	0.3883	294
GeorgiaState	SunBelt	6	11	2	0.3684	0.5202	0.4842	0.4732	198
GeorgiaU	SEC	6	12	1	0.3421	0.5455	0.5587	0.4979	163
Gonzaga	WestCoast	10	7	2	0.5789	0.4810	0.5259	0.5167	143
Grambling	Southwestern	15	7	0	0.6818	0.4397	0.4346	0.4989	162
GrandCanyon	WAC	4	14	1	0.2368	0.4684	0.4639	0.4094	283
GreenBay	Horizon	7	9	1	0.4412	0.3895	0.4450	0.4148	273
Hampton	BigSouth	1	16	0	0.0588	0.4270	0.4364	0.3316	327
Hartford	AmericaEast	8	6	4	0.5556	0.4619	0.4719	0.4851	183
Harvard	Ivy	8	6	2	0.5625	0.5533	0.5327	0.5520	96
HawaiiU	BigWest	4	10	3	0.3235	0.5338	0.4892	0.4688	209
HighPoint	BigSouth	9	5	5	0.6053	0.4985	0.4787	0.5217	135
Hofstra	Colonial	15	3	2	0.8000	0.5931	0.5421	0.6390	23
HolyCross	Patriot	4	9	3	0.3438	0.4455	0.4492	0.4203	269
Houston	American	4	12	3	0.2895	0.4676	0.5077	0.4331	256
HoustonBaptist	Southland	9	7	3	0.5526	0.4761	0.4647	0.4924	174
Howard	Southwestern	12	5	1	0.6944	0.3839	0.4033	0.4644	215
IdahoState	BigSky	0	18	0	0.0000	0.4036	0.4496	0.3081	333
IdahoU	BigSky	10	7	3	0.5750	0.4655	0.4555	0.4904	177
IllinoisChicago	Horizon	4	11	2	0.2941	0.4187	0.4648	0.3950	291
IllinoisState	MissouriValley	11	6	3	0.6250	0.4439	0.4957	0.5021	159
IllinoisU	BigTen	6	9	3	0.4167	0.5531	0.5494	0.5196	139
IncarnateWord	Southland	2	15	1	0.1389	0.4606	0.4442	0.3716	305
IndianaState	MissouriValley	3	13	1	0.2059	0.5343	0.4587	0.4313	258
IndianaU	BigTen	5	8	5	0.4167	0.5402	0.5493	0.5116	146
Iona	MetroAtlantic	3	16	1	0.1750	0.4277	0.4307	0.3622	315
IowaState	BigTwelve	3	14	1	0.1944	0.5905	0.5652	0.4852	182
IowaU	BigTen	9	7	3	0.5526	0.5398	0.5534	0.5510	100
IPFW	Summit	2	13	3	0.1944	0.3348	0.4559	0.3193	330
IUPUI	Horizon	6	7	7	0.4750	0.4480	0.4667	0.4576	229
JacksonState	Southwestern	2	14	3	0.1842	0.4290	0.4256	0.3650	312
JacksonvilleState	OhioValley	3	14	1	0.1944	0.4233	0.4613	0.3756	302
JacksonvilleU	AtlanticSun	0	15	0	0.0000	0.4639	0.4661	0.3463	324
JamesMadison	Colonial	7	10	4	0.4286	0.5959	0.5412	0.5404	117
KansasState	BigTwelve	2	13	3	0.1944	0.5524	0.5429	0.4606	220
KansasU	BigTwelve	9	7	4	0.5500	0.6241	0.5711	0.5989	44
KennesawState	AtlanticSun	11	7	1	0.6053	0.4861	0.4697	0.5118	145
KentState	MidAmerican	11	7	2	0.6000	0.5097	0.4963	0.5289	128
KentuckyU	SEC	5	11	3	0.3421	0.5554	0.5542	0.5053	154
Lafayette	Patriot	3	11	3	0.2647	0.4040	0.4643	0.3821	295
Lamar	Southland	11	7	3	0.5952	0.4446	0.4858	0.4926	173
LaSalle	AtlanticTen	6	7	5	0.4722	0.5735	0.4903	0.5270	130
Lehigh	Patriot	5	10	4	0.3684	0.5019	0.4796	0.4632	217
Liberty	AtlanticSun	5	10	4	0.3684	0.4765	0.4931	0.4538	233
Lipscomb	AtlanticSun	14	4	2	0.7500	0.4760	0.4785	0.5451	113
LongBeachState	BigWest	10	4	6	0.6500	0.5582	0.5265	0.5745	68
LongIsland	Northeast	1	15	2	0.1111	0.3901	0.4398	0.3287	328
Longwood	BigSouth	11	5	2	0.6667	0.5097	0.4433	0.5323	125
LouisianaLafayette	SunBelt	4	11	2	0.2941	0.3763	0.4694	0.3773	300
LouisianaMonroe	SunBelt	3	14	1	0.1944	0.5018	0.4650	0.4142	274
LouisianaTech	ConferenceUSA	14	0	5	0.8684	0.4407	0.4971	0.5617	86
Louisville	ACC	9	5	3	0.6176	0.5867	0.5697	0.5944	48
LoyolaChicago	MissouriValley	14	3	2	0.7895	0.4892	0.5266	0.5767	66
LoyolaMarymount	WestCoast	3	11	5	0.2895	0.5856	0.5249	0.4964	167
LoyolaMD	Patriot	2	11	4	0.2353	0.4672	0.4701	0.4092	284
LSU	SEC	5	9	4	0.3889	0.6050	0.5845	0.5466	110
MaineU	AmericaEast	5	9	0	0.3571	0.4994	0.4544	0.4526	235
Manhattan	MetroAtlantic	6	8	4	0.4444	0.4454	0.4510	0.4450	244
Marist	MetroAtlantic	13	6	1	0.6750	0.4490	0.4619	0.5087	151
Marquette	BigEast	7	9	3	0.4474	0.5023	0.5359	0.4970	165
Marshall	ConferenceUSA	3	12	3	0.2500	0.5591	0.4988	0.4668	213
MarylandU	BigTen	4	13	2	0.2632	0.5166	0.5383	0.4602	222
MassachusettsU	AtlanticTen	7	9	2	0.4444	0.5228	0.5173	0.5038	157
McNeeseState	Southland	10	5	5	0.6250	0.4511	0.4630	0.4976	164
Memphis	American	17	1	2	0.9000	0.5602	0.5506	0.6505	16
Mercer	Southern	11	7	2	0.6000	0.4583	0.4900	0.5014	160
Merrimack	Northeast	8	8	2	0.5000	0.4235	0.4407	0.4469	242
MiamiFL	ACC	5	10	1	0.3438	0.5895	0.5703	0.5232	134
MiamiOH	MidAmerican	1	17	0	0.0556	0.4578	0.4883	0.3649	313
MichiganState	BigTen	7	8	4	0.4737	0.5246	0.5444	0.5168	142
MichiganU	BigTen	5	9	4	0.3889	0.5633	0.5566	0.5181	140
MiddleTennessee	ConferenceUSA	6	11	1	0.3611	0.5172	0.5116	0.4768	192
Milwaukee	Horizon	18	1	0	0.9474	0.4738	0.4940	0.6007	40
MinnesotaU	BigTen	7	10	3	0.4250	0.6008	0.5615	0.5481	105
MississippiState	SEC	8	5	6	0.5789	0.6269	0.5576	0.6000	41
MississippiU	SEC	10	7	3	0.5750	0.6184	0.5785	0.6015	39
MississippiValley	Southwestern	4	10	3	0.3235	0.3587	0.3942	0.3537	321
MissouriState	MissouriValley	6	6	5	0.5000	0.5272	0.4887	0.5115	147
MissouriU	SEC	10	8	1	0.5526	0.6260	0.5677	0.5981	46
Monmouth	MetroAtlantic	13	4	1	0.7500	0.5413	0.4786	0.5778	65
MontanaU	BigSky	6	8	6	0.4500	0.4776	0.4533	0.4644	214
Morehead	OhioValley	3	14	1	0.1944	0.4062	0.4721	0.3671	309
MountStMary	Northeast	3	13	1	0.2059	0.4386	0.4238	0.3726	304
MurrayState	OhioValley	14	4	2	0.7500	0.5323	0.4986	0.5803	57
Navy	Patriot	16	2	3	0.8333	0.4367	0.4763	0.5458	112
NCState	ACC	13	5	1	0.7105	0.6346	0.5908	0.6472	17
NebraskaU	BigTen	5	9	5	0.3947	0.6006	0.5766	0.5460	111
NevadaU	MountainWest	1	16	1	0.0833	0.4824	0.4795	0.3775	298
NewHampshireU	AmericaEast	9	6	3	0.5833	0.5079	0.4738	0.5162	144
NewMexicoState	WAC	2	14	2	0.1667	0.5168	0.4475	0.4119	278
NewMexicoU	MountainWest	10	3	7	0.6750	0.4978	0.5105	0.5475	108
Niagara	MetroAtlantic	8	7	2	0.5294	0.4386	0.4559	0.4641	216
NichollsState	Southland	4	12	1	0.2647	0.3398	0.4249	0.3388	325
NJIT	AtlanticSun	8	7	3	0.5278	0.4011	0.4673	0.4480	241
NorthAlabama	AtlanticSun	7	8	3	0.4722	0.4364	0.4617	0.4502	238
NorthCarolinaU	ACC	20	0	1	0.9762	0.6303	0.6196	0.7167	2
NorthDakotaState	Summit	9	6	4	0.5789	0.4330	0.4656	0.4776	191
NorthDakotaU	Summit	9	7	2	0.5556	0.4013	0.4537	0.4512	237
Northeastern	Colonial	9	5	6	0.6000	0.5771	0.5306	0.5714	70
NorthernArizona	BigSky	8	6	5	0.5526	0.4037	0.4641	0.4531	234
NorthernColorado	BigSky	11	7	4	0.5909	0.4558	0.4716	0.4928	172
NorthernIllinois	MidAmerican	2	15	1	0.1389	0.4978	0.4681	0.3993	290
NorthernKentucky	Horizon	12	6	0	0.6667	0.5858	0.4769	0.5803	58
NorthFlorida	AtlanticSun	6	10	2	0.3889	0.4249	0.4618	0.4251	264
NorthTexas	ConferenceUSA	18	2	1	0.8810	0.5166	0.5290	0.6108	34
NorthwesternState	Southland	6	14	0	0.3000	0.4879	0.4624	0.4331	257
NorthwesternU	BigTen	9	7	3	0.5526	0.5712	0.5746	0.5709	71
NotreDame	ACC	11	7	1	0.6053	0.5975	0.5816	0.5992	43
Oakland	Horizon	5	8	3	0.4063	0.4738	0.4783	0.4579	228
OhioState	BigTen	10	7	3	0.5750	0.5673	0.5648	0.5693	74
OhioU	MidAmerican	13	6	1	0.6750	0.4645	0.5014	0.5283	129
OklahomaState	BigTwelve	10	6	3	0.6053	0.6053	0.5634	0.5985	45
OklahomaU	BigTwelve	9	9	2	0.5000	0.5520	0.5873	0.5519	97
OldDominion	ConferenceUSA	10	2	6	0.7222	0.5292	0.5220	0.5791	62
OralRoberts	Summit	5	14	0	0.2632	0.5081	0.4682	0.4369	251
OregonState	PacTwelve	5	14	0	0.2632	0.5715	0.5524	0.4881	179
OregonU	PacTwelve	6	10	3	0.3947	0.5922	0.5750	0.5398	118
Pacific	WestCoast	2	16	1	0.1316	0.4344	0.4703	0.3596	317
PennState	BigTen	17	1	4	0.8636	0.6302	0.5917	0.6869	8
PennsylvaniaU	Ivy	11	1	4	0.8125	0.5035	0.5223	0.5856	51
Pepperdine	WestCoast	9	8	2	0.5263	0.5866	0.5389	0.5583	91
Pittsburgh	ACC	3	13	2	0.2222	0.5521	0.5662	0.4739	197
PortlandState	BigSky	2	14	2	0.1667	0.4115	0.4602	0.3601	316
PortlandU	WestCoast	6	6	5	0.5000	0.5852	0.5398	0.5547	95
PrairieViewA&M	Southwestern	5	11	2	0.3333	0.3508	0.4069	0.3536	322
Presbyterian	BigSouth	2	11	4	0.2353	0.3912	0.4428	0.3581	318
Princeton	Ivy	12	2	2	0.8125	0.5953	0.5476	0.6406	21
Providence	BigEast	11	6	3	0.6250	0.5570	0.5443	0.5723	69
Purdue	BigTen	10	7	2	0.5789	0.5571	0.5698	0.5677	77
Quinnipiac	MetroAtlantic	11	4	4	0.6842	0.4828	0.4545	0.5261	131
Radford	BigSouth	14	1	6	0.8095	0.4433	0.4571	0.5383	121
RhodeIslandU	AtlanticTen	4	12	2	0.2778	0.4624	0.4766	0.4178	270
Rice	ConferenceUSA	13	5	2	0.7000	0.5060	0.5211	0.5583	92
Richmond	AtlanticTen	5	12	1	0.3056	0.4508	0.4916	0.4262	262
Rider	MetroAtlantic	8	6	4	0.5556	0.4162	0.4474	0.4588	225
RobertMorris	Northeast	2	12	4	0.2222	0.4095	0.4200	0.3625	314
Rutgers	BigTen	18	1	2	0.9048	0.6115	0.5670	0.6809	9
SacramentoState	BigSky	5	10	3	0.3611	0.3610	0.4475	0.3812	297
SacredHeart	Northeast	8	9	1	0.4722	0.3944	0.4343	0.4221	267
Samford	Southern	13	5	3	0.6905	0.5294	0.5202	0.5674	79
SamHoustonState	Southland	3	14	1	0.1944	0.4031	0.4492	0.3564	320
SanDiegoState	MountainWest	10	4	7	0.6429	0.5454	0.5146	0.5623	84
SanDiegoU	WestCoast	8	10	0	0.4444	0.4750	0.5177	0.4780	190
SanFrancisco	WestCoast	12	4	4	0.7000	0.5548	0.5296	0.5855	52
SanJoseState	MountainWest	11	3	7	0.6905	0.5387	0.5129	0.5689	76
SantaClara	WestCoast	16	4	0	0.8000	0.5956	0.5646	0.6460	18
Seattle	WAC	13	6	2	0.6667	0.5023	0.4920	0.5408	116
SELouisiana	Southland	5	12	2	0.3158	0.5170	0.4756	0.4556	232
SetonHall	BigEast	1	15	0	0.0625	0.4623	0.4993	0.3675	308
Siena	MetroAtlantic	8	8	5	0.5000	0.4677	0.4693	0.4762	195
SIUCarbondale	Independent	1	13	1	0.1000	0.4819	0.4372	0.3683	307
SIUEdwardsville	OhioValley	5	9	4	0.3889	0.3834	0.4809	0.4092	285
SMU	American	10	6	3	0.6053	0.5597	0.5397	0.5703	72
SouthAlabama	SunBelt	17	3	1	0.8333	0.4940	0.5041	0.5814	55
SouthCarolinaState	Independent	1	10	0	0.0909	0.2971	0.4101	0.2638	337
SouthCarolinaU	SEC	16	0	4	0.9000	0.5962	0.5939	0.6802	10
SouthDakotaState	Summit	10	6	5	0.5952	0.4021	0.4818	0.4703	204
SouthDakotaU	Summit	6	12	1	0.3421	0.4782	0.4551	0.4369	250
SoutheastMissouriState	OhioValley	10	7	1	0.5833	0.4718	0.4966	0.5059	153
SouthernCalifornia	PacTwelve	17	1	1	0.9211	0.6228	0.5960	0.6994	4
SouthernMississippi	ConferenceUSA	11	6	4	0.6190	0.5503	0.4994	0.5548	94
SouthernU	Southwestern	1	15	0	0.0625	0.3440	0.3976	0.2802	336
SouthernUtah	BigSky	1	16	1	0.0833	0.4944	0.4392	0.3771	301
SouthFlorida	American	10	2	5	0.7353	0.5768	0.5581	0.6149	30
Stanford	PacTwelve	18	0	1	0.9737	0.6957	0.5928	0.7521	1
StBonaventure	AtlanticTen	3	14	1	0.1944	0.3950	0.4651	0.3572	319
StephenFAustin	Southland	8	10	0	0.4444	0.4305	0.4609	0.4396	245
Stetson	AtlanticSun	3	11	1	0.2333	0.4733	0.4672	0.4098	281
StFrancis	Northeast	8	6	5	0.5526	0.4364	0.4324	0.4610	219
StFrancisBrooklyn	Northeast	0	15	2	0.0588	0.3922	0.4198	0.3080	334
StJohns	BigEast	6	9	3	0.4167	0.4869	0.5454	0.4840	184
StJosephs	AtlanticTen	14	4	2	0.7500	0.5201	0.5106	0.5780	64
StLouis	AtlanticTen	18	3	1	0.8409	0.5286	0.5233	0.6068	36
StMarys	WestCoast	6	12	1	0.3421	0.4446	0.4726	0.4260	263
StonyBrook	AmericaEast	15	4	1	0.7750	0.5165	0.5028	0.5792	61
StPeters	MetroAtlantic	2	15	0	0.1176	0.4038	0.4402	0.3378	326
Syracuse	ACC	2	13	2	0.1765	0.5659	0.5714	0.4699	205
TCU	BigTwelve	13	5	2	0.7000	0.5771	0.5941	0.6184	28
Temple	American	5	11	3	0.3421	0.4487	0.5057	0.4348	255
TennesseeMartin	OhioValley	13	3	4	0.7500	0.4929	0.4927	0.5571	93
TennesseeTech	OhioValley	8	7	5	0.5250	0.4905	0.4710	0.4946	169
TennesseeU	SEC	14	2	5	0.7857	0.6143	0.5801	0.6527	15
TexasA&M	SEC	14	0	7	0.8333	0.6230	0.5742	0.6688	12
TexasCorpusChristi	Southland	5	12	1	0.3056	0.4736	0.4561	0.4272	261
TexasRGV	WAC	13	5	1	0.7105	0.4254	0.4771	0.5096	149
TexasSouthern	Southwestern	6	11	3	0.3750	0.4199	0.4245	0.4083	286
TexasState	SunBelt	12	4	4	0.7000	0.4535	0.4754	0.5204	136
TexasTech	BigTwelve	14	3	3	0.7750	0.6033	0.5717	0.6418	20
TexasU	BigTwelve	15	4	2	0.7619	0.6132	0.5739	0.6436	19
Toledo	MidAmerican	8	11	1	0.4250	0.4749	0.4678	0.4587	227
Towson	Colonial	4	13	1	0.2500	0.5035	0.5009	0.4395	246
Troy	SunBelt	8	8	3	0.5000	0.4080	0.4843	0.4501	239
Tulsa	American	5	9	4	0.3889	0.5144	0.5111	0.4837	185
UAB	ConferenceUSA	5	7	6	0.4444	0.6124	0.4943	0.5416	115
UALR	SunBelt	13	6	3	0.6591	0.5626	0.4811	0.5663	81
UCDavis	BigWest	8	9	1	0.4722	0.3971	0.4858	0.4361	253
UCF	American	8	2	9	0.6579	0.5530	0.5540	0.5837	53
UCIrvine	BigWest	7	9	5	0.4524	0.5568	0.5327	0.5249	132
UCLA	PacTwelve	17	2	0	0.8947	0.6203	0.6109	0.6951	6
UCRiverside	BigWest	8	10	1	0.4474	0.5232	0.4980	0.4966	166
UCSantaBarbara	BigWest	10	3	5	0.6944	0.4965	0.5191	0.5518	98
UMassLowell	AmericaEast	4	10	3	0.3235	0.5105	0.5055	0.4625	218
UMBC	AmericaEast	1	14	2	0.1176	0.4409	0.4675	0.3652	311
UMKC	WAC	19	0	2	0.9524	0.4320	0.4846	0.5753	67
UNCAsheville	BigSouth	2	13	2	0.1765	0.4366	0.4548	0.3734	303
UNCGreensboro	Southern	14	4	3	0.7381	0.5240	0.4962	0.5691	75
UNCWilmington	Colonial	9	4	4	0.6471	0.5075	0.5333	0.5489	103
UNI	MissouriValley	6	6	5	0.5000	0.4715	0.4791	0.4806	188
UNLV	MountainWest	10	8	2	0.5500	0.5437	0.5015	0.5347	123
UNOmaha	Summit	6	9	3	0.4167	0.4828	0.4904	0.4682	211
USCUpstate	BigSouth	4	7	5	0.4063	0.4028	0.4480	0.4128	276
UtahState	MountainWest	5	12	2	0.3158	0.4741	0.4810	0.4363	252
UtahU	PacTwelve	10	7	3	0.5750	0.5804	0.5703	0.5780	63
UtahValley	WAC	7	11	3	0.4048	0.5346	0.4682	0.4855	181
UTEP	ConferenceUSA	6	8	4	0.4444	0.4610	0.5035	0.4675	212
UTSA	ConferenceUSA	4	13	0	0.2353	0.5489	0.4957	0.4572	230
Valparaiso	MissouriValley	2	12	3	0.2059	0.4196	0.4594	0.3704	306
Vanderbilt	SEC	15	1	4	0.8500	0.5567	0.5876	0.6398	22
VCU	AtlanticTen	15	3	2	0.8000	0.5371	0.5072	0.5961	47
VermontU	AmericaEast	5	10	2	0.3529	0.4962	0.4625	0.4518	236
Villanova	BigEast	6	8	4	0.4444	0.5082	0.5478	0.5024	158
VirginiaTech	ACC	12	7	0	0.6316	0.5906	0.5880	0.6034	37
VirginiaU	ACC	15	1	4	0.8500	0.6071	0.6073	0.6736	11
VMI	Southern	6	13	1	0.3250	0.4336	0.4749	0.4125	277
Wagner	Northeast	3	13	2	0.2222	0.3464	0.4243	0.3278	329
WakeForest	ACC	7	9	2	0.4444	0.6435	0.5762	0.5802	59
WashingtonState	PacTwelve	14	3	2	0.7895	0.5701	0.5855	0.6288	26
WashingtonU	PacTwelve	5	11	3	0.3421	0.6570	0.5831	0.5615	87
WeberState	BigSky	5	10	3	0.3611	0.4255	0.4719	0.4210	268
WesternCarolina	Southern	10	6	4	0.6000	0.5235	0.4778	0.5310	126
WesternIllinois	Summit	3	13	2	0.2222	0.4734	0.4571	0.4045	287
WesternKentucky	ConferenceUSA	5	9	3	0.3824	0.5078	0.5068	0.4762	194
WesternMichigan	MidAmerican	8	8	4	0.5000	0.5307	0.4992	0.5171	141
WestVirginiaU	BigTwelve	17	3	1	0.8333	0.6847	0.5744	0.6967	5
William&Mary	Colonial	4	11	3	0.3056	0.5765	0.5257	0.4960	168
Winthrop	BigSouth	3	11	2	0.2500	0.3947	0.4401	0.3659	310
WisconsinU	BigTen	12	4	4	0.7000	0.6228	0.5645	0.6317	25
Wofford	Southern	3	15	0	0.1667	0.4705	0.4522	0.3884	293
WrightState	Horizon	7	6	3	0.5313	0.4489	0.4637	0.4723	200
WyomingU	MountainWest	10	1	9	0.7250	0.4559	0.4950	0.5327	124
Xavier	BigEast	9	5	6	0.6000	0.5273	0.5268	0.5488	104
Yale	Ivy	5	12	0	0.2941	0.5164	0.5102	0.4593	224
YoungstownState	Horizon	2	16	0	0.1111	0.4264	0.4651	0.3506	323