Below, I have provide links to two Exel workbooks. To download a workbook, use the following steps:
1. Click on the workbook link.
2. The link takes you to a Google spreadsheet, which you will not want to use. On the Google spreadsheet, to the left, click on File, which will bring up a drop down menu.
3. In the menu, click on Download, which will bring up another drop down menu.
4. In the menu, click on Microsoft Excel (.xlsx). This will download the Excel workbook.
ACTUAL CURRENT RANKINGS AND OTHER DATA AFTER WEEK 12
The first workbook provides current NCAA RPI, KPI, Balanced RPI, and Massey rankings and other data based on the actual results of games played through Week 12 (through November 1) of the season, for teams, conferences, and regions. Here is a link to the workbook:
2026 RPI Report Actual Results Only as of 11.1.2026
The first page of the workbook is for Teams, the second for Conferences, and the third for Regions. The data include all the non-conference games for the season and the conference games played through Sunday, November 1. There still is room for changes in where teams finally will end up, but the ranges within which teams will finish are narrowing.
On the Teams page, on the left, are color coded columns. These columns are based on past history. Also, note that there is a column showing which teams currently would be disqualified from an NCAA Tournament at large selection due to having a winning percentage below 0.5000 (designated by a 1).
The color coded columns show which teams, based on their current ratings, are potential seeds (by seed level) and at large selections for the NCAA Tournament and which already appear assured of getting at least at large selections. The seed and at large candidate groups are narrowing considerably, though there still is room for change in the rankings and how the NCAA Tournament bracket will end up.
Here is what the Teams page shows, so far as potential NCAA Tournament seeds and at large selections are concerned:
SIMULATED END-OF-SEASON RANKINGS AND NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKETS FOLLOWING WEEK 12
The second workbook is based on the actual results of games played through Week 12 (ending November 1) and simulated results of games not yet played, including conference tournament games. It projects where teams will end up at the end of the season, but before the NCAA Tournament, and provides other important information related to teams, conferences, and regions. Here is a link to the workbook:
2026 Article 8 has an explanation of the method I use to generate the simulated ranks and of the key information in the workbook.
To produce simulated results of future games, I use teams current simulated full-season ratings rather than teams' actual current NCAA RPI ratings. I do this because so far, the simulated full-season ratings match teams' actual results so far better than teams' actual current NCAA RPI ratings. I will continue using the simulated full-season ratings to predict future game results until the NCAA RPI's current ratings produce a better match with actual results.
The following table is from the workbook. If teams end up where the simulation currently says they will end up, it shows the teams -- if historic patterns hold -- that will be candidates for each seed level and for at large selections. It also shows, in the At Large Bubble column, which teams are at ranking levels that historically always have gotten at large selections (if not Automatic Qualifiers) -- the Top 26 in the NCAA RPI rankings. Thus the at large bubble teams are #27 through #57 (if not AQs). The table also shows which teams the simulation currently projects as Automatic Qualifiers.
SIMULATED NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKETS USING THE NCAA RPI AND USING THE BALANCED RPI
Here are currently simulated NCAA Tournament brackets, first based on the NCAA RPI and then based on the Balanced RPI. The simulations use the Women's Soccer Committee's historic decision patterns and likely are very close to what the Committee would decide based on the game results to date and simulated results of games not yet played, depending on which rating system the Committee is using.
Following the two brackets is a table showing how the two compare. (NOTE: For conference tournaments, I have used simulated conference tournaments based on the NCAA RPI.)
Here is a key to the tables:
The first table shows the projected NCAA Tournament bracket based on the Committee's using the NCAA RPI:
The next table shows the projected bracket based on the Committee's using the Balanced RPI:
The final table compares the projected brackets. It shows the teams sorted first by region and within regions by conference so you can see how a change to the Balanced RPI would affect regions' and conferences' teams. Salmon highlighting means the team gets a poorer treatment by the rating system and green means the team gets better treatment. No highlighting means the treatment is the same.
NOTE: Although we are nearing the end of the season, there still will be changes. It is not the details that are important at this point, but rather the overall impression in terms of the difference between using the NCAA RPI as compared to the Balanced RPI.
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