Wednesday, October 7, 2026

2026 ARTICLE 17: ACTUAL CURRENT RANKINGS AND OTHER DATA AFTER WEEK 8

This Article 17 provides current NCAA RPI, KPI, Balanced RPI, and Massey rankings based on the actual results of games played through Week 8 (through October 4) of the season, for teams, conferences, and regions.

Here is a link to an Excel workbook that contains all the information:

2026 RPI Report Actual Results Only as of 10.4.2026

To download the workbook, use the following steps:

1.  Click on the workbook link.

2.  The link takes you to a Google spreadsheet, which you will not want to use.  On the Google spreadsheet, to the left, click on File, which will bring up a drop down menu.

3.  In the menu, click on Download, which will bring up another drop down menu.

4.  In the drop down menu, click on Microsoft Excel (.xlsx).  This will download the Excel workbook.

The first page of the workbook is for Teams, the second for Conferences, and the third for Regions.  The data so far are based mostly on non-conference games, but also on the first group of in-conference games.  I consider these data preliminary and expect significant changes over the remainder of the season.

On the Teams page, on the left, are color coded columns.  These columns are based on past history.  They show which teams, based on their current ratings, are potential seeds (by seed level) and at large selections for the NCAA Tournament and which already appear assured of getting at least at large selections.  The seed and at large candidate groups still are large and show how unreliable the current rankings are, so far as how the NCAA Tournament bracket will end up is concerned.

Here is what the Teams page shows, so far as potential NCAA Tournament seeds and at large selections are concerned:


This week, here are some data taken from the linked workbook's Conferences page:


This table shows how teams' actual winning percentages so far in non-conference games compare to what one would have expected their winning percentages to be based on their current actual NCAA RPI ratings.  This is an indicator of how well or poorly the current NCAA RPI ratings do at rating teams from each conference in relation to teams from other conferences.  A positive number means the conference's teams have performed better so far in non-conference games than their NCAA RPI ratings say they should have performed (i.e., are underrated) and a negative number means they have performed more poorly (are overrated).

As you can see, the Ivy League's teams currently appear to be significantly underrated.  Next come three of the conferences from the West region mixed together with the Autonomy conferences.  It will be interesting to see if, and how, these numbers change over the remainder of the season.

No comments:

Post a Comment